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Washington’s Brazil Problem: The New Geopolitics of Self-DefeatÂ
Central Claim
The United States has spent eighteen months applying economic, judicial, and now electoral pressure on Latin America's largest democracy, and at each step...
Are Terrorist Networks Entering a New Era of Cooperation?
For much of the modern era, terrorist organizations have been understood through the prism of ideology. Ethno nationalist insurgencies have pursued territorial autonomy, while...
Europe’s North African Gas Bet Isn’t Diversification — It’s a Two-Country Wager
Last Friday, in Berlin, Algerian president Abdelmadjid Tebboune signed an expanded gas agreement with Germany — the second Algerian-German gas deal in three years,...
What does the US-Saudi Nuclear Deal mean for Middle East Security
Central Claim
The US-Saudi nuclear deal is not so much an energy deal as it is Washington's most significant admission yet that the non-proliferation architecture...
Did Pakistan’s Iran Ceasefire Fail, or Was It Doomed From the Start?
On July 18, Iran's deputy foreign minister Kazem Gharibabadi announced that Tehran was suspending its commitments under the ceasefire it had signed in Islamabad...
The Strait of Hormuz Is Where Every Iran Ceasefire Goes to Die
On the morning of 7 July, an Iranian vessel struck three commercial ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz. Within 48 hours — at the...
Why Did the EU’s Latest Russia Sanctions Package Shrink?
On July 17, the Council of the European Union quietly froze the assets of one Russian executive and five companies belonging to a single...
Why Turkey Is Now Indispensable to the Future of NATO
Turkey's emergence as NATO's indispensable partner in 2026 is not a product of Erdogan's charm or Trump's personal loyalties, it is the strategic payoff...
Why Can Neither Washington Nor Tehran Talk Without Pakistan in the Room?
The 2026 war between Israel, the United States and Iran produced two outcomes that are easy to conflate but analytically distinct. The first was...
Is a Turkey–Israel War Actually Coming?
In March, Israeli F-35s struck three sites in central Syria that Turkish planners had quietly earmarked for a future airbase. No Turkish soldier had...