US Presidential Elections and Implications

President Trump has indicated his commitment to a more business-friendly economic approach, which could further differentiate his administration from Biden’s.

It wasn’t necessarily that Donald Trump was overwhelmingly popular in his bid for the presidency, but rather that the perceived drawbacks of his opponent, Kamala Harris, contributed significantly to his victory. Historically, the United States has never had a female president, as demonstrated by Hillary Clinton’s previous defeat. This could suggest that American society may not yet be fully prepared to elect a woman as president. However, this perspective may evolve in the future as societal attitudes continue to progress.

A major challenge for Kamala Harris’s campaign was that she was seen as an extension of President Joe Biden’s policies. This association came with baggage: the withdrawal from Afghanistan, ongoing tensions in Ukraine, rising unrest in Gaza, and confrontations in the South China Sea. These issues left many Americans feeling fatigued by Biden’s perceived Cold War-era mindset and yearning for a change. This disenchantment with Biden’s policies likely resulted in a decisive anti-Harris vote, ultimately benefiting Trump.

Economic Policies

President Trump has indicated his commitment to a more business-friendly economic approach, which could further differentiate his administration from Biden’s. His economic agenda will likely include significant tax cuts for individuals and corporations, coupled with incentives to stimulate domestic manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign supply chains. Known for his focus on “America First,” Trump may continue to pursue policies that favor American jobs, businesses, and industries, especially in sectors like manufacturing, energy, and technology. This agenda appeals to voters who feel that globalization has hurt American industry and believe that a strong national economy requires self-reliance.

Trump may also intensify efforts to renegotiate trade deals with major economic partners like China and the European Union, aiming to secure favorable terms for American exports while reducing trade deficits. Through tariffs and revised trade agreements, he aims to make the U.S. economy more competitive on the global stage, emphasizing job creation and economic growth within the country.

Immigration Policies

On immigration, Trump’s approach is expected to be as firm as in his previous administration, if not more so. His policies may include stricter immigration laws, increased border security, and measures aimed at reducing illegal immigration. Trump has long advocated for building physical and technological barriers along the U.S.-Mexico border and has pushed for enhanced vetting processes for immigrants. His goal is to limit unauthorized immigration and prioritize lawful pathways that favor skilled workers who contribute directly to the economy.

Moreover, Trump’s immigration policies may include a revision of visa programs to ensure that American workers are not disadvantaged in the job market. He is likely to maintain a more selective approach to asylum and refugee admissions, arguing that these policies protect national security and economic stability. Trump’s stance on immigration has wide support among constituents who believe that stricter regulations are essential for preserving jobs and resources for American citizens.

A Different Leadership Approach

President Trump is known for his bold, unconventional style and willingness to make decisions that may be unpopular. In contrast to President Biden, Trump’s approach to governance is characterized by assertive, sometimes radical moves, reflecting a fundamentally different perspective. His anticipated policy reversals could signify a major departure from Biden’s legacy and reshape the U.S. domestic and foreign agenda.

One of the most significant areas of change could be the U.S. stance on the Ukraine war. Trump has hinted at reducing, or even cutting, U.S. support for the Zelensky-led government, aiming to encourage a resolution to the conflict. He is also likely to urge NATO allies to contribute more substantially to their own defense rather than relying on American resources.

While Trump may not completely withdraw U.S. support for Israel, he is expected to pursue de-escalation efforts, likely focusing on diplomatic measures to broker a ceasefire and limit further bloodshed. His strategy could also involve strengthening alliances with Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern nations, seeking to advance American interests and stabilize the region without intense military intervention.

Regarding Iran, Trump may reimpose stringent economic sanctions or seek diplomatic isolation measures. However, he seems less inclined toward direct military conflict, favoring instead economic and political pressure.

In his approach to China, Trump’s stance may be pragmatic. He might negotiate economic terms with Taiwan, emphasizing financial contributions in exchange for continued defense support. While still cautious of China’s global influence, Trump is more likely to focus on achieving favorable economic agreements rather than pursuing military confrontation. There are even indications that he could temper his hard-liner stance, potentially working with intermediaries like Elon Musk to negotiate economic benefits.

Having spent four years out of office, Trump may have gained new insights and a more refined understanding of political dynamics. This experience could lead him to adopt a more mature, balanced approach if he returns to the presidency, possibly making him a wiser and more measured leader.

Relations with Pakistan

In terms of U.S.-Pakistan relations, Trump may prove more sympathetic to Pakistan’s position. If approached strategically, Pakistan could benefit from Trump’s policies, as he appears less interested in pursuing a Cold War-style strategy or pressuring Pakistan to “do more.” Instead, there could be opportunities for Pakistan to work closely with a Trump administration, leveraging shared interests without facing coercive demands.

Donald Trump presidency could bring a fresh approach to both domestic and international issues, signaling changes that many Americans and U.S. allies, including Pakistan, may find more favorable. His policies on the economy and immigration may resonate with voters looking for a focus on national prosperity and security. However, much will depend on how effectively stakeholders navigate these new dynamics and advocate their interests.

Prof. Engr. Zamir Ahmed Awan
Prof. Engr. Zamir Ahmed Awan
Prof. Engr. Zamir Ahmed Awan, Founding Chair GSRRA, Sinologist, Diplomat, Editor, Analyst, Advisor, Consultant to Global South Economic and Trade Cooperation Research Center, and Non-Resident Fellow of CCG. (E-mail: awanzamir[at]yahoo.com).