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Israel-Bhutan peace agreement and its affect on China’s influence

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First: The relationship between (political normalization agreements between Israel and the Emirates and the State of Bhutan or the Kingdom of Happiness) between India and China with the UAE appointment of a “Minister of Emirati Happiness”

Second: Is Israel’s extensive study of the importance, danger and location of (the State of Bhutan or the Kingdom of Happiness) directly between India and China, the only motive for signing a peace agreement with it?, and then persuading the UAE side to bring the idea of ​​“the Minister of Happiness from the State of Bhutan to the Emirates and then later to the countries of the region”?, I am calling it, as: “The theory of Israel’s employment of political psychology functionally” in the Emirates and the region

Third: An analysis of (the content of the Israeli Foreign Ministry’s statement to establish a peace agreement with the State of Bhutan) to balance relations between the Indian and Chinese sides in favor of Washington, and its relationship to political normalization and Israeli peace agreements in the Arab Gulf and the Middle East

Fourth: An analysis of the geographical, regional maps and border areas surrounding the state of Bhutan in practice, and an analysis of the danger of its location for Israel to play a role on (the borders facing Afghanistan) to monitor the movements of the Taliban movement, and in (the dividing line between India and China) to reveal the most important movements of China on its borders in China’s Tibet Province for the United States of America

Fifth: Analyzing the dangerous relationship between Israel’s signing of the peace agreement and political normalization with the small Buddhist state of “Bhutan” directly adjacent to the Chinese territory of Tibet in December 2020, and (Washington’s appointment only two months prior to the US special coordinator for human rights in the Chinese Buddhist region of Tibet in October 2020)

    Since Israel signed full diplomatic relations with the state of “Bhutan” between India and China on Saturday, December 12, 2020, it has called it – according to the Israeli Foreign Ministry statement published on their official website – “political normalization” – in the presence of the Israeli ambassador to India “Ron Malka” with his Bhutanese counterpart ambassador in India, “Fitsub Nagimil”, in a ceremony during which the (the alliance between the Israeli and Bhutan sides was confirmed with Indian mediation), to become the “54th country in the history of Bhutanese relations with the world”, with the Israeli side confirming that “there have been secret negotiations for many years between Israel and a state  Bhutan to persuade it to sign an agreement to establish peace and political normalization with Israel”. This is in view of (the policy of the isolationist state of Bhutan of its wn will since its inception and its distance from the idea of ​​conflict, polarization and competition between regional and international powers, and its adoption of the policy of national happiness for its people and its internationally limited relations). Hence, we understand that Bhutan does not have diplomatic relations with China, nor with the United States of America itself.

   The Egyptian researcher was very surprised by the lack of interest of the Arab side in the event, despite its researching, academic and analytical importance to me for a long time, due to my realization of its significance and its danger to the the Asian region and the Middle East security itself and their balances, so, I have profoundly analyzed the following information and inquiries, regarding:

     The reasons for the United States of America appointing a prominent official for the human rights file in the Chinese Buddhist region of Tibet directly facing the state of “Bhutan” in October 2020, just two months before the signing of the peace and political normalization agreement between Israel and Bhutan in December 2020?  As a result of a special strategic security arrangement between Israel and the United States of America, then what is its relationship with Afghanistan, and with the discovery of a spy network, a modern Israeli spy cell, and military bases for Israel in the state of “Azerbaijan” in Central Asia, at the closest border between it and Afghanistan, to spy on the activity of the “Taliban” movement and its armed militias and to monitor  Iran, then what does all this have to do with Israeli political normalization with the countries of the Arab Gulf and the Middle East, especially the United Arab Emirates?

    And that as you will understand from this long analysis, which took me a long time and extended to several whole months, in order to try to read, understand and analyze the entire scene, and research and analyze all its dimensions and fringes, and then  – the Egyptian researcher has been in-depth reading of the geographical, regional and border maps – surrounding the state of “Bhutan” to understand (the reasons for  Determining and choosing the Israeli side of the “State of Bhutan” specifically to sign a peace agreement despite its very small size, its small population of no more than 750,000 people, and its small influence), in view of my in-depth study of that Asian region, and the study of its relationship with China – as a precise focus of my academic specialization in Chinese political affairs  – and even linking Israel’s modern diplomatic relationship with the State of Bhutan, for a deeper future analysis in my research related to studying the impact of the relationship between Israel’s signing of the peace agreement with (the State of Bhutan) between India and China on (Taliban) in Afghanistan and its relationship with the discovery of two Israeli military bases in the State of Azerbaijan to monitor Iran’s movements and its activitie, additionally of the armed Taliban movement in Afghanistan, and the impact of this on the Chinese role and influence in confronting the state of India, and then the impact of all these data and interactions related to the Taliban. Finally, afterwards, the researcher was trying to analyze the impacts of Israeli-Bhutanese peace agreement on “the future of political normalization in the Arab Gulf region and the Middle East, focusing on the UAE side in particular”.

