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Economy

Covid-19 and its impact on Belt and road initiative and CPEC

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Nowadays, Covid-19 is increasing rapidly in Pakistan. As of June 30 the amount of confirmed cases had risen to 208359 along with 4254 deaths. Tremendously a very bad situation of Pakistan economy as well as global economy due to this pandemic era. Coronavirus effects many business and major Flagship project in Pakistan like CPEC development due to shortage of local labour. The China-Pakistan Economic (CPEC) is a part of ambitious Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) which runs through South-East Asia, South Asia, Central Asia, Russia and Europe by land as well as 21st century Maritime Silk Road, a sea route flanked by China’s coastal regions with South-East and South Asia, the South Pacific, the Middle East and Eastern Africa, all the way to Europe.

The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor badly effect and now most of the people concerned about CPEC development and its impact of covid-19 on development projects. Specifically the CPEC development were also stopped because of the absence of local labour who were forced to stay at home due to lockdown and  to avoid further spread of Covid-19. In addition, the government of Pakistan and china also announced the travel restrictions which delayed the availability of workforce. All business areas and business centers in the port of Gwadar are completely closed, and the impact of all these problems on CPEC and its branches. But there is encouraging news that the port of Gwadar is still operating under strict policies.

Covid-19 has already had a significant impact on the global economy, influencing production, supply chains and the movement of people and goods. Since the outbreak and increasing the cases of corona virus, many people concerned about the impact of covid-19 on CPEC development projects. Most of the people says it has no impact but some people says it has huge impact on development of CPEC. As per my opinion it has a huge Impact on CPEC development. According to the challenging situation Chinese government decided to work again on BRI projects. Chinese government believe that once the pandemic crisis is over BRI projects will lead the world economy recovery and sustainable development.

As our honorable PM Imran Khan said multiple time that corona virus is not going anywhere, we have to live with this epidemic situation following SOP otherwise survival in Pakistan is much difficult as compared to developing and developed countries. If all Factories, industries, and development teams closed for certain time, Pakistan economy will goes down for sure and people will die due to hunger and unemployment. Consequently, the Pakistan Government is in full consultation with the government of China as well as Chinese companies working on the CPEC projects. In this regard, Pakistan government is taking preventive measures and providing full protection to Chinese workforce on CPEC. In addition, the Chinese workers who are returning to Pakistan have to endure double quarantine system for their safety as well as the safety of other workers too.

Contemporaneous, we must be aware of the fact that there is a force in the world that does not want to see CPEC’s success, so they indiscriminately amplify the impact of the pandemic on CPEC development. The Chinese and Pakistan government both nations agreed to continue this project and overcome difficulties caused by Covid-19 and support CPEC construction. Both governments have upheld close communication and coordination on particular issues of CPEC projects. Chinese companies have implemented closed management, and all CPEC projects have maintain prevention and control plans and implemented them very strictly, therefore effectively preventing the invasion of the novel coronavirus. As far as I know, there is no Covid-19 spread at the construction or development sites.

In addition, the Chinese companies contributing in the construction of CPEC projects are also actively making assistances to the prevention and control of the pandemic in several locations in Pakistan, donating material to local government’s offices, schools, and hospitals. When the world suffering from corona virus, china was there for supplying material and help to various nations in the form of medical equipment, protection accessories and medical supplies. It’s a bit challenging circumstances in China in pandemic situation but china prove his kindness in front of other nations that increased the trust of countries in China.

It is still unclear situation when local and global economic activities become stable, which also creates uncertainty about the feasibility of these projects. In the same way, other cross-border corridors and the Silk Road Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) are also facing delays and cancellations. Despite difficult circumstances, the Chinese are promoting BRI, gradually resuming development work and building the health Silk Road. Beijing China is much confident that BRI will lead the global economic recovery after resolving the crisis.

