Economy & Markets
Chinese Multinational Corporations and Indonesia’s Quest for Economic Sovereignty
Foreign investment is often seen as a driver of economic growth. Yet bringing in money does not automatically give a country economic sovereignty. Indonesia’s...
Oil Prices Could Stay High Through 2028 as Iran War Disrupts Global Energy Markets
Global oil markets are increasingly pricing in the possibility that the economic consequences of the Iran war will persist for years, raising concerns about...
Could an AI Market Crash Give Governments Relief From Rising Debt Costs?
Governments struggling with rising borrowing costs and mounting budget pressures could benefit temporarily if the artificial intelligence investment boom loses momentum, as investors shift...
Is a Weaker Euro Giving Europe the Currency Advantage It Wants Against China?
Europe is gaining some relief from China's export competitiveness, but not through the currency adjustment its leaders have long demanded. Instead, mounting French fiscal...
Canada’s Shift Away from the US: Realignment or Diversification?
On September 29, a new set of American trade restrictions against Canada came into force. Using Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930,...
Diesel Diplomacy: A Weekend Peace Discount Meets a Gulf War Premium — and the Bond Market Prices the Fed Instead
Today's Numbers
~$103 (Brent on Monday morning, off a weekend spike above $105) · 5.24% (US 10-year Treasury yield at Friday's close) · 74.5% (Polymarket...
Can Europe Curb China’s $7.5 Billion Hybrid Car Boom Without Triggering a Trade War?
China’s fast-growing hybrid vehicle exports to Europe face fresh uncertainty after Beijing agreed to curb shipments to the European Union, threatening a key growth...
The Fed Is Pulling Hot Money Out of Asia. Gulf Money Is Edging In — Who Gains the Leverage?
TODAY'S NUMBERS
$26.3bn (EM portfolio outflows, September) · 5.29% (US 10-year yield peak, 29 September) · 13% (Asia's share of Mubadala's portfolio, up from 10%)....
Bond Market Turmoil Puts Central Banks on Collision Course With Governments
Central banks face a growing dilemma as rising government borrowing costs and mounting public debt test their independence, forcing policymakers to weigh financial stability...
Europe’s Record Russia Blacklist: Who Pays, Who Profits — and Why €185 Billion in Brussels Still Decides the Financial War
Today's Numbers
1,646 (new EU Russia listings agreed 7 October) · ~4,650 (total names on the EU's Russia list once adopted) · €185bn (Russian central-bank...