Economy & Markets
Central Banks Are Buying Gold Like De-Dollarization Is Already Happening — Are They Right?
Central banks' record, price-insensitive gold buying is a more credible signal of the dollar's structural trajectory than this year's currency markets, because FX markets...
Trump’s Silence on Hormuz Is Now a Fed Problem: What Markets Are Pricing In This Week
TODAY'S NUMBERS: $108 (Brent crude) · 4.98% (US 10-year Treasury yield) · $4,330 (Gold) Oil is pricing a wider Gulf war, yields are pricing...
Is China Turning Economic Influence in Africa into Strategic Power?
China can leverage its membership in the BRICS group and its direct investments in Africa as complementary tools to build growing economic influence that...
Do Sanctions Still Work? Russia, Iran and Sudan Say No
On February 1st, the G7's price cap on Russian crude oil quietly reset itself to $44.10 a barrel — down from $47.60, and a...
Russia-Africa Policy Debates
With the heightening of the current geopolitics, many African governments have increasingly welcomed economic, diplomatic, and security ties with Russia. And noticeably, Russia's engagements...
Institutional Money Is Rushing Into America. Central Banks Are Rushing Into Gold. Both Are Reading the Same Signal
TODAY'S NUMBERS:
4.94% (US 10-year Treasury yield, near a three-year high) · 289 tonnes (record Q2 central-bank gold buying) · $53.9bn (Gulf funds' record H1...
How Did China’s Oil Majors Prepare the Country for an Energy Crisis?
China’s state owned oil companies have spent years preparing for the possibility of major disruptions to global energy supplies, investments that are now helping...
Assessing Rwanda-Russian Economic Partnership
Decades after the Soviet collapse, Russia and Rwanda share an excellent, longstanding, and growing multifaceted relationship, rooted in mutually beneficial cooperation, while sustaining ambition...
The US Just Bombed Iran’s Shadow Fleet: What Happens to Oil, Banks and the Next Sanctions War?
TODAY'S NUMBERS:
$100 (Brent crude, after Wednesday's tanker strikes) · 4.92% (US 10-year Treasury yield) · $4,440 (gold, per troy ounce)
Oil and yields are climbing...
Gold Up, Dollar Down, Yields Rising: What Kevin Warsh’s Fed Is Doing to the Reserve Currency
TODAY'S NUMBERS:
$4,388 (gold, per ounce) · 98.6 (dollar index, four-month low) · 4.8% (10-year Treasury yield, highest since 2023). Gold and yields normally move...