More: Analysis
The Ulchi Freedom Shield Cuts: Why Did the US Rattle Its Most Important Asian Ally?
When a US president scales back military exercises with a key Pacific ally hours before they begin, and offers two contradictory reasons for doing...
The Patriot Problem: America Can’t Build Missiles Fast Enough
On July 23, Volodymyr Zelensky told Ukrainians that Raytheon wanted to help produce Patriot interceptors on Ukrainian-linked lines. Five days later, Lockheed Martin signed...
The Army That Can’t Do the One Thing It’s Been Asked To Do
Three villages. That is the full extent of Lebanese Armed Forces control under the “pilot zone” framework that Washington brokered in June — Zawtar...
Why Is Trump Angrier at Oman Than at Iran Right Now?
The threat reveals less about Oman and far more about how comprehensively the Iran war has gone off script for an administration that promised...
The Barrels OPEC+ Can’t Actually Deliver
On August 12th, Bloomberg reported a number that should unsettle anyone still reading OPEC+'s monthly quota announcements at face value: Russia's actual crude output...
China’s New Arctic Gamble Has a Russian Catch
China's new Arctic route cuts the journey from Ningbo to Europe in half. What the headlines aren't saying is that every mile of it...
Beijing’s Coalition of Drills: How China Is Renting Normalcy in Contested Waters
By chaining bilateral naval exercises across a widening circle of partners — Russia, Malaysia, Cambodia, Thailand, Vietnam, and now Indonesia — Beijing is not...
The Invisible Crisis: How Four Wars Built One Food Emergency
What is happening to global food prices right now is not four separate stories. It is one supply shock being assembled in four places...
China and Russia Are Pressuring Japan on Two Fronts. Is a Pacific Pincer Taking Shape?
Putin's Kuril landing is not a bilateral Russia-Japan sovereignty dispute. It is the northern half of a coordinated Sino-Russian pressure campaign on Tokyo —...
Trump’s Board of Peace Faces a Gaza Governance Crisis It May Not Be Able to Solve
The Board of Peace is not a ceasefire-management mechanism drifting toward failure. It is a governance model built with the same structural fault line...