The most common broader issue nowadays is whether the planned BRI projects can be delay in the current economic environment. For instance, it was recently stated that nearly seven to eight years after the creation of CPEC, less than one-third of the development projects had been completed. Since sustainability of financing for BRI projects is already a challenge, and Chinese capital projected to be organized to meet the basic and domestic needs, the pandemic and the resulting slowdown in economic growth will be even more delayed and could even be a death sentence for Some Belt and road Initiative projects as well as CPEC.

The writer is a PHD scholar at Zhengzhou University Henan, China Under supervision of Professor Liu Jinhua. His interest in Management Engineering and Economic development. He can be reached at contactmohsin2[at]gmail.com

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Economy

Evaluating the Impact of Minimum Support Price (MSP) on Agricultural Productivity and Efficiency

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The Minimum Support Price (MSP) mechanism is a policy tool used by governments, especially in the agricultural sector, to protect farmers from market price fluctuations and ensure they receive a minimum income for their produce. The MSP is the guaranteed minimum price at which the government agrees to purchase certain agricultural commodities from farmers.

Before the sowing season, the government announces the MSP for various crops such as wheat, sugarcane, cotton, and oilseeds. The MSP is determined based on factors like production costs, market trends, and demand-supply dynamics. It is generally set higher than the production cost to provide farmers with a reasonable profit margin. Government agencies, such as PASSCO and provincial governments, are responsible for procuring crops from farmers at the MSP. They establish procurement centers where farmers can sell their produce. The government sets specific specifications regarding the quantity and quality of crops eligible for MSP procurement. These specifications may include factors like moisture content, size, and weight to ensure that only high-quality produce is purchased. If the market price for a particular crop falls below the MSP, farmers have the option to sell their produce to the government at the guaranteed price. The price differential between the MSP and the market price is intended to compensate farmers for any losses incurred due to low market prices.

The Agriculture Policy Institute (API), formerly known as the Agriculture Prices Commission, was established in 1981 and reconstituted in 2006 under the Ministry of National Food Security & Research. It plays a crucial role in formulating and evaluating the MSP mechanism. The API conducts research, analyzes market trends, studies production costs, and recommends appropriate MSP levels for various crops. It actively engages with stakeholders such as farmers’ associations, agricultural commodity boards, government procurement agencies, and policymakers, organizing consultations and workshops to gather feedback and foster dialogue on MSP-related policies.

Before 2006, the API was responsible for formulating the MSP for 12 crops including minor and major crops. However, they later shifted their focus primarily to major crops for several reasons. Major crops such as wheat, rice, sugarcane, and cotton have a significant impact on food security and the overall agricultural economy, and thus received more attention and resources compared to minor crops. Limited resources, including financial, administrative, and logistical capacities, may have constrained the government’s ability to cover a wide range of minor crops under the MSP mechanism. Minor crops also face challenges in terms of smaller production volumes, limited market demand, and establishing efficient procurement and marketing systems. The lack of comprehensive data and research on minor crops further complicated the formulation of MSP policies. Additionally, the priorities and interests of stakeholders, including farmers and industry associations, may have influenced the emphasis on major crops within the MSP framework.

The MSP plays a crucial role in the agricultural sector for multiple reasons. Firstly, it offers income security to farmers by guaranteeing a minimum price for their produce, shielding them from financial hardships caused by market fluctuations. This stability encourages farmers to continue their agricultural activities confidently. Secondly, the MSP acts as a powerful incentive for farmers to increase production. With the assurance of a minimum price, farmers are motivated to invest in quality inputs, adopt modern techniques, and expand their cultivation areas, contributing to agricultural growth and food security. Additionally, the MSP allows the government to build buffer stocks, ensuring a steady supply of essential commodities during scarcity or emergencies. It also enables market intervention to prevent sudden price falls caused by oversupply, promoting fair prices for both farmers and consumers while maintaining market stability.

