The Myth of a Multipolar World: Why the Global Order Is Becoming More Bipolar, Not Less
The idea that the world is becoming multipolar has acquired the status of conventional wisdom. It is repeated by governments, international organizations, business leaders,...
The Asymmetry of Strategic Depth
After almost five years of attritional warfare, the war in Ukraine is entering a more dangerous phase. Russia has strong incentives to escalate. The...
The contest for Hormuz threatens the maritime order America built
The struggle over the Strait of Hormuz is no longer simply a contest between freedom of navigation and closure. It is increasingly about who...
Managing the New Cold War: What Trump and Xi Really Want from Their Beijing Summit
Authors: Athanasios G. Platias and Vasilis Trigkas*
When Donald Trump lands in Beijing on 14 May, the optics will matter almost as much as the...
U.S. Energy Dominance and the Remaking of the Global Order
The sequence of events stretching from Venezuela to the war in Iran, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and the simultaneous degradation of...
Not Chaos but Grand Strategic Design: The Hidden Logic Behind Washington’s Recent Moves
Most analyses of recent American actions—from Venezuela to Iran—start from the same premise: that US policy has become erratic, reactive, and overly dependent on...
After Hormuz: Winners, Losers, and the Return of Energy Geopolitics
The de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz is not merely another oil shock. It is a structural rupture in the global energy...
Iran’s Weakening Is Turkey’s Opportunity — and Its Trap
The American and Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28 have altered the regional balance in ways that extend far beyond Tehran. The immediate...
What Thucydides Teaches Us About Great-Power Rivalry
Thucydides was acutely aware of the enduring relevance of his work. In the opening pages of his History of the Peloponnesian War, he writes that...
America’s Thucydidean Moment
Thucydides, had he lived today, would scarcely have been surprised by the arrogance of great powers or by the geopolitical disorder that now defines...