Strategic Ambiguity Is Becoming the Gulf’s New Deterrence Doctrine
In the Gulf, the most important signals are increasingly the ones no actor fully confirms.
For decades, Gulf security rested on a relatively clear deterrence...
A Fragile Chance to Break Iran’s Hold on Hezbollah
The Middle East often appears frozen in entrenched conflict—until everything shifts at once. The June 2025 12‑Day War between Israel and Iran offers one...
After ‘Operation Midnight Hammer’: Israel at the Crossroads of Complexity
Nearly a month has passed since the United States launched Operation Midnight Hammer, a precision strike against Iran’s nuclear infrastructure. What began as a...
Striking Complexity: The 2025 Israel-Iran War, Nuclear Deterrence, and the Reconfiguration of Regional Order
For over two decades, Israel and Iran have been locked in a shadow conflict over the Islamic Republic’s nuclear ambitions and regional influence. From...
From Sykes-Picot to a Greater Syrian Emirates: Post-Assad Syria
The Hamas ‘terror blow’ of October 7, 2023, was intended, in the eyes of the initiator, Yahya Sinwar, to serve as a trigger that...