Can Russia and Ukraine Still Reach a Peace Deal? Putin Says Yes

Russian President Vladimir Putin said there is still a possibility of reaching a peace agreement to end the war in Ukraine, while arguing that recent Ukrainian attacks on shipping and warnings over Russian airspace have made the resumption of negotiations more difficult.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said there is still a possibility of reaching a peace agreement to end the war in Ukraine, while arguing that recent Ukrainian attacks on shipping and warnings over Russian airspace have made the resumption of negotiations more difficult.

Putin said countries including the United States and China were willing to support a settlement, but ultimately Russia and Ukraine would have to resolve the conflict themselves.

Putin Signals Opening for Peace Talks

Putin said Russia sees a possibility for peace and expressed appreciation for countries attempting to facilitate a settlement.

However, he indicated that restarting direct negotiations has become more difficult. No peace talks have taken place since February, while fighting has continued for more than four years.

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Ukraine’s Airspace Warning

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy recently warned airlines and insurance companies that Russian airspace had become dangerous because of Ukrainian drone activity.

Zelenskiy said Ukraine would target Russian military facilities rather than civilian aircraft. Ukraine also asked the U.N. aviation agency to encourage countries to prohibit operations in Russian airspace.

Putin nevertheless described the reported threats to civilian aircraft, alongside attacks on merchant shipping, as acts of “state terrorism” and said they complicated the prospects for bilateral talks.

War Continues Despite Diplomatic Efforts

The conflict remains largely deadlocked along the front line. At the same time, both sides have intensified long range attacks deep inside each other’s territory.

The war at sea has also escalated, with attacks targeting ports and commercial shipping.

Russia Keeps Contact With Washington

Putin said Moscow continues to communicate with the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump, which has been seeking to broker a peace agreement.

He said contacts were taking place through U.S. and Russian intelligence agencies as well as Trump’s envoys. CIA Director John Ratcliffe also met Russian intelligence chiefs in Moscow the previous week, although neither side disclosed what was discussed.

Why It Matters

Putin’s comments suggest that Moscow continues to leave the door open to a negotiated settlement, but the conditions surrounding a return to talks remain difficult.

The combination of intensified military activity, attacks on shipping and growing concerns over Russian airspace creates additional obstacles to rebuilding trust between the two sides.

Key Stakeholders

The central stakeholders are Russia and Ukraine, whose agreement would ultimately be required for a settlement. The United States remains important because of Trump’s efforts to broker peace, while China and other countries have been identified by Putin as potential supporters of a settlement.

What’s Next

The immediate question is whether ongoing contacts involving Russia, the United States and diplomatic intermediaries can create conditions for renewed direct negotiations between Moscow and Kyiv.

At the same time, continued attacks on land, at sea and through long range strikes could make restarting talks increasingly difficult.

Analysis

Putin’s statement combines a peace signal with a warning. By saying that a settlement remains possible, Moscow is keeping the diplomatic channel open. But by immediately pointing to Ukrainian attacks and airspace warnings as obstacles, Putin is also making clear that Russia views the current security environment as incompatible with an easy return to negotiations.

The continued involvement of Washington is particularly significant. U.S. contacts with Russia provide a potential channel for diplomacy even while direct Russia Ukraine talks remain stalled.

Ultimately, however, the gap between the possibility of peace and the conditions required to restart negotiations remains substantial. The war’s expanding use of long range attacks and growing risks around civilian shipping and aviation could make diplomacy harder even as both sides continue to discuss the possibility of a settlement.

With information from Reuters.

Sana Khan
Sana Khan
Sana Khan is the News Editor at Modern Diplomacy. She is a political analyst and researcher focusing on global security, foreign policy, and power politics, driven by a passion for evidence-based analysis. Her work explores how strategic and technological shifts shape the international order.

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