Global politics is taking new shifts with ever evolving strategic calculus by global powers. The recent, Russia Ukraine crisis has emerged as pivotal in international politics of 21st century on which future geo-political decisions will be made or assessed. These crisis also hold significance as it is in-between global powers and whites are directly effected by it. The future trajectory of global politics very much lies on the outcome of Russia Ukraine crisis. However, the pattern upon which these crises unfold are of key importance in order to assess the machinations of global conflicts.
It is a writing on the wall that United States has played role in conflict rather in peace unless it’s europe. Under folly allegations and intelligence reports it had previously decimated countries like Iraq, Libya, Syria and Afghanistan. And after torching the conflict between Russia and Ukraine it is now in strategic pursuit to do the same between China and Taiwan. Constant provocation coupled with false narratives has been key instrument in US instigation of Russia Ukraine crisis and Washington is now sailing the same boat in strategic shores of Taiwan.
US joint chief Gen. Mark Miley while talking to BBC said that US is constantly monitoring the situation in Taiwan as China is likely to ingress into the lands of Taiwan. The statement is nothing short of a provocation by top military official. While US is creating a strategic hype, it is supplemented by the much anticipated visit of Nancy Palosi to Asia. US gauged the waters when it was expected that Palosi might visit Taiwan which was highly rebutted by Beijing and it threatened US with equal force response. It is still unclear weather Nancy Palosi will visit Taiwan or not. It is significant to mention that there is no official US embassy in Taiwan.
First it shall be made clear that there is no China-Taiwan conflict rather internal administrative nuisances or settlements between the two. It is a narrative constituted by the west using lexicon which suits their strategic interests. The issue dates back to 17th century when Taiwan came under full control of China under the Qing Dynasty. In 1895, China lost war against Japan and had to forfeit control over the island thus Japan bagged the control over it. China in WW-II settled the scores by regaining the control of its lost territory. It was until civil war in China between the communists and nationalists which resulted in communist governing China in 1949 while nationalists fled to Taiwan and formed republic of China to rule for next several decades. Now that China claims Taiwan to be its part and Taiwan is reluctant to accept the realities. Even Taiwan’s constitution recognizes it as part of China.
The history between both China and Taiwan maybe in ridden in fissures but political and historical realities are quite different. Taiwan is officially known as the Republic of China and lacks membership of United Nations. Also, there are countries which do not recognise Taiwan as a separate entity, independent of China. Even Washington doesn’t have any diplomatic relations with Taiwan. It steers it’s relations with Taiwan through Taiwan Relations Act of 1979. Which elaborates that US must provide the Island with means to defend itself. In order to comply with this strategic cooperation agreement and intimidate Beijing, United States provide Taiwan with defense sales. However there is a catch to it, United States does consider Taiwan as its backyard tech factory. Taiwan has 65% share in global computer chip production. Taiwan on one hand, receives influx of Defense equipment and defense guarantees and in return, Taiwan has to provide major share of its production of computer chips to US. Washington’s technological domination considerably breathes on chips made and provided by Taiwan.
US has purposefully maintained strategic ambiguity towards Taiwan in order to suffice and preserve the interests. Nevertheless, under the garb of this strategic vagueness it carries on with intimidation against China. Given the record and cost the monks in oval need to understand that crossing red lines would this time cost not only American idol but global peace. The purposeful naiveness to test the patience of other countries would come costly and China remains one case.