Critics argue that the MSP can distort market dynamics by creating an artificial price, leading to market inefficiencies. Government procurement operations under the MSP can reduce competition and discourage private buyers, hampering market efficiency and private investment in agriculture. Moreover, the MSP imposes a significant financial burden on the government, especially when market prices fall below the MSP, requiring the government to procure surplus produce, manage storage and distribution, and bear associated costs. This strain can negatively impact public finances and the overall fiscal health of the government.

In Pakistan, the MSP for wheat saw a significant increase in the year 2022-23. It rose by 100 percent, reaching Rs 3,900 per 40 kg in Punjab and Rs 4,000 in Sindh, compared to the previous year’s MSP of Rs 1,950 per 40 kg. The significant increase in the MSP was required due to the rising costs of fertilizers, pesticides, machinery rates, fuel and electricity, transportation charges, and labor expenses. These escalating expenses left farmers with no savings under the MSP. Some experts express concern that these high support prices may contribute to inflation and food insecurity among consumers in Pakistan.

Timely announcement of the MSP for crops can have a positive effect on crop production. When the MSP is announced before the cultivation season, farmers can make informed choices about whether to grow wheat or opt for other crops.

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Economy

The Future of Work and Skills in 21st Century Economy

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In today’s fast-paced and competitive economy, being specialized in one skill may not be enough to achieve success in your career or personal life. Having specific expertise is essential but it is also crucial to develop a broader set of skills to adapt to changing circumstances, to communicate with diverse people, and to avail new opportunities. The 21st-century economy is evolving swiftly, and along with it, the nature of work and the skills required to succeed are changing. The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated these changes, ushering in an increased focus on remote work and gig economy. The pandemic has also highlighted the importance of adaptability and agility in the face of disruption. As we navigate this post-pandemic landscape, it is critical to understand the skills that will be in demand in the future and how the current generation can prepare themselves for the challenges ahead.

One of the most significant shifts in the 21st-century economy is the rise of artificial intelligence. We live in a world of self-driving cars, chatbot assistants, and robot servers and cleaners. This transformation is already underway, and it is expected to accelerate in the coming years. The introduction of ChatGPT and Bard has revolutionized everything from education to business to daily life. Since machines are becoming increasingly capable of predictable tasks, human workers will need to focus on skills that machines cannot replicate, such as creativity, critical thinking, and emotional intelligence. According to a report by McKinsey Global Institute, around 375 million workers worldwide may need to switch occupations or learn new skills by 2030 due to workforce disruptions caused by automation and AI. 

Another important trend is the growth of the gig economy and remote work. The pandemic has shown that many jobs can be done from any place, and this trend is likely to continue. The COVID-19 pandemic has increased the trend toward remote work and the gig economy. According to Future Workforce Pulse Report by Upwork, 41.8% of the American workforce was working remotely as of January 2021, up from 30% pre-pandemic. The report anticipated this to rise to 65% in the next 3 years. Due to the lockdown, an increasing amount of people turned to these platforms to continue earning. In its 2020 report, Forbes wrote that the value of a Fiverr share has increased by 356% in 2020 and Upwork recorded a 40% increase in its revenue in the third quarter of 2020. The post-pandemic popularity of platforms like Fiverr & Upwork shows that workers who can adapt to a flexible, remote work environment and have the skills to manage their own time and workload will be in high demand. Meanwhile, the gig economy is anticipated to grow by 17% over the next decade, according to a report by Intuit in 2020.

In addition to these broad trends, there are also specific skills that will be essential to excel in the 21st-century economy. One of the main ones is Digital literacy. As technology continues to play an increasingly central role in the workplace, workers must be comfortable with digital tools and platforms. A person must have sufficient mastery of basic apps and software like Microsoft Office, Canva, Adobe Illustrator, Teams, Zoom, etc. This includes not only technical skills like coding but also the ability to use digital tools to collaborate, communicate, and analyze data. The demand for digital skills is on the rise. A report by Burning Glass Technologies found that in 2020, 71% of middle-skill jobs required digital skills, up from 59% in 2014. McKinsey found out in their 2018 survey that “sixty-two percent of executives believe they will need to retrain or replace more than a quarter of their workforce between now and 2023 due to advancing automation and digitization”. This is evident in recent plans of big-tech firms. Google launched a program called “Grow with Google” to help Americans acquire the digital skills needed for the 21st-century workplace. In 2019, Amazon announced plans to spend $700 million to retrain 100,000 of its employees in skills for the digital age.

