Political tensions in Madagascar deepened on Tuesday after opposition leader Siteny Randrianasoloniaiko declared President Andry Rajoelina’s order to dissolve the national assembly “not legally valid.” The move follows days of political turmoil, protests, and military intervention that forced Rajoelina to flee the country, plunging the island nation into renewed instability.
The presidency earlier issued a decree stating that Rajoelina had consulted with the leaders of both the national assembly and the Senate before issuing the dissolution order. But opposition leaders swiftly denied this, saying the president acted unilaterally and in violation of constitutional procedure.
Why It Matters
Madagascar a nation already grappling with economic hardship and political volatility now faces a potential constitutional crisis. The standoff raises questions about the legitimacy of executive power and the rule of law in one of Africa’s most politically fragile democracies.
If the dissolution stands, it could pave the way for snap elections but risks further unrest, particularly amid allegations that Rajoelina used security forces to suppress dissent. His departure from the country has left a leadership vacuum that could embolden opposition movements and the military to assert control.
President Andry Rajoelina: Facing accusations of unconstitutional action and growing isolation after fleeing amid protests.
Opposition Leader Siteny Randrianasoloniaiko: Positioning himself as the voice of constitutional legitimacy, rejecting Rajoelina’s decree as unlawful.
Madagascar’s National Assembly and Senate: Caught in the power struggle, with their consultation or lack thereof central to the dispute.
Military and Protesters: Key players in determining the political balance, as the military’s role in the president’s flight signals potential internal divisions.
International Community: Regional bodies like the African Union and SADC may be pressed to intervene to mediate and prevent escalation.
What’s Next
With the president abroad and the opposition rejecting the dissolution, Madagascar faces an uncertain political trajectory. Lawmakers and legal experts are expected to challenge the decree in court, while opposition forces push for a transitional administration.
Diplomatic observers warn that the crisis could undermine investor confidence and strain relations with international donors, on whom Madagascar heavily depends for economic support.
With information from Reuters.
