China’s Strategic View of Egypt: Sisi’s Leadership Doctrine and the Global South’s Push for Independence

Chinese think tanks are paying close attention to the speeches and strategic moves of Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi and the leaders of the Egyptian military establishment.

Chinese think tanks and strategic and security circles (particularly those affiliated with the People’s Liberation Army and intelligence institutes linked to the Chinese Ministry of State Security) are paying close attention to the speeches and strategic moves of Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi and the leaders of the Egyptian military establishment, especially his recent speech on Saturday, October 17, 2026, at the Egyptian Military Academy. President El-Sisi’s remarks during the graduation ceremony for new classes from military colleges and the first class from the Egyptian Military Academy garnered significant attention within Chinese strategic think tanks and security and defense circles. These Chinese intelligence, strategic, military, and political circles analyze these political signals emanating from Cairo as part of a broader shift that links the internal stability of major regional powers like Egypt to the rise of the Global South and its gradual liberation from the tools of Western and American hegemony. The analytical reading of these Chinese circles of President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi’s statements during the graduation ceremony of the Egyptian military colleges and academy (in which he emphasized leadership standards and stressed closing the door to any malicious, treacherous, or criminal individuals to lead the Egyptian state), and the analysis by Chinese intelligence, strategic, and political circles of the significance of this in relation to independent decision-making in the Global South and liberation from Western and American hegemony, can be broken down, according to the Chinese strategic vision, through the following axes:

– First: Analysis by Chinese intelligence, strategic, military, and political circles of the significance of President El-Sisi’s emphasis on excluding malicious, treacherous, and criminal individuals from leading the Egyptian state

1) Chinese security circles believe that President El-Sisi’s emphasis on establishing strict standards to prevent any malicious, treacherous, or criminal individuals from assuming responsibility represents a reaffirmation of the concept of state resilience and continuity in the face of external dismantling projects or internal unrest.

 2) From Beijing’s perspective, preparing capable Egyptian leaders according to unified and rigorous standards that do not favor anyone aims to protect sovereign institutions from erosion of sovereignty or structural collapse. China considers the stability of pivotal powers in the Middle East, such as Egypt, to be the essential safeguard against the region becoming a hotbed of chaos that Western and American powers could exploit to reassert their influence.

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–            Second: Similarities between the Egyptian Military Academy’s Approach and the Philosophy of the Chinese Communist Party’s Academy

A Chinese strategic analysis sees a significant functional similarity between the modern Egyptian Military Academy, which trains the leadership elite for the state’s administrative apparatus, and the Central Party School of the Chinese Communist Party through:

1) The Call to Establish a Unified National Ideology: The philosophy of the Chinese academy, affiliated with the Chinese Communist Party’s school, focuses on immunizing cadres against ideological infiltration and ensuring absolute loyalty to the state and the supreme national interest, far removed from prioritizing narrow personal or partisan interests. This is precisely what the philosophy of the Egyptian Military Academy advocates.

2) Establishing Standards of Institutionalization and Discipline: Think tanks in Beijing believe that Egypt’s move to subject future administrative and civilian leaders to training periods within a military institution reflects the adoption of a strict administrative discipline approach advocated by historical Asian literature, such as Confucianism, to ensure the competence and integrity of rulers and officials. 

–        Third: Linking the Global South’s Independence and Liberation from American Hegemony

Chinese experts link the imposition of these national standards in both Egypt and China and the consolidation of state sovereignty to strengthening the Global South’s independent decision-making through:

1) Closing the Loopholes of Soft Intervention: China believes that the United States and Western powers often exploit weak or foreign-aligned administrative or political elites to impose political and economic agendas that serve Western and American hegemony over countries of the Global South. When the Egyptian and Chinese states stipulate strict national standards for leadership, they close the door to Western and American pressure tactics.

2) Shifting Towards the East: According to Chinese strategic and intelligence analysis, the stability of the Egyptian state, based on an independent national doctrine, automatically propels it towards diversifying its strategic partnerships and deeper integration with blocs of the Global South and the Eastern axis, such as the BRICS group (which includes Egypt and China). This weakens the unilateral American grip on security and economic issues in the Middle East and Africa.

