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The West is buying time, but to whom is it giving it?
Military mobilization has always been a difficult issue for the European Union, just as difficult as the creation of a common European army. However,...
Saudi Arabia’s Strategic Squeeze
Authors: John A. Calabrese and Aaron Jon Pasha*
Saudi Arabia’s approach to the Iran war has been defined by a sustained effort to avoid direct...
The Periodic Table Is a Sanctions Weapon Now
On 23 July, the EU adopted its toughest sanctions package yet against Russian oil and gas revenue — asset freezes on 94 banks, an...
China’s Export Controls Are Supposed to Target America. Why Do They Keep Hitting Europe?
On October 9, 2025, China's Ministry of Commerce added five more rare earth elements to its export control list and, for the first time,...
Third ‘Term’ Lucky? Assessing Democratic Backsliding in Trump’s America
President Trump’s periodic mentions of attempting a third presidential run have largely been dismissed as jokes throughout the last decade. Recently, however, these instances...
Maritime Security is Europe’s Next Strategic Test
Authors: Iren Marinova & Gabriella Gricius*
Europe has spent the past decade learning how to provide maritime security abroad. The EU, specifically, has made substantial...
One Spreadsheet, Three Crises
On 6 July, the Dutch government summoned the mayors of ten municipalities that had simply refused to open the asylum shelters the law requires...
Hamas’s Disarmament Dare: The New Limits of American Dealmaking
Central Claim
The US-brokered deal for Hamas to disarm and Israeli forces to withdraw from Gaza is less an agreement than a diplomatic dare: each...
Europe’s New Gas Geography in the 2030s
Europe enters the decisive years of its post‑Russian gas transition with a structural constraint that cannot be negotiated away. Political timelines move in short...
Continuous Instability in the Gulf and the Shockwaves of the Ukraine War
A Global Energy System That No Longer Heals
The global energy system has entered a phase where shocks do not fade, but they accumulate. They...