Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA) appears set to retain control of Bihar, one of the country’s most populous and politically significant states. The outcome comes after a disappointing national election last year, which forced Modi to rely on allies to maintain a parliamentary majority.
Bihar, with nearly 130 million residents and sending the fifth-highest number of lawmakers to Parliament, is considered a key part of India’s Hindi heartland, and a win there strengthens any party’s influence on national politics.
Why It Matters
The Bihar result signals a political rebound for Modi and his party, demonstrating the NDA’s continued appeal despite prior setbacks. Analysts point to targeted economic measures, including a September transfer of 75 billion rupees ($853 million) to women under an employment program, as a critical factor.
Women voters, whose participation has grown steadily over the past decade, are widely seen as tipping the balance in the NDA’s favour. The outcome also sets the stage for the BJP ahead of next year’s state elections in Assam, West Bengal, and Tamil Nadu, where the party faces more challenging political terrain.
For Modi and the BJP, retaining Bihar consolidates their influence in northern India and strengthens their bargaining position nationally. The opposition faces a setback in a strategically important state, highlighting challenges in mobilizing women voters and countering targeted welfare initiatives.
Election Snapshot
Data from the Election Commission and media reports show Modi’s coalition leading in more than 170 seats, comfortably above the majority threshold of 122. NDTV projected the NDA ahead in 191 seats, representing a potential gain of 69 from the previous election. Party officials framed the results as an endorsement of governance over misrule, emphasizing development as the key identity of the electorate.
What’s Next
With Bihar decided, attention turns to upcoming elections in other states, which will test whether the NDA’s gains in the Hindi heartland can translate into broader national momentum ahead of the next general election cycle.
With information from Reuters.
