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Why OPEC’s Foundational Conditions No Longer Hold for the UAE
The institutions that govern producer cartels rest on a set of conditions that are usually invisible because they hold uniformly across the membership. When...
Rigid Margins, Rising Pressures: The New Gulf Gas Order
The global gas system is entering a phase defined by limits rather than freedoms. It absorbs shocks but does not return to a neutral...
Why the Trump-Xi Summit in 2026 Is Really About Iran
Trump arrives in Beijing on May 14. The summit was originally scheduled for March, then postponed because the US got embroiled in a war...
Project Freedom and the UAE Attack: What It Means for the Iran Ceasefire Now
The ceasefire between the US and Iran has been in place for nearly four weeks. The Strait of Hormuz has not been at peace...
Iran signals demand for comprehensive deal with US as talks test fragile Middle East truce
Iran has said it will only accept a fair and comprehensive agreement in ongoing negotiations with the United States, as talks continue alongside a...
How the Iran War Triggered Europe’s Energy Reckoning
Forty-four days, twenty-two billion euros. Not a single additional molecule of energy.
That is how Ursula von der Leyen framed Europe's Iran war tab when...
Beyond the US Alliance: Why Japan and Canada Are South Korea’s Top Security Partners
In an era of overlapping crises, South Korea’s security environment is no longer defined by either a single enemy or a theater. Instead, it...
America Must Turn Military Pressure into Diplomacy
President Donald Trump’s assurance that he will not use nuclear weapons against Iran should not be treated as restraint; it is the lowest possible...
Europe’s Other Defence Clause: What Article 42.7 Actually Means
In light of recent security threats, European Union leaders are set to conduct a wargame on the EU's mutual defence clause set on article...
The Future of AI in Warfare: Iran and Beyond
Authors: Christopher Jackson and Aaron Spitler*
Following the Gulf War, a common belief was that cutting-edge technology enabled the United States and its allies to...