More: Analysis
The Patron Penalty: Why Foreign Endorsements Now Cost Votes — and Where They Still Pay
Two Patrons, One Sunday
On 25 October, two candidates who had campaigned with the open approval of a great power lost on the same evening....
Is the Nuclear Test Ban Collapsing? US, China and Russia in 2026
Thirty years after the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty opened for signature, the most consequential recent event in the life of the global testing moratorium produced...
The Oleshky Test: Why Ukraine’s Only Durable Deals Have Been the Small Ones
Two Ceasefires, Eleven Days Apart
On 12 October, Donald Trump announced that Russia and Ukraine had agreed to stop attacking each other's energy infrastructure. There...
The Shenzhen Auction: What a Trump–Xi–Putin Summit Would Cost the Allies Who Aren’t Invited
"First Comes November, Then Comes December"
On Sunday, Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov said Moscow, Beijing and Washington had agreed "in principle" to a leaders' meeting...
Israel’s Kingmakers: Why a Government Propped Up by Arab Parties Would Change the West Bank, Not the Iran War
The 14 Seats Everyone Pretends Not to Count
Going into Tuesday's vote, the final polls put Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc at about 50 of the Knesset's...
4 Ways US Foreign Policy Could Shift If Democrats Win in November
Nonpartisan analysts believe that Democrats have a good chance of winning the US House of Representatives and possibly the Senate in the upcoming midterm...
The Trump Team’s Quiet Campaign to Put the Bolsonaros Back in Power
Two US State Department officials, Darren Beattie and Ricardo Pita, led efforts to restore the right-wing Bolsonaro family to power in Brazil, according to...
3 Midterm Outcomes That Could Shape Trump’s Final Two Years
Americans are set to vote on November 3 in midterm elections that will determine control of Congress for the last two years of President...
What to Know About Serbia’s Election—and Why It Matters
Serbia is having parliamentary elections on Sunday, focusing on the potential change in leadership from longtime leader Aleksandar Vucic to a popular student movement...
How Ukraine’s Energy Strikes Widened Its Rift With Trump
Relations between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy have recently worsened, marked by mutual criticism. Trump has been critical of US...