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Why America Can End Its Wars but Not Its Interventions
On 23 January 2026 the United States published a National Defense Strategy promising an end to interventionism, endless wars, regime change and nation building....
Sanctions as a Price Lever: What the Diesel Deal Reveals About the Transatlantic Split Over Ukraine
When Donald Trump announced on 9 October that Vladimir Putin would release Russian diesel onto world markets, it read at first like another episode...
European Awakening: A New Era of European Economic Defence?
When the European Union’s founding engine—France and Germany—finally finds common ground, the bloc crosses a structural threshold. In their joint letter to European Commission...
Europe Without Arms Control: Nuclear Risk After New START
The West and Russia have been entangled in prolonged, decades long tensions before. Now, with the demise of new START in Feb 2026, a...
China Tests ‘Iron Triangle’ System to Counter Drone Swarms in Major Military Exercise
The Chinese Iron Triangle system is the latest integrated air defense system unveiled by the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLAAF) in October 2026 to...
Why Europe Lost Its Seat at the Iran Nuclear Table?
For most of the past two decades, the Iran nuclear file was where Europe proved it could do geopolitics. Britain, France and Germany opened...
Canada’s Shift Away from the US: Realignment or Diversification?
On September 29, a new set of American trade restrictions against Canada came into force. Using Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930,...
Trump-Putin Diesel Deal Explained: What We Know and What It Means for Global Oil Markets
US President Donald Trump is taking steps to reduce diesel prices by lifting sanctions on Russian diesel exports and declaring a ceasefire on energy...
Diesel Diplomacy: A Weekend Peace Discount Meets a Gulf War Premium — and the Bond Market Prices the Fed Instead
Today's Numbers
~$103 (Brent on Monday morning, off a weekend spike above $105) · 5.24% (US 10-year Treasury yield at Friday's close) · 74.5% (Polymarket...
North Korea’s New Missile Threat: What It Means for China, Taiwan and US Defenses
The intelligence and data centers, the Academy of Military Sciences, the Rocket Force, and the intelligence, military, and security apparatus of the People's Liberation...