Another important skill not to be ignored is communication and collaboration. In a world where remote work and cross-functional teams are the new normal, effective communication and collaboration skills are critical. Workers must be able to communicate clearly and concisely, listen actively, and work effectively with colleagues from diverse backgrounds and cultures. Effective communication and collaboration skills are critical in today’s workplace. The list published by LinkedIn for the most in-demand skills of 2023, ranked communication at number 2 of most demanded skill by companies and hiring managers.

In a rapidly changing economy, workers must be prepared to continually upskill and reskill throughout their careers. This requires a growth mindset and a willingness to embrace new technologies and ways of working. Lifelong learning is becoming increasingly vital to thrive in a professional career. According to a report by the World Economic Forum, 50% of all employees will need reskilling by 2025, and the average employee will need to devote 101 days to reskilling by 2022. It also listed the top skills of 2025, all of them belonging to one of the following four categories: Problem-solving, Self-Management, Working with People, and Technology Use. Many companies are investing in employee training and development programs to meet this need, such as PwC’s “Digital Fitness” program.

 The ability to pivot quickly in response to changing circumstances will be essential in the 21st-century economy. This has been reinforced by the pandemic and volatile global situation. Workers must be able to adapt to new roles, industries, and technologies as needed, and be comfortable with uncertainty and ambiguity. The speed of change in the current era is potentially faster. The major challenge confronting every economy, particularly advanced economies, will be to retrain and dispatch millions of mid-career, middle-aged workers which seems like a daunting task.

Preparing for the future of work will require a joint effort from the people, educators, and employers. People must take responsibility for their own learning and development, seek out opportunities to acquire new skills, and stay up-to-date with industry trends. Educators must adapt their curriculum to prepare students for the changing demands of the workplace, emphasizing digital literacy, communication, and critical thinking skills. Employers must create a culture of learning and development, providing employees with the tools and resources they need to succeed in a rapidly evolving economy.

The future of work is uncertain, but one thing is clear: the skills required to succeed in the 21st-century economy will be different from those that have been valued in the past. Gone are the days when mastering one field guaranteed your professional success. By embracing lifelong learning, cultivating adaptability and agility, and developing the digital literacy and communication skills needed to thrive in a remote, technology-driven workplace, people can prepare themselves for success in the years to come.

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Economy

The rise of electrical vehicles and its impact on green economy

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The world is going through a critical change in transportation as the reception of electric vehicles (EVs) speeds up. The ascent of electric vehicles isn’t just reshaping the manner in which we drive yet in addition affecting the worldwide economy and the climate. With the earnest need to moderate environmental change and decrease ozone harming substance discharges, electric vehicles have arisen as a promising answer for progress towards a greener economy.

Electric vehicles offer various advantages over customary gas powered motor (ICE) vehicles. By supplanting non-renewable energy source fueled motors with electric engines and batteries, EVs fundamentally diminish hurtful discharges, including carbon dioxide and air toxins. This decrease in discharges further develops air quality, relieve environmental change, and limit the unfavorable wellbeing impacts related with contamination.

The effect of electric vehicles reaches out past the natural circle. The fast development of the EV market is reshaping different businesses, including car fabricating, energy creation, and framework advancement. Accordingly, this shift is animating monetary development, setting out new position open doors, and filling advancement in clean energy advancements.

