US President Donald Trump is scheduled to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping this week as he aims to finalize crucial parts of his trade strategy, particularly securing a domestic supply of essential minerals to reduce reliance on China. However, many US mining projects remain years away from production, despite significant federal investment, leaving American manufacturers dependent on Chinese materials necessary for semiconductors, robotics, military equipment, and artificial intelligence.
This reliance creates a challenging situation for Trump during trade negotiations, as he must balance standing firm on tariffs and export controls while ensuring access to critical materials that the US does not produce in enough quantities. China holds significant leverage as the leading miner of rare earths and has previously restricted exports of these important minerals, impacting US manufacturing operations.
The slow progress in US mineral projects highlights the challenges of reviving an industry that had nearly been abandoned. Analysts note a significant gap between ambitious plans and actual projects ready for production, with many initiatives still in early planning stages rather than actionable.
The upcoming meeting with Xi will be critical for assessing Trump’s negotiation strategy. They might discuss extending their trade agreement, which is set to expire in January, that includes waivers on certain critical minerals. China has previously used its dominance in rare earth minerals as a negotiating tool, while also accusing the US of misusing export controls.
Stay ahead of the geopolitical week.
MD Briefing delivers expert analysis across five global fronts — the Indo-Pacific, energy, geoeconomics, European security, and the Middle East — every Monday morning. Free.
The US continues to lag in production capacity compared to China, especially for key materials used in electric vehicles and military applications. The Trump administration has initiated steps to speed up mineral projects, but many remain years from realization, with some significant facilities projected to open only in the next decade.
Additionally, Trump’s minerals strategy faces political scrutiny at home, especially with Democrats anticipated to take control of Congress, raising questions about the administration’s private company investments. US Energy Secretary Chris Wright expressed readiness to clarify the efforts made by the government in funding various minerals projects.
With information from Reuters

