Background
As Ukraine’s European allies debate post-war security guarantees, divisions remain stark between Kyiv and Moscow over the role of foreign forces. France has rallied 26 countries to pledge support, including possible deployment of international troops, while Russia continues to oppose any NATO or allied presence in Ukraine. The debate unfolds as U.S. frustration grows with the lack of progress in peace talks and as Russia, India, and China deepen ties in a shifting global order.
What Happened?
- Ukrainian President, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, said on Sept. 5th, 2025, that thousands of foreign troops could be deployed to Ukraine under new security guarantees.
- Russian President, Vladimir Putin stated that any such deployments of foreign troops would be “legitimate targets for destruction” as a means of deterring any foreign deployments.
- French President, Emmanuel Macron clarified that some states may not deploy directly, but would instead equip Ukrainian forces from the outside.
- European Council President, Antonio Costa confirmed that work has begun on a new sanctions package against Russia, in coordination with Washington.
Why It Matters:
The warnings underscore how security guarantees for Ukraine remain deeply contested, with Kyiv pushing for international backing while Moscow frames foreign deployments as escalatory. Putin’s remarks suggest that any troop presence could provoke direct Russian strikes, complicating Western planning. Meanwhile, Trump’s growing frustration with Moscow and his criticism of Russia–India–China ties highlight the geopolitical realignment shaping the conflict. The EU’s push for new sanctions signals continued Western resolve but also reflects the limited progress in achieving peace.
Stakeholder Reactions:
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy: Said troop deployments “will definitely be in the thousands, not just a few”.
- Vladimir Putin: Seemingly recognizes the possibility of foreign deployments as a threat to change the tides of the war.
- U.S. President, Donald Trump: Expressed disappointment with Putin after August’s Alaska summit signaled the possibility of peace progress. “Looks like we’ve lost India and Russia, to deepest, darkest China.”
- Kremlin Spokesman, Dmitry Peskov: Stated that a new Trump-Putin meeting could be organized quickly.
What’s Next?
The debate over foreign security guarantees will intensify as Kyiv seeks firm commitments and Moscow vows retaliation against any troop deployments. Trump is expected to hold further talks with Putin, though skepticism over meaningful breakthroughs remains high. Meanwhile, the EU and U.S. are moving forward with expanded sanctions, aiming to increase economic pressure on Russia as its economy shows signs of recession. The risk of escalation persists, as Moscow views foreign military involvement as a red line while Ukraine insists such guarantees are essential for lasting peace.