  Hence, the Egyptian researcher worked for a long time to analyze the issue of Israel’s signing of the peace agreement with (the State of Bhutan) between India and China through the Israeli embassy in the Indian capital “New Delhi” and with Indian mediation, then asking: (What is the relationship of the file of political normalization between Israel and Bhutan and the United States of America appointment of a prominent official on the file of “human rights” in the Chinese region of Tibet, which is directly opposite the state of Bhutan, and a dispute between Bhutan and China)?, and the reasons for that even though (the state of Bhutan) is very small, as you mentioned, which is also called internationally as “the kingdom or a state of  Happiness”, which is based on (the happiness indicators scale, and the Gross National Product for happiness to measure the Bhutanese productivity), the state of “Bhutan” is the first country in the world to appoint a “Minister of Happiness“.  But the serious question remains here, which is:

   (Does the completely severed relations and the cessation of contacts between the “State of Bhutan” and the People’s Republic of China since 1959 due to the Buddhist minority in the “Tibetan region of China” supported by the Buddhist population and its Buddhist monks in “Bhutan” in the face of China have anything to do with the establishment of official Israeli diplomatic relations with the State of Bhutan  Small, due to the difficulty of Chinese influence in the face of India as an ally of Israel and Washington in the region of South and Southeast Asia)?

   For all these reasons, the Egyptian researcher began a new in-depth study of the map of that Asian region of the state of “Bhutan” and to identify its importance in relation to the “file of Israeli political normalization with the Gulf countries and the Middle East”, by tracing the following main headlines:

First: The relationship between (political normalization agreements between Israel and the Emirates and the State of Bhutan or the Kingdom of Happiness) between India and China with the appointment of the UAE as a “Minister of Emirati Happiness”

   Although some were surprised by the depth of this new research and analytical idea globally, which the Egyptian researcher wounded for the first time, and which is not universally addressed by studying many influences from Asia to the Middle East and the United Arab Emirates, and linking it to the “political normalization agreements between Israel and the Emirates” and the UAE’s appointment of a Minister of Happiness, as a step  For full official diplomatic relations with Israel, as an idea inspired primarily by the “State of Bhutan” between India and China, which is considered the first country in the world to care about happiness, and to set the indicator and the national product of happiness, and to make continuous measurements of the happiness and well-being of its citizens at all times. My analysis is based mainly on the following dimensions:

A serious question jumped in the mind of the Egyptian researcher, related to: “Was political normalization between Israel and the UAE planned before 2016, when the UAE announced the appointment of the Minister of Happiness as a newly created Emirati ministry that was established in the UAE on February 8, 2016?”. The most important tasks of the Minister of State for Happiness, which are: Harmonizing all the plans, programs and policies of the United Arab Emirates to achieve the happiness of society.  The first Emirati minister to hold the position of Minister of Happiness is “Ohoud Khalfan Al Roumi”.  And that previous idea directly was linked by the Egyptian researcher to the (political normalization agreements between Israel and the Emirates), and with the appointment of the UAE before it (Minister of Happiness) as an idea that was mainly studied and inspired and brought forth from the experience model of the “State of Bhutan” known globally as the “Kingdom of Happiness”, and Bhutan was keen to appoint a “Minister of Happiness” and policies based on the happiness index and scale, for decades, and the complete reliance of Bhutan on the national product of happiness and measurements of the happiness of its citizens, given that “Bhutan” was and still is the first country in the world to adopt the happiness index and scale to measure (the Gross National Product of happiness in Bhutan),  And it adopted the designation of “official policies for happiness” in the previous long decades.

Hence, my research and academic understanding came in a deeper and more prolific way, related to answering a question that has always occupied me research and intellectually since the appointment of the UAE as its Minister of Happiness, and Israel worked out (political normalization agreements full diplomatic relations with the Emirates and Bhutan respectively, and the two countries’ attention at the same time itself with happiness on the political and national level), as a deep intellectual occasion for the Egyptian researcher to answer this question that raises her globally and intellectually, which no research or analytical study has previously addressed, namely:

    “(The extent of the relationship between appointing a Minister of Happiness in the UAE with Bhutan, and most importantly, Israel’s relationship with exporting the idea of ​​happiness to the Emiratis before signing the “peace agreement with the United Arab Emirates”, especially with the Israeli announcement of its quest for several years to sign an agreement for peace and political normalization with Bhutan, then recognition  Israel that this was done with an Israeli desire and an Indian mediation between Bhutan and Israel)?”

