Is Trump Poised for a Spectacular Comeback in the US Presidential Race?

In the upcoming November, it is anticipated that Donald Trump will assert his intentions to Joe Biden, possibly with a direct gaze, a declaration he may make in February as he articulates his plans.

“Joe, you’re fired. Get out. Get out. Joe, you’re fired.”

In the upcoming November, it is anticipated that Donald Trump will assert his intentions to Joe Biden, possibly with a direct gaze, a declaration he may make in February as he articulates his plans. He took a big stride toward becoming the Republican Party’s front-runner after ousting Nikki Haley handily in the South Carolina primary. Nonetheless, within the Republican Party itself, there was a great deal of skepticism over his candidacy for the presidency a second time. But now, with him, there is only one candidate in the running for the nomination from the Republican Party, who is quite a bit behind Trump. Haley’s home state is South Carolina, hence Trump’s victory is crucial in this region. Remarkably, during Trump’s celebration following his victory in South Carolina, he made no mention of Nikki Haley because his goal is to win the general election in November. Consequently, there is still a good chance that there will be a rematch against his successor, Joe Biden, in the White House. Trump commended the cohesion within the party following the outcomes of the South Carolina primary. In addition, he asserted that the party had never exhibited such solidarity previously and that he had never witnessed such unity within the party.

The former president still has significant challenges in this election, though. A New York judge penalized him roughly $365 million in the New York Civil Fraud Case a week ago; the total amount due plus interest might be as high as $450 million. He is required to pay this amount to different state funds for allegedly providing misleading data on the property’s worth. Furthermore, for the next three years, the court has prohibited him from obtaining loans from any bank in New York. The former US president, however, declared that he would file an appeal and asserted that this decision was the result of political interference. Along with the $400 million in fines, Trump’s two sons, Eric and Donald Trump Jr., will also be prohibited from operating their businesses in New York for two years under the ruling. In addition to these penalties, Trump owes novelist E. John Carroll a defamation suit settlement of almost $850 million. He has dealt with five cases in total thus far and for assisting the Capitol Hill riots and for having classified government papers, he is currently on trial.

Even if his legal problems are becoming worse by the day, Donald Trump is still quite popular among Republican contenders for president. Instead, since his initial indictment in April of last year, he has been receiving more and more support. As of right now, Mr. Trump is the first former US President to face criminal charges in the political history of the US. Republican voters now rank Mr. Trump as their top pick following his initial arrest and court appearance. Clifford Ion is a top executive of IPS in the US and believes it will be tough to shatter the sense of togetherness between Donald Trump and his supporters. Republicans who support Trump make up between 40 and 45 percent of the electorate, according to Mr. Yoon, and they view the world through Trump’s lens. They think that Mr. Trump is being unfairly accused and that the accusations are being made for political purposes. Mr. Trump has had to balance his campaign schedule with court appearances since the start of the year. Donald Trump declared that he would not withdraw from the presidential race, even if found guilty or given a prison term. In terms of public support, Mr. Trump currently has a tiny advantage over President Biden. According to the most recent survey by The Economist, 47% of Americans favor Trump, and 44% support Biden. According to the survey’s graph, Trump started to outperform the sitting president in terms of popularity in September of last year.

Leading a bustling America First movement in June 2015, Trump argued that the country and its people should be valued, supported, represented, and given priority by their leaders. Despite this idea appearing to be uncontroversial, the ruling class of globalism faced an existential challenge. In an attempt to discredit him as a political player, Trump’s opponents have thrown the kitchen sink at him. As seen by his historic victory in Iowa GOP caucuses, nothing has worked—quite the reverse. The more he is attacked, the stronger he becomes, much like a legendary superhero. Trump is the first Republican to receive more than 50% of the vote, and he won by the largest margin in the history of the caucuses with 51% of the vote. With a margin of victory larger than 12 percent, no Republican presidential candidate has ever prevailed. In a distant third place with 21, 19, and 7 percent, respectively, were former governor Nikki Haley, governor Ron DeSantis, and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy.

Trump’s tenure is marked by a string of accomplishments propelled by pro-growth strategies. He not only fostered a thriving economy with historically low unemployment rates spanning all demographics but also saw a notable increase in wages and minimal inflation. Moreover, his administration oversaw the attainment of energy independence and a revitalization of manufacturing jobs, alongside the negotiation of more equitable trade agreements. Additionally, his stringent enforcement of border security measures, which included erecting a border wall, implementing the Remain in Mexico policy, and terminating the Catch and Release program, effectively tackled the challenge of illegal immigration. Furthermore, under his leadership, there was a significant enhancement in global tranquility and stability achieved by projecting robustness and imposing severe repercussions on adversaries challenging U.S. interests. Trump’s governance also played a crucial part in securing landmark peace agreements and revitalizing the armed forces, thereby augmenting preparedness and deterrence capabilities.

Before this, Richard Nixon underwent one of the most remarkable political resurgences in American history. Following his defeat in the 1960 presidential contest to John F. Kennedy, Nixon rebounded emphatically, clinching victory decisively in 1968 and subsequently in a landslide triumph in 1972. His capacity to rebound from adversity and attain the presidency twice exemplified his resilience and political astuteness. Nixon’s resurgence serves as a testament to the capriciousness of American politics and the prospect of redemption in the political sphere.

On the other hand, Joe Biden’s fitness has been the talk of the town recently. Incidents of falling while riding a bicycle or stumbling on the stairs while boarding an airplane do not provide a decent picture of ​​his physical capabilities. Not only that, but his memory loss is a major concern now. There have been numerous occasions when he has misspoken or omitted to say something important when discussing a variety of topics with the media. But he claims that his memory is perfectly fine. The special counsel Robert Hare decided not to file a charge of secrecy against Mr. Biden. But his investigative report includes several stinging accusations and states that the president has severe memory impairments.

The irony is that if Trump were to run for office again in 2024, Democrats would be unified by the necessity to defeat him in the general election. Having said that, Democrats would probably not be able to mount an anti-Trump campaign as successful as they did in 2020 because Trump will have been out of office for four years and the Democratic nominee would unavoidably be burdened by Biden’s political scandals. As Trump navigates the complexities of legal battles and public perception, the unfolding dynamics of the presidential race promise a riveting narrative of political redemption and strategic maneuvering on the road to the White House. The stage is set for a high-stakes showdown that will undoubtedly captivate the nation and redefine the trajectory of American politics for years to come.

S.M. Sayem
S.M. Sayem
S.M. Sayem is a Dhaka-based foreign policy analyst. He is studying Economics at the University of Chittagong. Contact: smsayem[at]049gmail.com