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Is a Turkey–Israel War Actually Coming?
In March, Israeli F-35s struck three sites in central Syria that Turkish planners had quietly earmarked for a future airbase. No Turkish soldier had...
Is Iran Turning the Strait of Hormuz Into a Permanent Toll Gate?
Tehran has stopped trying to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. It is trying to own it. That distinction, more than any ceasefire announcement or...
How the Ankara Summit Became the Most Important NATO Meeting
The spending commitments, the Ukraine pledges, the bilateral deals that summits are supposed to produce were all delivered at the Ankara summit; but the...
How Ukraine Became Europe’s Most Important — and Ignored Defense Lesson
Europe's defense transformation is not a spending problem that more money will solve, rather it’s a doctrinal crisis, and the gap between the warfare...
Why America Cannot Remain a Global Power: The Choice Coming After 2027
This week, Washington faced a choice that it will face repeatedly until it finally makes it explicit. On Monday, the Trump administration demanded NATO...
European Energy Security After Russia: Progress, Fractures, and the Road to 2027
In 2021, Russia supplied 45% of all natural gas consumed in the European Union. Just four years later, that share has been cut to...
Why the Iran War Made Turkey the Gulf’s Most Valuable Defense Partner
In 2016, Turkey's defense exports stood at $1.67 billion. By the end of 2026, that figure is expected to exceed $11 billion. That is...