–            Fourth: Sustaining State Stability as a Prerequisite for Independent Decision-Making (Global South)

  The Chinese strategic vision stems from the premise that independent national sovereignty cannot be achieved in a fragile or compromised political environment. This is evident in:

1) Preventing Internal Infiltration: Security circles in Beijing believe that Egyptian President El-Sisi’s emphasis on decisive leadership criteria and the removal of biased or treacherous elements serves as a safeguard to protect state institutions from foreign interference.

 2) Conformity of strategic doctrines: This vision intersects with the literature of the Chinese Communist Party, which considers internal political security and the stability of the forces carrying the state structure as the inevitable basis for preventing the strategies of forced regime change (color revolutions) supported by Western and American powers, to destabilize the regions of the Global South.

– Fifth: Institutionalizing Leadership and Preparing National Cadres and its Relationship to the Philosophy of the Chinese Communist Party Academy Concerned with Qualifying State Leadership Elites, Similar to the Egyptian Experience

Chinese circles are closely monitoring the role of the Egyptian Military Academy in preparing and qualifying cadres and ensuring the transfer of leadership power as a stable organizational model through:

1) Building the Egyptian Elite and Transferring Leadership: Chinese analysts believe that President El-Sisi’s emphasis on the criteria for assuming responsibility reinforces the principle of sovereign governance based on rigorous institutional and national selection.

2) Admiration for the Egyptian Administrative Model and its Similarity to the Chinese One: This Egyptian approach, in Beijing’s view, reflects a similarity to the philosophy of the Chinese Communist Party Academy, which is concerned with qualifying state leadership elites according to a purely national doctrine to protect Chinese national security, similar to the Egyptian model.

–            Sixth: Breaking Free from American and Western Hegemony in the Middle East and Africa

  Chinese analysts link the stability of the core of the Egyptian state to its ability to lead a multipolar foreign policy in the Middle East and Africa, in terms of:

1) Geopolitical Balance: Chinese strategic assessments confirm that the presence of an Egyptian leadership that draws red lines against treason and subservience to foreign interests makes it difficult for Washington and Western capitals to use internal pressure tactics to impose political or economic dictates.

2) Strengthening Independent Defense: Beijing views Egypt’s strategic expansion in building military bases, modernizing air defense systems, and training new generations of military personnel as a fundamental pillar that strengthens the independence of regional decision-making from the American sphere of influence.

–            Seventh: Comprehensive Strategic Partnership with China (The Eastward Shift)

  According to analyses by Chinese defense centers, the Egyptian leadership, adhering to the concept of a strong nation-state, represents the ideal partner for China’s vision of a multipolar world, in terms of:

1) Supporting Multipolarity: The Chinese side believes that strengthening Egypt’s domestic front and its leadership institutions will propel Cairo deeper into the blocs of the Global South, such as expanding partnerships through BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (in which Egypt participates as a dialogue partner).

2) Securing Vital Sea Routes for the Global South: Egypt’s stability and the protection of its leadership from security breaches guarantee China a reliable partner capable of safeguarding strategic waterways, such as the Suez Canal and the Red Sea. These are vital arteries for China’s Belt and Road Initiative, which aims to break Western and American trade and economic hegemony.

Based on the preceding analysis, strategic, intelligence, and analytical circles in Beijing conclude that the Egyptian experience in fortifying leadership elites through the Egyptian Military Academy represents a practical model for countries seeking to secure their national sovereignty. This supports China’s shared vision of a multipolar world led by countries with well-established national institutions that are not susceptible to external influence. This serves the independence of decision-making in the Global South and liberation from Western and American hegemony in favor of China and the Eastern axis.

Dr.Nadia Helmy
Dr.Nadia Helmy
Associate Professor of Political Science, Faculty of Politics and Economics / Beni Suef University- Egypt. An Expert in Chinese Politics, Sino-Israeli relationships, and Asian affairs- Visiting Senior Researcher at the Centre for Middle Eastern Studies (CMES)/ Lund University, Sweden- Director of the South and East Asia Studies Unit