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Trump and Hegseth Are Spending NATO’s Credibility on a War Allies Will Not Own

The most durable damage from Washington’s war with Iran may not be in Iran at all. It may be inside the alliance system the...

Suspended Between Escalation and Exit: The U.S.–Iran War’s Strategic Deadlock

Entering the second month of the war with Iran, the United States has delivered substantial military effects without articulating a viable political end state—a...

Panregions Reborn: Macro-Geopolitics and the Path to Hegemony

The international system is changing in ways that are often described as the end of globalisation. That diagnosis captures part of the story, but...

Claiming Peace, Waging War: U.S. Policy in a New Era of Global Conflict

The world witnessed major conflicts in 2025, with one of the most alarming escalations between the two nuclear-armed neighbors, India and Pakistan. If it...

The Strait of Hormuz as the New Suez Moment

20% of the world’s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, a small chokepoint whose use is now being massively disrupted by war, drone...

Iran Isn’t Just a Threat—It’s Splitting NATO

The war with Iran is exposing a structural fracture inside NATO—one that may prove more consequential than any external threat facing the Alliance today....

Beijing’s forever wait for a Trump visit: zero enthusiasm, low expectation

The news is just filtering in that the US president will now be visiting China for two days—not three, as planned earlier—May 14-15. As...

Ballistic Diplomacy: Iran, Diego Garcia, and the Mauritius Concession

When Iran launched two ballistic missiles toward Diego Garcia on 20 March 2026, the immediate analytical response focused on what the strike revealed about...

The United States is Undermining Its Own Objectives in Iran

The US and Israel have continued their offensive in Iran, over three weeks since launching their initial airstrikes. The United States has stated that...

Not Chaos but Grand Strategic Design: The Hidden Logic Behind Washington’s Recent Moves

Most analyses of recent American actions—from Venezuela to Iran—start from the same premise: that US policy has become erratic, reactive, and overly dependent on...

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