U.S. Energy Dominance and the Remaking of the Global Order
The sequence of events stretching from Venezuela to the war in Iran, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and the simultaneous degradation of...
Not Chaos but Grand Strategic Design: The Hidden Logic Behind Washington’s Recent Moves
Most analyses of recent American actions—from Venezuela to Iran—start from the same premise: that US policy has become erratic, reactive, and overly dependent on...
After Hormuz: Winners, Losers, and the Return of Energy Geopolitics
The de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz is not merely another oil shock. It is a structural rupture in the global energy...
Iran’s Weakening Is Turkey’s Opportunity — and Its Trap
The American and Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28 have altered the regional balance in ways that extend far beyond Tehran. The immediate...
What Thucydides Teaches Us About Great-Power Rivalry
Thucydides was acutely aware of the enduring relevance of his work. In the opening pages of his History of the Peloponnesian War, he writes that...
America’s Thucydidean Moment
Thucydides, had he lived today, would scarcely have been surprised by the arrogance of great powers or by the geopolitical disorder that now defines...
The Iranian Crisis as a Geopolitical Phenomenon
Waves of mass protest in Iran tend to erupt when least expected, though this should hardly surprise us. They typically represent the release of...
Venezuela and the Geopolitical Consequences of American Intervention
The events unfolding in Venezuela do not merely constitute another episode of regional instability. They reflect a deeper transformation of the international system: the...
Ukraine: The War Nobody Knows How to End
Wars Are Easy to Start—and harder to End
Starting a war is simple; ending one is far harder. The problem of war termination has long...