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What Is GAESA and Why Is It Central to Rising US-Cuba Tensions?
U. S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has openly criticized a military business group in Cuba called GAESA for the country's economic problems. He...
Why a Trump-Taiwan President Call Could Escalate US-China Tensions
U. S. President Donald Trump announced that he would speak with Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te, a significant move that could upset U. S.-China relations...
UNPROFOR and the Declining Relevance of the UN
The April rejection of the United Nations draft proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, despite being backed by 112 member states, paints a...
US Gulf Defense Deals Aim to Curb China’s Middle East Expansion
The appointment of Iranian Parliament Speaker Qalibaf as special envoy for Chinese affairs is directly linked to the failure of US President Donald Trump's...
Strategic Ambiguity Is Becoming the Gulf’s New Deterrence Doctrine
In the Gulf, the most important signals are increasingly the ones no actor fully confirms.
For decades, Gulf security rested on a relatively clear deterrence...
A Rising China, an Established America, and the Thucydides Trap
When the ancient Greek historian Thucydides chronicled the Peloponnesian War, he did not write only about the clash between Athens and Sparta. He documented...
The Power of the AI Chip: The Techno-statecraft Approach in the US-China Great Power Rivalry
The recent H200 chip export authorisation marks a new form of power signalling in the technopolitics sphere. Advanced AI chips are the newest weapons...
EU Moves to Reduce China Dependency with New Supply Chain Diversification Rules
The European Union is preparing new rules that would require companies in the bloc to diversify their supply chains and reduce reliance on a...
US – Iran Energy Shock Damage Is Spreading in Asia
In the Asian shock, four transmission channels play a role. In the case of oil, elevated risk premium is coupled with physical tightening via...
Trump’s Iran Brinkmanship Hits a Wall as Conflict Stalemate Deepens
During his first year, U. S. President Donald Trump's aggressive negotiating style led to some gains with other countries, but when it comes to...