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China’s Export Controls Are Supposed to Target America. Why Do They Keep Hitting Europe?
On October 9, 2025, China's Ministry of Commerce added five more rare earth elements to its export control list and, for the first time,...
Third ‘Term’ Lucky? Assessing Democratic Backsliding in Trump’s America
President Trump’s periodic mentions of attempting a third presidential run have largely been dismissed as jokes throughout the last decade. Recently, however, these instances...
Maritime Security is Europe’s Next Strategic Test
Authors: Iren Marinova & Gabriella Gricius*
Europe has spent the past decade learning how to provide maritime security abroad. The EU, specifically, has made substantial...
One Spreadsheet, Three Crises
On 6 July, the Dutch government summoned the mayors of ten municipalities that had simply refused to open the asylum shelters the law requires...
Hamas’s Disarmament Dare: The New Limits of American Dealmaking
Central Claim
The US-brokered deal for Hamas to disarm and Israeli forces to withdraw from Gaza is less an agreement than a diplomatic dare: each...
Europe’s New Gas Geography in the 2030s
Europe enters the decisive years of its post‑Russian gas transition with a structural constraint that cannot be negotiated away. Political timelines move in short...
Continuous Instability in the Gulf and the Shockwaves of the Ukraine War
A Global Energy System That No Longer Heals
The global energy system has entered a phase where shocks do not fade, but they accumulate. They...
How Crimea Went from Russia’s Greatest Prize Towards an Untenable Position
The Crimean Peninsula, Russia’s pivotal stronghold, is witnessing a siege that could place the occupation by Russian forces in an untenable position. After four...
The European Union Should Help Fund An Oil Pipeline from the Gulf to The Mediterranean
While the United States enjoys sufficient energy resources, thanks to shale oil, the European Union does not. To assure itself of the energy supplies...
To Beat a State-Capitalist Rival, Washington Became One: Inside the New Critical Minerals Race
On July 10, almost exactly a year after the Pentagon announced it was becoming the largest shareholder in MP Materials, the International Energy Agency...