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America’s Diesel-Ban Threat Shows Europe Is Paying for the Iran War

A Promise Meets a Midterm On 22 September, Donald Trump said he might support a ban or quantitative limit on US diesel exports. Soon afterwards...

Dodik Lost Office but Kept Power. In Bosnia, Nobody Is Pushing Back

The Man Not on the Ballot On Sunday, Željka Cvijanović of the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD), the ruling Bosnian Serb party, defends the...

Xi’s Purge of the PLA Makes a Taiwan War Less Likely in 2027, but a Crisis Harder to Manage

Two Men at the Top, Two Ships in the Spratlys Today China marks National Day with the smallest military high command in its modern history....

Gaza’s Peace Plan Needs Troops. Who Is Willing to Send Them?

A peace plan can be negotiated in conference rooms. Securing it requires someone willing to stand on the ground. Gaza's post-war framework has increasingly...

Bridging Washington and Beijing: Why the Middle East Needs a Sino-American Coordinator

My previous suggestion to both the American and Chinese sides—as an internationally renowned Egyptian expert on Chinese politics and the policies of the ruling...

Russia’s Next Escalation Is Designed to Be Blamed on Ukraine

A Scenario With a Script Most intelligence assessments warn about capabilities. The one Denmark’s Defence Intelligence Service published last week describes a script. It warns...

Qatar, Pakistan and Egypt Are the New Mediators, and None of Them Is Neutral

Seven Days, Again On 23 September, in a meeting room at the United Nations, Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, sat down with Steve Witkoff and...

The Red Line in the Gulf: What Trump’s Rejection of Iran’s Hormuz Plan Actually Tests

On September 26, Donald Trump told reporters outside the White House that he was rejecting a seven-day plan Iran had submitted to reopen the...

Switzerland Voted to Keep Neutrality Flexible. Its Role as a Mediator Has Already Moved On

A Landslide, and an Empty Resort On Sunday, Swiss voters rejected the “Safeguard Swiss Neutrality” initiative by 70.2% to 29.8%. Not a single canton voted...

Xi Jinping’s US Visit: What It Means for Egypt, the Middle East and Red Sea Security

Chinese President Xi Jinping's visit to the United States in September 2026 will contribute to managing economic and geopolitical differences between the world's two...

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Why Is Advanced Chip Packaging Becoming the Next Big Battleground in the AI Race?

The global artificial intelligence boom is creating a new...

Could Trump’s Midterm Defeat Push Him to Renew Talks With North Korea?

US President Donald Trump’s midterm election setback could encourage...

Is the Strait of Hormuz Really Safe After the Iran War?

On the surface, seeing ships return to the Strait...

Can China Capitalise on Trump’s Midterm Defeat in the US?

Donald Trump’s weakened political position following the Republican Party’s...
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