Ballistic Diplomacy: Iran, Diego Garcia, and the Mauritius Concession
When Iran launched two ballistic missiles toward Diego Garcia on 20 March 2026, the immediate analytical response focused on what the strike revealed about...
The Invoiced Alliance: Transactional Power and the NATO Guarantee
There is a pattern in how Donald Trump approaches alliances, and it has been consistent since the opening weeks of 2016. It is not...
Friction at the Chokepoint: Iran’s Strategy of Systemic Coercion
Iran does not need to defeat the United States militarily to alter the outcome of this war. It does not need to sink an...
The Threshold Ally: Britain’s Selective Participation and the Future of Coalition Warfare
The Line That Moves
Not every ally fights the same war. On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched coordinated strikes against Iran's...
Operation Epic Fury: A New Architecture of Regime Change
On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched a coordinated military campaign against Iran, killed the Supreme Leader, and announced regime change...
When the Strong Decide: Diego Garcia, Raw Power, and the Illusion of Conditional Access
On 18 February 2026, reports emerged that Britain was withholding American permission to use Diego Garcia in any hypothetical strike against Iran. The following...
Contested Sovereignty in Interdependent Systems: Why Trump Retreated from Greenland
After weeks of military threats and economic coercion against NATO allies to secure access to Greenland’s vast rare earth deposits and expanded basing rights,...
Market Sovereignty and Executive Power: The Venezuela Case
Trump's Venezuela operation succeeded militarily but failed economically. United States forces executed Operation Absolute Resolve on January 3, capturing President Nicolás Maduro in a...
Hegemony Is Not a Business: The Diplomatic Cost of American Power
Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos on January 21, 2026, Donald Trump announced he was seeking "immediate negotiations" to acquire Greenland from...
The Chagos Paradox: What Trump’s Reversal Reveals About Contemporary Strategic Competition
On January 20, 2026, President Donald Trump reversed his administration's previous support for Britain's Chagos Islands agreement, describing the decision to transfer sovereignty to...