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The Trump Team’s Quiet Campaign to Put the Bolsonaros Back in Power
Two US State Department officials, Darren Beattie and Ricardo Pita, led efforts to restore the right-wing Bolsonaro family to power in Brazil, according to...
3 Midterm Outcomes That Could Shape Trump’s Final Two Years
Americans are set to vote on November 3 in midterm elections that will determine control of Congress for the last two years of President...
Central Asia’s Next Great Game will be fought over Water, not Oil
Afghanistan’s Qosh Tepa Canal is forcing Central Asia to confront a dangerous question: when a river crosses borders, who gets to decide who drinks...
Trump’s Foreign Policy Drives Up Costs for Americans, Threatening Republican Midterm Prospects
Foreign policy has rarely been a key factor in US midterm elections, which are typically driven by economic issues. However, this time, President Donald...
From Consultations to Action: Central Asia at a Crossroads
The leaders of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Azerbaijan met in the Caspian resort of Avaza, Turkmenistan, on October 8, 2026, for the...
Europe’s Midterm Calculation: Why a Weakened Trump Means a Harder Line on NATO
Four Options, Three Days Later
On 6 November, three days after Americans vote, Pentagon officials are due to put at least four courses of action...
Iran Never Lost the Arms Race
Two Verdicts on One Arsenal
Late on 9 October, Western officials told Bloomberg that Iran's missile and drone factories had survived eight months of American...
A Lame-Duck Trump Before 2028?
Commitments With a Date Stamp
On 13 October, after Houthi missiles hit Saudi infrastructure, Donald Trump sent Riyadh a promise on Truth Social: "I'll be...
Why the EU’s Russian LNG Ban Will Outlast the Hormuz Winter
The Item Missing From the Agenda
On Monday, the Irish Council presidency sent energy ministers its options paper for their meeting in Luxembourg on 29...
Syria: The Strategic Implications of Becoming the Hormuz Bypass
Intelligence Assessment: The Iran war has turned Syria from a sanctions case into transit infrastructure that Iraq, Turkey, the Gulf and Washington all need,...