A Ceasefire Without Europe, a Peace Without Security?
Wars can stop without being settled. That is the uncomfortable possibility behind Ukraine’s latest diplomatic opening. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has indicated that Kyiv could...
Greenland Can Choose Independence, But Can It Choose What Comes After?
The Greenland crisis appears to have ended with signatures rather than confrontation. On September 22, 2026, the United States, Denmark and Greenland signed a...
Can Japan Sustain Its Biggest Military Buildup Since WWII?
For much of the postwar era, Japan treated military restraint as part of its national identity. Its Self Defense Forces were capable, the alliance...
The Arctic Reopens as a Geopolitical Theatre
For much of modern history, the Arctic was protected by geography. Thick ice, brutal weather and distance kept it away from the busy arteries...
Is the Horn of Africa Becoming the Next Front in the Middle Eastern Power Competition?
The Red Sea no longer separates the Middle East from Africa. It increasingly connects their security problems. Across the Horn of Africa, ports,...
Is the G20 Becoming a Bilateral Summit With Extra Chairs?
The G20 was cartographed because the world economy had become too interconnected to be managed by a handful of powerful states. In 2026, that...
The Crowded Table: Why Four Mediators Have Failed to Fix the Pakistan Afghanistan Ceasefire
The ceasefire between Pakistan and Afghanistan resembles a ghost. It exists on paper but peace remains missing on the ground. Along the Durand Line,...