Donald Trump’s foreign policy in the Middle East, marked by unpredictable decisions, has consistently sparked international debate. One of his most significant moves is the initiation of negotiations with the Islamic Republic of Iran—an unprecedented and sudden step that has opened new horizons in U.S.-Iran relations and among regional states. These negotiations, taking place after years of tension and hostility between Washington and Tehran, could not only reshape bilateral relations but also create a historic opportunity for the Arab states of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC).
The Arab states, particularly those in the Gulf, now face a strategic moment: on the one hand, they can use this opportunity to accelerate de-escalation and improve ties with Iran; on the other, they must resist the provocative actions of Israel, which has consistently fueled regional crises. These talks could serve as a crucial tool to contain Israel’s aggressive behavior, which has been a source of chronic instability. Ultimately, negotiations with Iran could bolster the Middle East’s geoeconomic and geopolitical stability, empowering Arab countries to pursue regional diplomacy more effectively and shield their economic, political, and security interests from the chaos that threatens them. This is a critical juncture, and the Gulf states must seize it to play a more active role in shaping the region’s future.
Trump’s willingness to negotiate with Tehran could mark a turning point in regional dynamics. Rather than causing concern among Gulf Arab countries, it should be seen as an opportunity to advance diplomacy with Iran and reduce chronic regional tensions. Decades of hostility between Iran and several Arab states—from the conflicts in Yemen and Iraq to Lebanon—have left the region fragile, with significant human and economic costs. However, recent developments suggest a shift toward diplomacy. Potential U.S.-Iran talks could reinforce this trend by reducing international pressure on Tehran and opening space for regional dialogue.
Arab countries can use this opening to advance direct negotiations with Iran on key issues such as Gulf security, ending the war in Yemen, and creating mechanisms for economic cooperation. This approach not only lifts the burden of direct confrontation off Arab shoulders but also diminishes the likelihood of proxy conflicts, laying the groundwork for long-term stability. For example, a deal that limits Iran’s nuclear program could ease Gulf security concerns, allowing them to shift focus from military deterrence to economic development and geoeconomic projects. In this context, regional mediators like Oman and Qatar—who have a long history of facilitating dialogue—can play a vital role in strengthening this diplomacy. The Arab states must embrace this opportunity and engage proactively in parallel talks with Iran to reap the benefits of regional stability.
On the other side of the equation, Israel poses a serious challenge to this diplomatic process. Often resorting to unilateral actions—such as military strikes across the region or lobbying for intensified sanctions against Iran—Israel has been a major source of instability. U.S. negotiations with Iran could weaken Israel’s pretexts for military adventurism by reducing nuclear tensions and placing Israeli actions under international diplomatic scrutiny.
For Arab states, this transformation presents a chance to promote trust-building initiatives that hold both Iran and Israel accountable to regional stability norms. For instance, de-escalating tensions with Iran could ensure the security of key trade routes in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz—routes that are vital to energy-exporting economies like Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Massive projects like Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 or the UAE’s infrastructure plans, which rely on foreign investment and economic diversification, would be highly vulnerable in the event of conflict with Iran or provocation by Israel. U.S.-Iran talks could reduce these risks and enable Arab countries to pursue economic development with greater confidence.
Moreover, containing Israel’s provocations through international diplomatic pressure would help prevent the escalation of proxy wars in countries like Lebanon and Iraq, allowing Arab states to redirect resources from military spending to development and welfare. Instead of fearing a shift in U.S. policy, Arab states should view this moment as a chance to redefine regional relations and, through active diplomacy, prevent actors like Israel—or any other external force—from jeopardizing their geoeconomic interests and regional stability. This approach requires coordination among Gulf states and the backing of the international community so that the region, rather than teetering on the edge of conflict, can move toward cooperation.
The Middle East stands at the brink of profound transformation, and the Arabs cannot afford to remain passive observers. If accompanied by Arab strategic foresight, U.S.-Iran negotiations could reduce tensions, help contain Israel, and strengthen regional diplomacy. The Gulf states must seize this moment, advance de-escalation with Iran, and demonstrate that they can act as independent players shaping a stable future for the Middle East—not mere followers of Washington or spectators of Tel Aviv’s maneuvers.
