Arthur Michelino

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Arthur Michelino is an independent analyst focusing on strategic competition, international governance, and the interaction between law, institutions, and power. With a background in international affairs, insurance, and intelligence analysis, his work examines how complex systems, organisational dynamics, and legal frameworks shape contemporary international politics.

Exclusive articles:

Why The Middle East Crisis Cannot Be Read Through Power Alone

There is another way to read the ongoing Middle East crisis, one that makes legible what standard analysis consistently struggles to explain. It begins...

The Natural Effect of War: Trump, Hormuz and the Logic of Doux Commerce

Trump's suggestion that the United States and Iran might co-administer toll revenues in the Strait of Hormuz has been walked back by the White...

How Russia’s Network Collapse Exposes the Limits of Nuclear Deterrence

Russia holds a permanent seat on the United Nations Security Council, commands the world's largest nuclear arsenal, and occupies a landmass spanning eleven time...

How France Turned Lavrov’s Platform into a Strategic Communication Operation

Russian information doctrine operates on a consistent premise: that the openness of Western media systems is a vulnerability to be exploited. Granting an adversary...

The New Language of Power: How Infrastructure and Coercion Shape Global Rivalry

On March 22, Donald Trump posted a threat on Truth Social. If Iran did not fully open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours,...

Ballistic Diplomacy: Iran, Diego Garcia, and the Mauritius Concession

When Iran launched two ballistic missiles toward Diego Garcia on 20 March 2026, the immediate analytical response focused on what the strike revealed about...

The Invoiced Alliance: Transactional Power and the NATO Guarantee

There is a pattern in how Donald Trump approaches alliances, and it has been consistent since the opening weeks of 2016. It is not...

Friction at the Chokepoint: Iran’s Strategy of Systemic Coercion

Iran does not need to defeat the United States militarily to alter the outcome of this war. It does not need to sink an...

The Threshold Ally: Britain’s Selective Participation and the Future of Coalition Warfare

The Line That Moves Not every ally fights the same war. On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched coordinated strikes against Iran's...

Operation Epic Fury: A New Architecture of Regime Change

On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched a coordinated military campaign against Iran, killed the Supreme Leader, and announced regime change...

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Protests broke out in central Nigeria after 33 people...

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Global stocks and bonds came under pressure on Friday...

UK pushes EU for access to ‘Made in Europe’ industrial policy

Britain is seeking deeper economic and security ties with...

School shooting in southern Philippines leaves three dead and four injured

At least one person was killed and four others...
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