Taliban’s Supreme Leader Tightens Grip

Hibatullah Akhundzada's decision to assume direct oversight of military equipment reflects his intent to consolidate power and streamline the chain of command.

In a significant move to tighten control over Afghanistan’s military assets, Hibatullah Akhundzada, the supreme leader of the Taliban, has issued a decree that centralizes the distribution and use of military equipment under his direct oversight and authorization. This step marks a crucial turning point in the management of Afghanistan’s extensive arsenal, particularly focusing on the weapons and equipment left behind by U.S. and allied forces during their withdrawal. The decree aims to address both internal and external concerns, highlighting the complexities of managing military resources in a country still grappling with instability and emerging from decades of conflict.

Hibatullah Akhundzada’s decision to assume direct oversight of military equipment reflects his intent to consolidate power and streamline the chain of command. By centralizing control, the supreme leader seeks to prevent any unauthorized use of these resources, which, if mismanaged, could lead to internal conflict or even pose a threat to regional security. This decree indicates a significant shift in the power dynamics within the Taliban’s leadership, limiting the authority of key figures such as Defense Minister Yaqoob and Interior Minister Sirajuddin Haqqani, who previously held significant sway over Afghanistan’s military assets.

The decree appears to be a direct response to mounting concerns from neighboring countries about the unchecked flow of weapons within Afghanistan. Since the Taliban’s takeover in August 2021, there have been numerous reports of U.S.-supplied weapons falling into the hands of unauthorized groups, including extremist factions and local militias. The potential for these weapons to be used in regional conflicts or to cross borders has alarmed countries like Pakistan, Iran, and Central Asian states. By taking control of the distribution process, Akhundzada aims to prevent the misuse of these military resources, which could otherwise destabilize the broader region. The move could be seen as an effort to assure neighboring countries that the Taliban are taking steps to prevent Afghanistan from becoming a base for cross-border terrorism or insurgent activities.

The decision to limit the authority of senior Taliban leaders, including Defense Minister Yaqoob and Interior Minister Haqqani, reveals underlying power struggles within the Taliban’s hierarchy. Both Yaqoob and Haqqani are influential figures with their own factions and loyalists, and they have historically held significant control over military decisions. Akhundzada’s decree effectively reduces their power, signaling his intent to strengthen his grip on the Taliban’s military apparatus. This centralization of power might lead to friction within the Taliban’s leadership, as it alters the established balance of power. However, it could also result in a more disciplined and unified approach to the management of Afghanistan’s military assets, reducing the risk of infighting and the potential misuse of weapons.

The unchecked distribution of military weapons and equipment in Afghanistan has long been a source of instability, not only for the country itself but also for its neighbors. The presence of advanced U.S.-made weaponry in Afghanistan has heightened fears of these assets being smuggled across borders and used in conflicts in Pakistan, Iran, or the Central Asian republics. Akhundzada’s decree seeks to mitigate these risks by implementing stricter control measures and ensuring that military resources are used solely under his direct command. This move could play a pivotal role in improving regional security, as it aims to curb the flow of arms into the hands of insurgent groups and other non-state actors operating along Afghanistan’s porous borders.

One of the primary reasons behind the issuance of this decree is the growing concern over the unauthorized distribution of military equipment, particularly in the eastern provinces of Afghanistan. These areas have witnessed significant activity from various militant groups and factions, often engaging in smuggling and arms trafficking. The directive from Akhundzada can be seen as an attempt to address this issue directly, by tightening control over the allocation of weapons and reducing the possibility of them being diverted to groups that could threaten the Taliban’s rule or regional peace. The move is expected to strengthen internal security by limiting the availability of military resources to unauthorized actors, thus preventing potential uprisings or clashes fueled by the access to sophisticated weaponry.

For the Taliban, maintaining control over Afghanistan’s military assets is vital not only for their internal stability but also for their broader political objectives. The Taliban leadership, under Akhundzada’s command, faces the challenging task of transitioning from an insurgent group to a governing authority. To establish themselves as a legitimate power, they must demonstrate control over military resources and prevent their misuse. The decree can be seen as part of this effort to establish a disciplined and centralized military structure, which is essential for projecting the image of a stable and organized government. By centralizing control, Akhundzada aims to send a message to both his domestic supporters and international observers that the Taliban are capable of managing the country’s military assets responsibly.

While the decree represents a step towards greater control, its implementation may face significant challenges. The decentralized nature of the Taliban’s power structure, coupled with the influence of local commanders and tribal leaders, could complicate efforts to enforce centralized oversight. Additionally, the reduced authority of senior figures like Yaqoob and Haqqani could lead to resistance or even internal disputes, potentially weakening the unity of the Taliban’s leadership. The success of this directive will largely depend on the ability of Akhundzada and his loyalists to enforce compliance across the diverse factions within the Taliban.

On the international front, this move might be viewed as a positive step towards curbing the proliferation of military weapons and reducing the risk of these assets contributing to regional conflicts. However, it remains to be seen whether the Taliban’s central leadership can effectively monitor and control the vast stockpiles of military equipment scattered throughout the country, especially in remote and contested areas.

Hibatullah Akhundzada’s decree on the distribution and use of military weapons and equipment marks a decisive shift in the Taliban’s approach to managing Afghanistan’s military resources. By centralizing control under his direct oversight, Akhundzada aims to address both internal power struggles and external concerns, signaling his intent to establish a more disciplined and unified military command. The move holds significant implications for Afghanistan’s stability and regional security, as it seeks to prevent the misuse of advanced weaponry and curb the flow of arms to unauthorized actors. While challenges remain in enforcing this directive, the decree represents a strategic effort by the Taliban’s supreme leader to consolidate power and project an image of a capable governing authority. As Afghanistan continues to navigate its post-conflict landscape, the success of this initiative could play a crucial role in shaping the country’s future security dynamics.

Sahibzada M. Usman, Ph.D.
Sahibzada M. Usman, Ph.D.
Research Scholar and Academic; Ph.D. in Political Science at the University of Pisa, Italy. Dr. Usman has participated in various national and international conferences and published 30 research articles in international journals. Email: usmangull36[at]gmail.com