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America Asked Allies to Do More. They Are Also Preparing for a Less Predictable Washington
Taiwan has proposed an 18% increase in its defense budget for 2027, pushing military spending above 3% of GDP as Chinese military and political...
Iran’s Black Box: The New Power Struggle Behind the Hormuz Talks
Central Claim
The diplomatic traffic through Tehran this week, Qatar, Pakistan and Oman all visiting in seven days, has generated the appearance of momentum toward...
The Russia-China-North Korea defense partnership
Understanding global geopolitics is complicated and challenging, especially today. Governments have complex relationships with each other at both the bilateral and multilateral levels. This...
Washington’s Divisions Over the Iran War: Victory or Exit?
The Iran war has entered a stage for Washington in which deciding how to end it may prove more difficult than deciding how to...
America Needs the Western Alliance More Than the Western Alliance Needs Trump
U.S. President Donald Trump's scaling-back of joint military exercises with South Korea is the latest impulsive and thoughtless decision in an accumulation of foreign...
Setting Terms and Deciding Agendas: Opacity and Division in Iranian and American Leadership
On Saturday, the Iranian Foreign Ministry announced that a navigation map had been agreed upon in diplomatic talks with Oman. The Iranian spokesman emphasised...
Is China-US Trust Down to a Single Day?
According to an exclusive report from POLITICO, Xi Jinping's planned September visit to the United States has reportedly been shortened to just one day....
The Army That Can’t Do the One Thing It’s Been Asked To Do
Three villages. That is the full extent of Lebanese Armed Forces control under the “pilot zone” framework that Washington brokered in June — Zawtar...
China’s New Arctic Gamble Has a Russian Catch
China's new Arctic route cuts the journey from Ningbo to Europe in half. What the headlines aren't saying is that every mile of it...
North Korea’s Piedmont Strategy: Turning the Ukraine War into Regional Advantage
Reports that North Korea may send as many as 30,000 additional troops to support Russia’s war in Ukraine should be assessed as more than...