Middle East & Africa
Three Possible Futures of the War on Iran: Stalemate, a Deal, or Regional Meltdown
The war on Iran is now into its third week. The Strait of Hormuz remains heavily disrupted, and oil prices have moved above $100/brl...
Why Is China Keeping a Low Profile on the Iran War?
The Iran war has been going on for nearly three weeks, and one question that keeps coming up is, "Why isn't China actively stepping...
When Hormuz closes, the Gulf pays twice
The race by Gulf importers to reroute food, medicines, and factory supplies is more than a temporary logistics headache. It is a reminder that...
Suicide Bombings Expose Enduring Strength of Nigerian Jihadists
Nigeria’s Islamist insurgency, now in its seventeenth year, remains one of the longest-running conflicts in Africa. It began with Boko Haram’s emergence in Maiduguri,...
Is Peace Over After Larijani’s Killing?
The conflict between Iran and Israel has entered a more volatile phase, with both sides escalating attacks and rejecting efforts to contain the war....
After Iran, Will Saudi Arabia Pose the Next Strategic Challenge?
The currently ongoing war involving the Islamic Republic of Iran, the United States, and the State of Israel has been a long time in...
Is China a silent profiter from the War in Iran?
The recent U.S. and Israeli attack in Iran has once again placed the Middle East at the center of global tensions, with outcomes and...
Iran Widens War to Gulf, Exposing Cracks in Trump Strategy
The conflict between Iran and the United States and Israel has entered a more volatile phase, as Tehran expands its attacks to include U.S....
Competing Intentions in Iran’s Political Future and the Appeal of External Involvement
The recent escalation into open military confrontation between Iran and external actors has transformed what had long been a theoretical debate into an immediate...
A Coup for Security? Testing the Military’s Claims in Niger
On 26 July 2023, a face largely unknown to the public appeared on Niger's national television. Abdourahamane Tchiani, commander of the presidential guard, stood...