Bearing in mind as I have mentioned that the country (Bhutan) is the first country in the world to adopt the (national happiness index to measure the gross national product), and it was the first to formulate the idea and policy of (gross national happiness) in 1971. The fourth king of the Kingdom of Bhutan, his name is “Jigme Singhai Wang chuck”, who stressed that “the total national happiness of Bhutan is more important than the gross domestic product”. This concept means that:

“Sustainable development should not be linked only to economic indicators of well-being as a measure of progress”

   Since then, the concept of “gross national happiness” has influenced the entirety of Bhutan’s economically, socially, culturally, intellectually, touristic and planning policies, while also dominating the imagination of others outside its borders, prompting the United Nations and some countries and those interested to study the unique Bhutanese experience to learn from it.

The strange paradox of the Egyptian researcher is that Bhutan prevented the entry of television sets, the Internet, and telephones into the country until 1999, with the aim of (protecting traditional culture from external influences).  The Bhutanese authorities have also imposed a pedestrian day every Thursday, with the aim of preventing traffic in cities and protecting humans and the environment. It derives its energy from its surroundings, including: (rivers, valleys, lakes and landscapes), so you find that Bhutan is a small country, and one of the cleanest countries in the world, and the number of cars in it does not exceed a car, all its streets are about 200 cars only, and it has countless waterfalls and rivers  One of the strangest and rarest animals in the world lives in Bhutan, the takin animal, which is of the cow family, and the penalty for hunting it may reach the death penalty even for visiting foreigners.

What caught the Egyptian researcher with great interest, is “their link between the areas and priorities” indicators and measures of achieving happiness in the Emirati concept in a manner similar to the basis for the state of Bhutan, mainly represented in (nine areas for measuring the percentage of gross national happiness), which are, as follows:

  Mental health, physical health, education, time use, cultural diversity, adaptability, good governance, community vitality, environmental diversity and adaptability, and standards of living

   According to the “Gross National Happiness Index” in Bhutan, it was found that 42% of the population of Bhutan was “happy“, while 50% felt “almost happy“, and 8% of the people felt “completely happy“.

The Egyptian researcher also linked with interest the statements of UAE officials and officials in Bhutan about their common priorities for happiness, emphasizing the following:

  That their country had developed a system for measuring progress, which was not only useful for policy making, but would also motivate the government, NGOs and the private sector to increase their “gross national happiness rate and ratios”.

   In this context, Business Week magazine ranked Bhutan (as the happiest country in Asia, and the eighth happiest country in the world), citing a global survey conducted by (University of Leicester) in Britain, called (The World Happiness Map Survey).

Perhaps the Egyptian researcher presented this new and extensive idea in our Arab world and our region about happiness and the happiness index, then he linked it to the state of “Bhutan” in the first place, as the first country in the world that adopted and adopted those policies for measuring the welfare rates of its citizens, and so on, and to here, the matter has nothing to do with this problem or crisis, but my analysis came through (what is the connection between a common idea between the Emirates and Bhutan, which is happiness, and then its relationship later to Israel’s signing of peace agreements and political normalization with the two countries, especially after a period of the UAE’s announcement of appointing a “Minister of Happiness” in it, as an idea inspired mainly by the country of Bhutan).  This is what made me, as a researcher and political analyst specialized in Chinese and Asian political affairs, look at the event from a different angle “politically, psychologically, psychologically, strategically and securityly”, meaning:

  (The extent of the importance of psychological preparation for the Arab citizen and his feeling of happiness and his value and well-being in his country, before accepting the idea of ​​peace or normalization with the Israeli side despite the Arab rejection of it, especially the Gulf in the first place).

I know in advance that (I am willing to propose a new global idea that has not been discussed or circulated and analyzed globally before, but the whole matter has stopped me, not with the aim of attacking or prejudice against the policies of one country or another because that did not really concern me when adopting and presenting this new analytical idea in the Arab world  And globally), as much as it has occupied me as an Egyptian and Arab researcher specializing in Chinese and Asian political affairs for many years.  On what I started, especially from specialists in “political psychology“, regarding:

  (Is putting the happiness index and measure as a concept and a political position in the state an ideal prelude when concluding peace agreements between Arab parties and Israel)? Rather, it remains the most dangerous and most important, regarding: (the relationship between the common link between the Emirates and Bhutan, which is “happiness” and the agreements of political normalization, as the Israeli side is calling it or peace agreements, as it is called in the Gulf and the Middle East)?

