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Trump claims victory, but Iran holds the real card: a bruised but powerful grip on Hormuz
Nearly six weeks of war in Iran have ended with President Trump claiming victory, but the ceasefire has solidified the power of Iran's radical...
US, Iran Strike Two-Week Ceasefire Deal, Agree to Reopen Strait of Hormuz
The United States and Iran have agreed to a two-week ceasefire, reaching a deal just before President Donald Trump's deadline for Iran to reopen...
The New Non-Alignment
When Leverage Replaced Loyalty
There is a diplomatic category error that shapes almost all Western analysis of the Global South, and it goes something like...
How China’s oil-shock readiness is paying off for investors
China's ability to handle energy shocks has led to strong performance in its financial markets, attracting global investors amidst ongoing conflicts in Iran. The...
The Unwarranted Iran War: US-China Stakes, Regional Costs, Global Losses
Originally set for March, the high-stakes summit between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping was postponed for about "five or six...
The Securitization of Everything
The Vocabulary Shift That Changed the Rules
Something happened to the word "security" over the past decade, and the consequences are still playing out. It...
Iran’s Shadow War May Extend to the Sahel
In the early hours of a recent morning, surveillance aircraft tracked an unmarked convoy crossing the desert corridors linking the Sahel to the Atlantic...
Trump and Hegseth Are Spending NATO’s Credibility on a War Allies Will Not Own
The most durable damage from Washington’s war with Iran may not be in Iran at all. It may be inside the alliance system the...
Suspended Between Escalation and Exit: The U.S.–Iran War’s Strategic Deadlock
Entering the second month of the war with Iran, the United States has delivered substantial military effects without articulating a viable political end state—a...
Panregions Reborn: Macro-Geopolitics and the Path to Hegemony
The international system is changing in ways that are often described as the end of globalisation. That diagnosis captures part of the story, but...