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Why Cuba Is Unlikely to Follow Venezuela Despite Trump Pressure
U. S. President Donald Trump's administration is increasing pressure on Cuba after the military's involvement in removing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. However, Cuba is...
From Deterrence to Attrition: The Message Iran’s Resistance Sent to the China-U.S. Rivalry
Assessments of Trump’s recent trip to China indicate that the Iran-U.S. confrontation has moved beyond a regional crisis and has become a decisive variable...
How Trump Has Strengthened the China-Russia Alliance More Than Ever
Trump was barely back on Air Force One when Putin landed in Beijing.
The contrast was deliberate, and everyone involved understood it. Trump had arrived...
Geology meets Geopolitics: The Global Race for Critical Minerals in the Climate transition
As the world seeks to mitigate climate change by transitioning to renewable energy sources, geopolitical actors are entering a new resource race to secure...
Indo-Pacific Oil & Gas Reset: Gulf Shifts, U.S. Risk & and the New Geography of Asian Procurement
The global hydrocarbon system is currently facing significant structural constraints, with access to oil and gas heavily influenced by geography and political factors rather...
The Interwar Trap Returns: What 1919-1939 Europe Teaches the U.S., Japan, and South Korea Today
In contemporary debates on the Indo-Pacific, decision-makers sometimes invoke the lessons of the 1930s—mostly as a warning against “appeasement.” However, such a frame is...
Financial Brief: A Weekly Roundup on the Geopolitics of Money | May 19
EXECUTIVE TAKEAWAYS
Trump pauses Iran strike, markets bounce cautiously. Dollar steadied and Australian shares rose 1% after Trump delayed military action, though oil is still...
Is America Actually Losing Southeast Asia to China in 2026?
Wang Yi just completed his third multi-country tour of Southeast Asia in twelve months. Xi Jinping has visited the region twice since April 2025....
Trump, Xi and Europe’s Macedonian Moment
In the marble halls of Beijing’s Great Hall of the People this week, President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping concluded a summit many...
After the Iran War: Seven Dynamics That Will Define the New Middle East
Every major war in the Middle East has left the region permanently altered in ways that nobody fully anticipated at the time. The 1948...