More: Geopolitics
Hamas’s Disarmament Dare: The New Limits of American Dealmaking
Central Claim
The US-brokered deal for Hamas to disarm and Israeli forces to withdraw from Gaza is less an agreement than a diplomatic dare: each...
Europe’s New Gas Geography in the 2030s
Europe enters the decisive years of its post‑Russian gas transition with a structural constraint that cannot be negotiated away. Political timelines move in short...
Can Europe Win the Energy Race Before High Costs Undermine Its Economy?
Europe has significantly reduced its dependence on Russian energy since the 2022 energy crisis, but it now faces a different and potentially more damaging...
Europe’s Energy Crisis Response Is Papering Over the Cracks
Faced with another summer of punishing energy costs, EU governments are once again reaching for the same short-term fixes—excise cuts, tax credits, and price...
Washington’s Brazil Problem: The New Geopolitics of Self-DefeatÂ
Central Claim
The United States has spent eighteen months applying economic, judicial, and now electoral pressure on Latin America's largest democracy, and at each step...
From Gibraltar to the Arctic: Why the Arctic Cannot Wait for the Governance of Tomorrow
For much of the past three years, Europe's strategic attention has been fixed further south. The Red Sea crisis, instability around the Strait of...
Why Didn’t the Iran–Israel War Divide the Middle East?
Throughout the history of international relations, major crises have often produced a predictable outcome: they force states to make choices. When rivalry between two...
Is China Really Filling America’s Vacuum?
Evidence from 2026 shows that China is not simply filling the gap or staying out. Instead, China is acting strategically-getting involved where its own...
The Story of Two Straits: Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb
The Houthi threats remain in the stage of statements and have not yet translated into an actual closure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. However,...
Why Fragmented AI Strategies May Become a Geopolitical Asset
From Pax Silica and WAICO to India’s open digital rails, Southeast Asia’s overlapping alignments could strengthen regional bargaining power—if interoperability turns diversity into agency.
When...