Food crisis as 1.5 million Syrians could be displaced, says WFP

The ongoing conflict in Syria has left the nation in a state of devastation, with millions displaced, infrastructure obliterated, and basic necessities scarce.

The ongoing conflict in Syria has left the nation in a state of devastation, with millions displaced, infrastructure obliterated, and basic necessities scarce. Amidst this protracted crisis, the World Food Programme (WFP) recently issued a dire warning: a food crisis of unprecedented magnitude could force an additional 1.5 million Syrians to leave their homes. This grim projection underscores the intersection of war, economic instability, and global food insecurity, further exacerbating the plight of Syria’s population. This article examines the roots of Syria’s food crisis, its implications for the region and beyond, and explores potential solutions to mitigate this humanitarian catastrophe.

The Roots of the Syrian Food Crisis

1. Prolonged Conflict and Agricultural Collapse

Syria’s civil war, which began in 2011, has wreaked havoc on the country’s agricultural sector, historically a cornerstone of its economy. Fertile regions, such as the northeastern provinces, have been severely affected by conflict. Farmlands have been abandoned, irrigation systems destroyed, and agricultural infrastructure dismantled. The fighting has also disrupted supply chains, making it nearly impossible for farmers to bring their goods to market. For instance, the once-prosperous wheat belt in northeastern Syria has seen production plummet. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), wheat production in 2023 was the lowest in decades, covering only a fraction of domestic needs.

2. Economic Sanctions and Financial Collapse

The imposition of international sanctions has further compounded Syria’s economic woes. These measures, intended to pressure the regime of Bashar al-Assad, have had unintended consequences on ordinary citizens. Inflation has spiraled, making food and other essential goods unaffordable for many. In 2023, the Syrian pound experienced record devaluation, driving up the cost of imports. Essential commodities such as cooking oil, flour, and rice became prohibitively expensive, forcing millions to rely on humanitarian aid.

3. Climate Change and Environmental Stress

Beyond conflict and economic factors, climate change has emerged as a silent but devastating force behind Syria’s food crisis. The country has experienced consecutive years of drought, depleting water resources essential for farming. In regions like al-Hasakah and Deir ez-Zor, rivers and reservoirs have dried up, leaving farmers without irrigation. Rising temperatures and erratic rainfall patterns are likely to exacerbate food insecurity in Syria and across the region. The United Nations warns that climate-induced migration could further strain neighboring countries already hosting millions of Syrian refugees.

Impact on Vulnerable Populations

1. Displacement and Refugee Strain

The WFP’s projection that 1.5 million Syrians could face displacement is not merely a statistic; it represents a looming humanitarian disaster. Displacement often forces families to leave behind their homes, possessions, and livelihoods, plunging them into deeper poverty. Neighboring countries such as Turkey, Lebanon, and Jordan, which already host millions of Syrian refugees, are ill-prepared to handle another influx. In Lebanon, for instance, the economic crisis has strained resources to the breaking point, with refugees facing hostility and limited access to aid.

2. Malnutrition and Child Mortality

Food insecurity in Syria has hit children hardest. The WFP estimates that one in three Syrian children is malnourished, leading to stunted growth and increased vulnerability to diseases. In 2023, UNICEF reported that acute malnutrition among children in Syria had reached alarming levels, with many requiring urgent medical intervention. Pregnant and lactating women also face severe nutritional deficits, increasing risks for maternal and infant mortality. Without immediate action, an entire generation could face long-term health and developmental consequences.

3. Erosion of Social Fabric

Food insecurity is not just a humanitarian issue but also a social one. In Syria, hunger has led to increased instances of child labor, early marriages, and exploitation. Families, desperate to make ends meet, often resort to selling their assets, pulling children out of school, or marrying off daughters to reduce household expenses. These coping mechanisms not only perpetuate cycles of poverty but also undermine Syria’s long-term recovery and stability.

Regional and Global Implications

1. Strain on Neighboring Countries

The displacement of 1.5 million additional Syrians could overwhelm already stretched resources in neighboring countries. Turkey, which hosts over 3.6 million Syrian refugees, faces growing domestic opposition to their presence. Jordan and Lebanon, too, are grappling with economic crises, making it increasingly difficult to accommodate new arrivals. This strain has led to rising tensions and xenophobia in host communities, threatening regional stability. For instance, protests in Lebanon against Syrian refugees have escalated, with some local leaders calling for their expulsion.

2. Spillover Effects on Global Food Security

Syria’s food crisis is a microcosm of a broader global issue. The disruption of agricultural production in conflict zones contributes to global food shortages and price hikes. For example, Syria’s diminished wheat exports have had ripple effects on regional markets, driving up prices in neighboring countries. As conflicts and climate change continue to intersect, the risk of similar crises emerging in other vulnerable regions increases, posing a challenge to global food systems.

Possible Solutions to Address the Crisis

1. Strengthening Humanitarian Assistance

Immediate action is needed to address the acute food insecurity in Syria. The WFP and other organizations must be adequately funded to provide emergency food aid. Currently, humanitarian efforts are hampered by funding shortfalls, with the WFP warning that it may have to cut rations for millions of Syrians. International donors must prioritize funding for Syrian relief efforts, ensuring that resources reach the most vulnerable populations.

2. Reviving Agriculture

Long-term solutions require rebuilding Syria’s agricultural sector. Initiatives to restore irrigation systems, provide farmers with seeds and tools, and improve market access are essential. International organizations like FAO and UNDP can play a pivotal role in supporting these efforts. For example, programs that promote climate-resilient farming practices can help Syrian farmers adapt to changing environmental conditions.

3. Lifting Sanctions and Economic Recovery

While sanctions are often used as a tool to pressure regimes, their impact on civilians cannot be ignored. The international community must reconsider the scope of sanctions on Syria, ensuring that they do not hinder humanitarian aid or economic recovery efforts. Allowing the flow of essential goods and facilitating reconstruction projects can help alleviate the economic strain on Syrians.

4. Addressing Climate Challenges

Given the role of climate change in Syria’s food crisis, efforts to mitigate its effects are crucial. Investment in water management projects, such as the rehabilitation of reservoirs and introduction of efficient irrigation techniques, can help combat water scarcity. Additionally, international climate funds should be directed toward supporting vulnerable countries like Syria in adapting to climate impacts.

5. Resolving the Conflict

Ultimately, Syria’s food crisis cannot be fully addressed without resolving the underlying conflict. A political solution that includes all stakeholders is essential for ending the war and creating conditions for sustainable recovery. The international community must renew efforts to facilitate dialogue between warring factions, prioritizing the needs of Syrian civilians over geopolitical interests.

Conclusion

The food crisis in Syria, as highlighted by the WFP’s warning of potential displacement for 1.5 million people, represents a humanitarian emergency of staggering proportions. Rooted in conflict, economic instability, and climate change, this crisis has profound implications for Syria, its neighbors, and the global community. Addressing this crisis requires a multi-faceted approach, combining immediate humanitarian aid with long-term strategies to rebuild agriculture, revive the economy, and mitigate climate impacts. Most importantly, resolving the conflict remains paramount to ensuring a sustainable future for Syria. As the world watches, the plight of Syrians serves as a stark reminder of the human cost of war and the urgent need for global solidarity in the face of such crises.

Dr. Nosherwan Adil
Dr. Nosherwan Adil
Research Scholar and Academic; Ph.D. in International Relations at the International Islamic University Islamabad, Pakistan.