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Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland Signed an Independence Pact. Westminster Still Holds Every Legal Card
The September 14 Cardiff memorandum is a coordinated pressure campaign timed to a uniquely weak moment for the union's defenders — a fragile, freshly...
Deconstructing Turkey’s Revisionism in the Aegean and Broad Regions
Turkey escalated tensions with Greece sharply in September 2026, as denoted by a return to hardline rhetoric and friction over regional alliances in the...
Central Banks Are Buying Gold Like De-Dollarization Is Already Happening — Are They Right?
Central banks' record, price-insensitive gold buying is a more credible signal of the dollar's structural trajectory than this year's currency markets, because FX markets...
AfD, Reform UK and RN Aren’t the Same Story
In 2026, a small cottage industry of British commentators started asking whether the UK needs its own version of Germany's Brandmauer — a cross-party...
Do Sanctions Still Work? Russia, Iran and Sudan Say No
On February 1st, the G7's price cap on Russian crude oil quietly reset itself to $44.10 a barrel — down from $47.60, and a...
Bitter Harbour: The Fall of Mocha and the Remaking of the Red Sea Order
There is a particularly dark irony, at least from our perspective, in seeing the port of Mocha change hands again. This is the town...
Amnesty, States, and the Argument Both Sides Keep Missing
Every few months, somewhere in the world, a state expels or threatens to expel a category of foreign nationals, and the exchange that follows...
China and Taiwan’s “National Question”: The Battle Over Cross-Strait Unity
What is complicating the Taiwan issue is not just the shifting military balance or the increasing US-China competition, but the growing divergence in the...
The Predictable Earthquake: What Saxony Anhalt Tells Us About Europe
On Sunday 6 September 2026, voters in the eastern German state of Saxony Anhalt did something no electorate in the country had ever done....
The Credibility Gap: Russia’s Rational Test of NATO’s Eastern Flank
On 12 August, NATO's ambassadors met in Brussels to respond to a fortnight of Russian drones and missile debris crossing into Polish and Romanian...