More: Analysis
Why the Shadow Fleet’s Baltic Reckoning Won’t Look Like the Mediterranean’s
On August 2nd, Italian commandos rappelled from a helicopter onto the deck of the Toa Payoh, a Russian-linked crude carrier, in the Mediterranean. It...
Kuwait caught in the crossfire: How the Iran War is Engulfing the Middle East
Kuwait has since the beginning of the Iran War in February been targeted by Iranian drones and missiles 1,400 times. Why has this state—smaller...
The First Major Test of OPEC+ After UAE’s Exit
For almost six decades, the United Arab Emirates had been a member of OPEC, but all of that came to an end on May...
The First Draft Is No Longer Theirs
At roughly 4am on 30 July, a Russian Kh-101 cruise missile came down in farmland near Tarnawa-Kolonia, Poland, after Polish radar lost track of...
NATO’s Escalation Problem: The New Psychology of Russian Provocation
Every time Russia crosses a line NATO said mattered and NATO's response looks functionally identical to its response to the previous violation, the alliance...
The Periodic Table Is a Sanctions Weapon Now
On 23 July, the EU adopted its toughest sanctions package yet against Russian oil and gas revenue — asset freezes on 94 banks, an...
Senate Shelves Crypto Market-Structure Bill, But Wall Street Keeps Buying Bitcoin
The US Senate will not vote on crypto's most consequential piece of pending legislation before lawmakers leave Washington for their August recess, leaving the...
One Spreadsheet, Three Crises
On 6 July, the Dutch government summoned the mayors of ten municipalities that had simply refused to open the asylum shelters the law requires...
Hamas’s Disarmament Dare: The New Limits of American Dealmaking
Central Claim
The US-brokered deal for Hamas to disarm and Israeli forces to withdraw from Gaza is less an agreement than a diplomatic dare: each...
Washington’s Brazil Problem: The New Geopolitics of Self-DefeatÂ
Central Claim
The United States has spent eighteen months applying economic, judicial, and now electoral pressure on Latin America's largest democracy, and at each step...