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Trump’s Iran War Is Coming Due at the Ballot Box
On October 14, new inflation figures showed consumer prices rising 3.7 percent over the year, with a 9.1 percent gasoline-price jump accounting for more...
Why America Can End Its Wars but Not Its Interventions
On 23 January 2026 the United States published a National Defense Strategy promising an end to interventionism, endless wars, regime change and nation building....
Sanctions as a Price Lever: What the Diesel Deal Reveals About the Transatlantic Split Over Ukraine
When Donald Trump announced on 9 October that Vladimir Putin would release Russian diesel onto world markets, it read at first like another episode...
European Awakening: A New Era of European Economic Defence?
When the European Union’s founding engine—France and Germany—finally finds common ground, the bloc crosses a structural threshold. In their joint letter to European Commission...
Europe Without Arms Control: Nuclear Risk After New START
The West and Russia have been entangled in prolonged, decades long tensions before. Now, with the demise of new START in Feb 2026, a...
Trump-Putin Diesel Deal Explained: What We Know and What It Means for Global Oil Markets
US President Donald Trump is taking steps to reduce diesel prices by lifting sanctions on Russian diesel exports and declaring a ceasefire on energy...
Diesel Diplomacy: A Weekend Peace Discount Meets a Gulf War Premium — and the Bond Market Prices the Fed Instead
Today's Numbers
~$103 (Brent on Monday morning, off a weekend spike above $105) · 5.24% (US 10-year Treasury yield at Friday's close) · 74.5% (Polymarket...
North Korea’s New Missile Threat: What It Means for China, Taiwan and US Defenses
The intelligence and data centers, the Academy of Military Sciences, the Rocket Force, and the intelligence, military, and security apparatus of the People's Liberation...
Europe Is Rearming. It Is Not Integrating
For the better part of a decade, the European defence debate ran on a single complaint: Europe would not spend. That complaint is now...
Easing Sino-Japanese Relations? Japan Is Being Overly Optimistic
In November, China will host the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting, drawing attention to Sino-Japanese relations. Compared to China, Japan appears more optimistic, viewing the...