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The Strait of Hormuz Is Where Every Iran Ceasefire Goes to Die
On the morning of 7 July, an Iranian vessel struck three commercial ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz. Within 48 hours — at the...
Why Did the EU’s Latest Russia Sanctions Package Shrink?
On July 17, the Council of the European Union quietly froze the assets of one Russian executive and five companies belonging to a single...
Why Turkey Is Now Indispensable to the Future of NATO
Turkey's emergence as NATO's indispensable partner in 2026 is not a product of Erdogan's charm or Trump's personal loyalties, it is the strategic payoff...
Why Can Neither Washington Nor Tehran Talk Without Pakistan in the Room?
The 2026 war between Israel, the United States and Iran produced two outcomes that are easy to conflate but analytically distinct. The first was...
Is a Turkey–Israel War Actually Coming?
In March, Israeli F-35s struck three sites in central Syria that Turkish planners had quietly earmarked for a future airbase. No Turkish soldier had...
Is Iran Turning the Strait of Hormuz Into a Permanent Toll Gate?
Tehran has stopped trying to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. It is trying to own it. That distinction, more than any ceasefire announcement or...
How the Ankara Summit Became the Most Important NATO Meeting
The spending commitments, the Ukraine pledges, the bilateral deals that summits are supposed to produce were all delivered at the Ankara summit; but the...
How Ukraine Became Europe’s Most Important — and Ignored Defense Lesson
Europe's defense transformation is not a spending problem that more money will solve, rather it’s a doctrinal crisis, and the gap between the warfare...
Why America Cannot Remain a Global Power: The Choice Coming After 2027
This week, Washington faced a choice that it will face repeatedly until it finally makes it explicit. On Monday, the Trump administration demanded NATO...
European Energy Security After Russia: Progress, Fractures, and the Road to 2027
In 2021, Russia supplied 45% of all natural gas consumed in the European Union. Just four years later, that share has been cut to...