Middle East & Africa
Strategic Ambiguity Is Becoming the Gulf’s New Deterrence Doctrine
In the Gulf, the most important signals are increasingly the ones no actor fully confirms.
For decades, Gulf security rested on a relatively clear deterrence...
After the Iran War: Seven Dynamics That Will Define the New Middle East
Every major war in the Middle East has left the region permanently altered in ways that nobody fully anticipated at the time. The 1948...
Can Israel and Lebanon Actually Make Peace in 2026?
Israel and Lebanon have technically been in a state of war since 1948. No diplomatic relations. A shared border that has been a frontline,...
Infrastructure Attribution and the Invoiced Passage at Hormuz
The Persian Gulf Strait Authority, launched by Iran on 5 May 2026, is the institutional capstone of a longer manoeuvre. Its visible apparatus reduces...
How the Iran War Has Impacted Middle Eastern Countries
The war that started on February 28 with a major Israeli-U. S. bombing campaign against Iran has deeply affected the entire Middle East, causing...
Hezbollah’s Expanding Drone Warfare Threatens Wider Iran Peace Efforts
The growing drone conflict between Hezbollah and Israel in southern Lebanon is emerging as a major obstacle to broader diplomatic efforts aimed at stabilizing...
Control of the Strait of Hormuz May Define the Next Phase of the Iran Conflict
The Strait of Hormuz has become the central strategic battleground in the ongoing confrontation involving Iran, the United States, and regional Gulf powers. What...
Iran Peace Deal Prospects Weaken as Trump Rejects Tehran Proposal
Hopes for a diplomatic breakthrough between the United States and Iran weakened significantly after United States President Donald Trump dismissed Iran’s latest counterproposal and...
Defining Phase for the US-Iran War: Peace Talks Loom and US Ships in the Gulf
Authors: Sanjay Turi and Farana Salam*
Amid rising uncertainty over the peace treaty as the disagreement between the US and Iran over peace proposals continues...
The Fragile Ukraine Ceasefire Reveals the Limits of Diplomacy in Prolonged Modern Warfare
The continued clashes and drone strikes reported by Ukraine despite a United States brokered ceasefire reveal the deep structural difficulties facing diplomatic efforts to...