In this article, we will dive into the ascent of electric vehicles and investigate their effect on the green  economy. We will inspect the advantages that electric vehicles bring, like diminished discharges and further developed air quality. Moreover, we will examine how the auto business is adjusting to this change, including the development of new players and the speculations made in charging foundation. Moreover, we will examine the effect of electric vehicles on the energy area, especially concerning environmentally friendly power reconciliation and the improvement of shrewd network advancements.

While the ascent of electric vehicles presents promising open doors, it additionally presents difficulties. We will look at the hindrances upsetting their inescapable reception, for example, the underlying significant expense of EVs, range uneasiness concerns, and the requirement for an extended charging organization. By understanding both the likely advantages and hindrances, we can foster a thorough comprehension of the electric vehicle insurgency and its effect on the green economy.

All in all, the ascent of electric vehicles addresses a groundbreaking movement towards a more supportable and harmless to the ecosystem transportation framework. The development of this industry adds to moderating environmental change as well as presents monetary open doors and encourages mechanical advancement. By investigating the different parts of this change, we can all the more likely understand the significant effect of electric vehicles on the green economy and prepare for a cleaner and greener future

1. The advantages of electric vehicles:  

  – Decreased emanations: Electric vehicles produce lower or zero tailpipe discharges contrasted with regular vehicles. They assist with decreasing ozone harming substance outflows and battle environmental change.

   – Further developed air quality: The reception of electric vehicles adds to cleaner air, as they produce no poisons, for example, nitrogen oxides and particulate matter that add to respiratory and medical problems.

   – Diminished dependence on non-renewable energy sources: Electric vehicles decrease reliance on petroleum derivatives, which are limited assets and add to international contentions. They offer the potential for a more economical and energy-different future.

2. The effect on the vehicle business:

   – New players: The ascent of electric vehicles has drawn in new participants to the auto business, including tech organizations and new companies, testing the strength of conventional automakers.

   – Interest in foundation: Electric vehicle reception requires the improvement of charging framework, including public charging stations and home charging arrangements. This speculation animates work creation and business open doors.

 – Fabricating changes: Electric vehicles have various parts and assembling prerequisites contrasted with customary vehicles. This shift requires changes in assembling cycles and supply chains, possibly prompting new position jobs and expertise necessities.

3. The effect on the energy area:

   – Environmentally friendly power combination: Electric vehicles give a potential chance to coordinate sustainable power sources, for example, sunlight based and wind, into the lattice. They can act as versatile energy stockpiling gadgets, taking into account better use of irregular sustainable power.

   – Framework modernization: The far and wide reception of electric vehicles requires an updated and keen matrix foundation to help expanded charging requests and oversee load adjusting successfully.

   – Request reaction and vehicle-to-network (V2G) innovation: Electric vehicles outfitted with V2G abilities can go about as energy stockpiling units, considering bidirectional energy stream between the vehicle and the framework. This innovation offers valuable open doors for request reaction and framework adjustment.

4. The effect on the economy:

   – Work creation: The development of the electric vehicle industry sets out new position open doors in assembling, innovative work, charging framework establishment and upkeep, and related administrations.

   – Diminished reliance on unfamiliar oil: Electric vehicles decline dependence on imported petroleum products, improving energy security and decreasing import/export imbalances related with oil imports.

   – Worked on general wellbeing: Electric vehicles’ lower discharges add to further developed general wellbeing results, diminishing medical services costs related with air contamination related ailments.

5. Difficulties and boundaries:

   – Cost: The underlying price tag of electric vehicles can be higher than that of ordinary vehicles, despite the fact that declining battery costs are making EVs more reasonable.

   – Range uneasiness: Worries about restricted driving reach and the accessibility of charging framework can hinder potential EV purchasers. Be that as it may, headways in battery innovation and the development of charging networks are reducing these worries.

   – Charging foundation: The improvement of a strong and open charging framework network is vital for boundless EV reception. Guaranteeing satisfactory charging choices in metropolitan and rustic regions is fundamental.

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