Ukraine Crisis and its Implications to Foreign Policy of Russia

“The image of Russian troops pouring into Ukraine and encircling military units in Crimea has been a wake-up call that will reverberate for a generation”. With these lines Victor Conta has argued the military adventure by Russia in Ukraine. During the Ukraine Crisis decisions were made on the basis of futuristic thoughts with the interests of both military and civilian commands. Ukraine has been most targeted territory in East European countries. Russia has been involved in crisis from the basic construction of idea that Ukraine is not a state, it is part of Russia and it is a just land mass relevant to Russian authority. Therefore, Russia at that time has gathered more than 175000 armed forces on the Russian borders. Fundamental causes from this were the Ukrainian foreign ministers statement in 2008 in which he had shown his interest to join the EU expansion idea and most importantly the demand of NATO joining. Second reason as a threat towards the security of Russia is concerns of west. In ancient times Russia was attacked by the European states especially the France. Annexation of Crimea has led the Ukrainian crisis.

Moreover, the Russian political authority and Russian ministry of defence have consensus in contemporary times that withdrawal of NATO pledge and assurance for not going to have membership of Ukraine or Georgia. Second consensus is about NATO’s no weapon technology deployment with the borders of Russia. Third demand is free space distance at maximum level from and to Baltic and Black sea. Fourth demand from the Russian authority is about readopting INF treaty which had been regularized by old American and Russian authorities and in this treaty there would be complete ban of land based missiles which are in range of 500 to 550Km. In contemporary politics the use of force by Russian armed forces in Ukraine which was initially began in year 2014 has severely affected the right of self determination of state. In Ukrainian case the combat operations begin when Russian airborne Forces deployed in Crimea. There was pact signed in Black sea against the use of force and allowance of Troops in the sea and this action was against the called agreement between parties. Later on this act of cruelty proved to be heinous for the foreign affairs of Russian federation where they violated the law. Certainly the meddling of politics from military and Russian navy has impacted the international norms.  In case of military shirking where military consider it as legitimate to interfere the political decision making is clearly showing the diversion of objective control. These actions can surely identify in Crimea and in Ukraine. In the deviation of military from objective control and military professionalism this later will give origin to the pro military ideology. In context of use of illegal force on Crimea, Putin Administration has no clear and sound mandate to order the anxious attack on the vary land of Ukraine and on its forces. Ukraine crisis is diplomatically huge failure of Russian federation it is the major concerns of international communities. Diplomatically Russia has been isolated during cold war and in scenario of post cold or of Uni-polar world. Foreign affairs after this crisis have been impacted a lot by aggression Russian had made. Firstly, the aggression of war and escalation has been developed among the Europeans and NATO in a speculated point. There has been the dilemma of war between the Russia either it is hybrid war or proxies played by non state actors. Dramatically other implications are armament of Russia and nuclear proliferation have affected thoroughly. Arms advancement of Russia has been the most important factor for its trade of weapon technology. Due to these actions over Ukraine its trade with other countries of International system especially the East European countries would have been affected. Meanwhile, Relations with China is concerned both states have relatively been in pragmatic nature of affairs. Though with this China has been the suspicious about the Russian steps in Ukraine. Last but not the least both organizations are trying hard substantiate the authoritative role to develop their own military might.

However, obsession with Ukraine would be sign of illegal orders if there would be low military professionalism in them. The US and its allies need to negotiate with the Russians from a position of strength. As in Brezhnev’s days, they need to credibly deter Moscow in order to open space for real negotiations. That is why, the US is communicating to Putin its readiness to ramp up economic sanctions – “like none he’d ever seen”, in Biden’s words – in case of war. After the fall of Soviet Union, Russia it has emerged as dominant to be considered in great power status. Apart from the threats to the integrity of other international sovereign states like Ukraine, Russia should certainly focus on the issues of foreign policy and domestic policies. Russian federation has used its historical, ideological, political narratives to control the Ukrainian land by military dominancy.

It is inevitable to observe that civilian and military corps is different in decision making. These two units of state comprise different modes of characteristics therefore, both needs to cooperate and work for the state building and national development. Russian federation from the past has been involved in the threat perception from the west. There military threat which is defeating all other political and economic interest of the state. Russian has made lot of progress in the observation of world. After the fall of Soviet Union, Russia it has emerged as dominant to be considered in great power status. Apart from the threats to the integrity of other international sovereign states like Ukraine, Russia should certainly focus on the issues of foreign policy and domestic policies. Russian federation has used its historical, ideological, political narratives to control the Ukrainian land by military dominancy.

Khaleeque Ahmed
Khaleeque Ahmed
Mphil student at Quaid i azam university, Islamabad.