Did Spain Ignore Warnings Before the Ceuta Migrant Rush?
Spanish border workers warned authorities weeks before a mass migrant rush into the North African enclave of Ceuta that arrivals were increasing and could...
Turkey’s Central Asia Strategy After Ukraine: How Far Can Ankara Go?
The war in Ukraine and the sanctions that followed it redrew the geo-economic map of Eurasia almost overnight. Supply chains assembled over decades were...
The U.S. and Iran Will Fight Again Before the Mid-Terms
Iran is very likely to be attacked by the U.S. and Israel in early October of 2026 to preempt an Iranian attack on Israel...
China and Russia Are Pressuring Japan on Two Fronts. Is a Pacific Pincer Taking Shape?
Putin's Kuril landing is not a bilateral Russia-Japan sovereignty dispute. It is the northern half of a coordinated Sino-Russian pressure campaign on Tokyo —...
Trump’s Board of Peace Faces a Gaza Governance Crisis It May Not Be Able to Solve
The Board of Peace is not a ceasefire-management mechanism drifting toward failure. It is a governance model built with the same structural fault line...
Washington drew Iraq a red line it can’t enforce. It will settle for a photo op
The US-led coalition leaves Iraq on Sept. 30, and Washington has attached a price to the exit: the country's most powerful militias must hand...
Ceuta and Morocco-Spain relations: migration, dependence, border issues
The recent mass irregular migration incident in Ceuta should be seen as more than a border security issue. It is a significant test of...
Will the Gulf ever recover from the Iran War permacrisis?
Before the launch of Operation Epic Fury back in February, the Islamic Republic’s lashing out at both enemies and erstwhile friends, and the grinding...
China’s Peacekeepers in Lebanon: Engineering Mandate, Strategic Subtext
On Monday, August 10, 2026, the 24th contingent of Chinese peacekeepers in Lebanon completed their mission of cleaning and restoring the UNIFIL Integrated Training...
Hormuz Is Yesterday’s Crisis. Bab-el-Mandeb Is Tomorrow’s
On Tuesday, three Houthi ballistic missiles slammed into the Tihamah, an Egyptian-owned cargo ship easing through Bab-el-Mandeb's eighteen-mile channel. A fourth missile hit the...