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Hamas’s Disarmament Dare: The New Limits of American Dealmaking
Central Claim
The US-brokered deal for Hamas to disarm and Israeli forces to withdraw from Gaza is less an agreement than a diplomatic dare: each...
Europe Is Building a Defense Industry Faster Than It Can Decide Who Belongs In It
Earlier this year, British negotiators walked away from talks to join the EU's flagship defense fund after being quoted a price of €6 billion...
To Beat a State-Capitalist Rival, Washington Became One: Inside the New Critical Minerals Race
On July 10, almost exactly a year after the Pentagon announced it was becoming the largest shareholder in MP Materials, the International Energy Agency...
Washington Arrived Late: Syria’s Economic Reintegration Is Already a Gulf-Run Enterprise
On July 13, at Damascus's Dama Rose Hotel, Syria's economy minister, Nidal al-Shaar, stood before executives from Chevron, Visa, Citibank, EY and a dozen...
Washington’s Brazil Problem: The New Geopolitics of Self-Defeat
Central Claim
The United States has spent eighteen months applying economic, judicial, and now electoral pressure on Latin America's largest democracy, and at each step...
Are Terrorist Networks Entering a New Era of Cooperation?
For much of the modern era, terrorist organizations have been understood through the prism of ideology. Ethno nationalist insurgencies have pursued territorial autonomy, while...
Europe’s North African Gas Bet Isn’t Diversification — It’s a Two-Country Wager
Last Friday, in Berlin, Algerian president Abdelmadjid Tebboune signed an expanded gas agreement with Germany — the second Algerian-German gas deal in three years,...
What does the US-Saudi Nuclear Deal mean for Middle East Security
Central Claim
The US-Saudi nuclear deal is not so much an energy deal as it is Washington's most significant admission yet that the non-proliferation architecture...
Did Pakistan’s Iran Ceasefire Fail, or Was It Doomed From the Start?
On July 18, Iran's deputy foreign minister Kazem Gharibabadi announced that Tehran was suspending its commitments under the ceasefire it had signed in Islamabad...
The Strait of Hormuz Is Where Every Iran Ceasefire Goes to Die
On the morning of 7 July, an Iranian vessel struck three commercial ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz. Within 48 hours — at the...