Russia did not want a conflict with Ukraine

Share

Russia’s intervention in Ukraine will have great consequences not only for the relations between Russia and Ukraine, but also for the whole of Europe. However, as we all are watching the intervention of Russian army in Ukraine, the question arise – could all this been prevented in 2014? As a result of the US-backed violent protests in Kiev’s Maidan Square in the winter of 2014, allegedly pro-Russian Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych was overthrown.

Why Russia did not support Viktor Yanukovych the same way it supported Kazakhstan president Kassym-Jomart Tokayev? According to the same principle as on the Maidan, he should have been forcibly removed from power, but thanks to the quick reaction of Russian special forces, this was prevented.

In a 2018 interview with famous Russian journalist Vladimir Solovyov Russian President Vladimir Putin openly admitted that his American partners called him during the Maidan demonstrations and asked him to “make sure Yanukovych does not deploy the army against protesters.”

Putin accepted it. Without troops on the streets of Kiev, Yanukovych simply could not crack down on the rebellion. He was overthrown on February 22 after police stopped guarding presidential buildings, allowing protesters in.

After that Russia blamed Poland, France and Germany for not forcing Yanukovych’s opponents to implement the agreement on a settlement of the political crisis in Ukraine signed on February 21 by the Ukrainian president and opposition leaders.

The agreement was mediated by Polish, German and French Foreign Ministers Radoslaw Sikorski, Frank-Walter Steinmeier and Laurent Fabius, as well as by Russian special envoy Vladimir Lukin.

And this was not the first time that US deceived Russia. In 2010, Putin said NATO “deceived Moscow in the rudest way” after breaking a promise made to the Soviet Union on no NATO expansion eastward.

And as the saying goes: Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me.

Russia could no longer afford to be deceived. Because Russia only received promises from the West that Russians and the Russian language would be protected in Ukraine. The situation on the ground was completely different. Let’s just remember the horrible crime of May 2014, when Ukrainian nationalists burned alive dozens of pro-Russian activists in the southern Ukrainian port city of Odessa. The Ukrainian government did not prosecute anyone for this horrific crime. And as if that were not enough, the bombing of the innocent Russian people in Donbas has been going on since 2014.

Due to all the above, as well as the fact that it is unacceptable for Russia that Ukraine become NATO member and thus US strategic weapons to be stationed in the Russian yard, a peacekeeping operation has been launched. Similar things were done by the United States, when their vital interests were at stake, let’s just remember the Cuban Missile Crisis. With this peace operation, Moscow wants to ensure the security of the Russians in Ukraine and the strategic security of Russia and Belarus.

In accordance with the above, we can expect that in about 10 days the Russian army will establish control over the whole of Ukraine. Part of the current Ukrainian authorities, as well as their supporters, will then be arrested and tried for crime and corruption. Guerrilla warfare is not possible in Ukraine, because according to Russian sociological research conducted 1 year ago in Ukraine, only 30% of the population of Ukraine is ready for war. The fact is that in Eastern and Southern Ukraine, the majority of the population is pro-Russian, and will welcome the Russian army as a liberator.

In central Ukraine, the population is neutral, but Western Ukraine is the core of Ukrainian nationalists, and Russia will face problems in that area, but they too will be resolved.

Russia will establish control over the whole of Ukraine, new institutions will be created. The Russian army will be the guarantor of security. An interim government will be created, and after the situation normalizes, parliamentary and presidential elections will be held. A government will be elected that will cooperate with Russia, as well as with the whole world. The Russian army will then withdraw from Ukraine while the Russian government will make maximum efforts to rebuild and strengthen Ukraine.

Slavisha Batko Milacic
Slavisha Batko Milacic
Slavisha Batko Milacic is a historian and independent analyst. He has been doing analytics for years, writing in Serbian and English about the situation in the Balkans and Europe. Slavisha Batko Milacic can be contacted at email: varjag5[at]outlook.com

Latest

Philippines joins Blue Carbon Action Partnership to Strengthen Coastal Ecosystems

The Government of the Philippines’ Department of Environment and...

Brazil gears up to become fourth largest oil producer

Brazil's National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels...

Russia takes control of Iraq’s biggest oil discovery for 20 years

Preliminary estimates suggested that Iraq’s Eridu oil field holds...

Why the Israel-Hamas War is a Feminist Issue

Historically, men in positions of power have often started...