Netanyahu’s Coalition Calculus: The Real Reason Gaza’s Ceasefire Keeps Failing
The story of Gaza's collapsing ceasefire is being told as a military story: strikes, violations, body counts. The more accurate story is a domestic...
Beijing Versus Washington: The New Economics of Iran’s Sanctions War
China is buying ninety percent of Iran's oil exports, settling transactions in renminbi, and hiding the rest beneath layers of shell companies. This is...
What Is Greece’s $3.5bn Israeli Arms Deal Actually About?
Athens spent $3.5 billion on Israeli missiles this week in the largest defence deal the two countries have ever signed. That this happened while...
The SCO Summit: The New Architecture of a World Without Washington
Xi, Modi and Putin in the same room is easy to read as a rival bloc assembling against Washington. The more accurate reading is...
Syria’s Exit: How Washington Uses Its Terror List as a Foreign Policy Tool
The US State Sponsors of Terrorism designation has always claimed to be a counterterrorism instrument. Syria's removal, after 47 years on the list, confirms...
The Hormuz Shutdown and the New Fragility of Global Trade’s Most Critical Route
Five ships a day where a hundred used to sail. Six months after the US-Israel strikes on Iran, the world's most critical energy chokepoint...
Iran’s Black Box: The New Power Struggle Behind the Hormuz Talks
Central Claim
The diplomatic traffic through Tehran this week, Qatar, Pakistan and Oman all visiting in seven days, has generated the appearance of momentum toward...
The Houthi Blockade: Can Saudi Arabia Really Escape Iran’s Trap?
The question is no longer whether Saudi Arabia will respond to the Houthi blockade but what kind of response it can sustain. Riyadh has...
The Ulchi Freedom Shield Cuts: Why Did the US Rattle Its Most Important Asian Ally?
When a US president scales back military exercises with a key Pacific ally hours before they begin, and offers two contradictory reasons for doing...
Why Is Trump Angrier at Oman Than at Iran Right Now?
The threat reveals less about Oman and far more about how comprehensively the Iran war has gone off script for an administration that promised...