Renewed Gulf Hostilities, Elevated Regional and Global Uncertainty
The United States and Iran traded new attacks overnight into Thursday, intensifying an exchange that has threatened the collapse of their agreement to end...
Obliterating Gaza’s Children: The Damning UN Report
When I was working on The Fall of Israel (2024) and particularly The Obliteration Doctrine (2025), what I found most repulsive was the targeting...
An Unwarranted War, a Global Economic Drag
When the US-Iran conflict escalated earlier this year, the immediate concern centered on oil prices and the Strait of Hormuz.
But the real danger was...
A Regional Crisis or a Protracted International Disorder?
On May 31, Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam gave a televised address in which he condemned Israel’s invasion and intensified attacks on southern Lebanon...
US – Iran Energy Shock Damage Is Spreading in Asia
In the Asian shock, four transmission channels play a role. In the case of oil, elevated risk premium is coupled with physical tightening via...
Obliteration Ecocide from Gaza to Lebanon and Beyond
Israeli military aggression has “reshaped both the physical and ecological landscape” of southern Lebanon, according to the Lebanese report (which does not consider the...
The impact of the US-Israel-Iran crisis on Asia
At the peak of the crisis, oil surged to $110–116/bbl. But it remains volatile at $90–100 after ceasefire pause. Liquefied natural gas (LNG) took...
The Unwarranted Iran War: US-China Stakes, Regional Costs, Global Losses
Originally set for March, the high-stakes summit between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping was postponed for about "five or six...
Philippines path to ASEAN’s Ukraine? The move toward a regional military hub
Last week, the Pentagon disclosed that the US-led military manufacturing partnership (PIPIR) is assessing funding for a major new ammunition assembly and production line...
US – Israel War against International Law
After three weeks of effective war, the hostilities have caused severe regional spillovers, thousands of deaths, displacements of millions and a massive global energy...