More: Analysis
Russia’s Next Escalation Is Designed to Be Blamed on Ukraine
A Scenario With a Script
Most intelligence assessments warn about capabilities. The one Denmark’s Defence Intelligence Service published last week describes a script. It warns...
Xi Turned Taiwan Arms Sales Into a Subscription Service
The Money That Runs Out Today
At midnight tonight, $300 million that Congress appropriated as military financing for Taiwan expires unused. The State Department was...
Qatar, Pakistan and Egypt Are the New Mediators, and None of Them Is Neutral
Seven Days, Again
On 23 September, in a meeting room at the United Nations, Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, sat down with Steve Witkoff and...
Europe’s Winter Arithmetic: Why 2026 Is Not a Rerun of 2022
Two Documents, One Winter
On 25 September, EU Energy Commissioner Dan Jørgensen wrote to every member state warning of “a price crisis linking to a...
Switzerland Voted to Keep Neutrality Flexible. Its Role as a Mediator Has Already Moved On
A Landslide, and an Empty Resort
On Sunday, Swiss voters rejected the “Safeguard Swiss Neutrality” initiative by 70.2% to 29.8%. Not a single canton voted...
Washington’s Diesel Ban Would Hit Its Allies Harder Than Iran Does
A Phone Call, a Denial, and a Meeting in Brussels
On the evening of 23 September, Energy Secretary Chris Wright reportedly told energy executives that...
Venezuela’s President Leaves US Without a Deal or Election Date
Venezuela's interim President Delcy Rodriguez traveled to New York to attend the UN General Assembly, aiming to secure business deals related to debt, energy,...
The Middle Corridor’s Real Winners Aren’t Armenia and Azerbaijan
On September 10, 2026, US Congressman Abraham Hamadeh told reporters an Armenia-Azerbaijan peace treaty would arrive “a lot sooner rather than later.” Eighteen months...
How a London Court Quietly Decided Who Pays for Baltic Sea Sabotage
On July 6, 2026, a London judge did something four years of Baltic Sea investigators never managed: she reached a final, binding answer on...
Why Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban Went From Allies to Enemies
Pakistan's air force recently attacked 10 places in Afghanistan. This is the second time in four days they have done this, following a period...