   Based on the previous analysis, this brings me to another comprehensive level of analysis and is clearer to me that the (Psychologists) and not politics or strategic experts and academics this time, because it is more related to their understanding and vision of the idea, and the extent of the depth of what I presented and their analysis of it from their research angle, which is:

  (Is Israel’s choice of countries based on happiness indicators and with ministers of happiness, such as: Bhutan and the Emirates having a primarily maximum significance for Israel, politically and psychologically, in order to start normalization? Then, was the idea of ​​appointing an emirati minister of happiness an Israeli idea primarily by its experts to export the happiness of the state of Bhutan to the UAE or adopt the same idea specifically as a “psychological prelude” to pave the way for the acceptance of Israel among the people of the region and the Gulf?)

Second: Is Israel’s extensive study of the importance, danger and location of (the State of Bhutan or the Kingdom of Happiness) between India and China directly, the only motive for signing a peace agreement with it, and then persuading the UAE side to bring the idea of ​​“Minister of Happiness from the State of Bhutan to the Emirates and then later to the countries of the region”?, I am calling it the “theory of Israel’s employment of political psychology” functionally in the Emirates and the region

    When the Egyptian researcher analyzes this new and profound point for the first time globally regarding the UAE’s import of the Minister of Happiness as an idea from the very small “state of Bhutan” between the borders of China and India, and its relationship to Israel’s signing of the peace agreement or normalization, according to the term that has been in circulation in the Arabs for many years, as an introductory introduction to the agreement  Peace or normalization between the Israeli and Emirati sides. Hence, the Egyptian researcher understood this point, as follows:

On a personal level, this matter occupied my thinking as a political analyst on this issue from a different psychological angle, that the appointment of “a minister of happiness in the Emirates and then the signing by Israel, mediated by India, of a peace agreement with the state of Bhutan”, may have come as a deep psychological introduction and precedent to acceptance. Psychologically political normalization between the Emiratis and the Israelis, as a “new Israeli employment of what is known to me as a professor of political science for political psychology and its functional applications, happiness lies in its income and its gross national product”, but rather in its overall management of its internal and external conditions and when setting its policies, as I will explain.

This was withdrawn by the Egyptian researcher by analyzing another indicator that is more dangerous than the (political aspect), given that (the State of Bhutan) does not fully establish diplomatic relations with the State of China and has cut diplomatic relations with it until this moment since 1959, due to the sympathy of the State of Bhutan with the Chinese Buddhist majority located in (Tibet) and directly facing the border with the state of “Bhutan”, as well as the sympathy of (Bhutan Buddhist monks) with their views in the region of Tibet, and their support for the “Dalai Lama”, whom China considers in the rule of the rebels.

The (Bhutan State) also refuses to establish diplomatic relations with the United States of America and Russia, and, as we mentioned, it rejects absolutely any relations with China, because it desires to live in (happiness and harmony among its Bhutanese people), away from the conflicts of the surrounding regional powers and the competition of major powers.  international, such as the United States of America.  But on the other hand, Bhutan has very limited relations with a number of countries in the world, led by (the State of India), and here came the keenness of (Israel) as the Egyptian researcher followed for several years to appoint the Israeli ambassador to India as an ambassador (not residing in the State of Bhutan), and with the Arab side not being completely interested in looking at or thinking about (the State of Bhutan) in view of its very small size and low impact in its surroundings.

Hence, the Egyptian researcher has been preoccupied for several years, considering the importance and danger of the Bhutan site – for which she will single out a separate part – to ensure the Israeli influence and penetration on the two (Indian and Chinese fronts), and its relationship with Afghanistan and political normalization in the Middle East after that, and even remains the most dangerous for the researcher  The Egyptian, and related (reasons for Israel’s establishment of relations with the very small state of Bhutan, which has severed its relations with China since 1959), due to the accusation of (the State of Bhutan) to China of violating the rights of the Tibetan minority in the Chinese territory of Tibet, which has intertwined with the Buddhist majority in the state of Bhutan, as I have explained.

 On the other hand, the Egyptian researcher discussed a lot, and stopped to understand the importance of “Israel’s work for full diplomatic relations with the very small state of Bhutan, despite the presence of an Israeli ambassador who is not resident in Bhutan to the State of India”. It became clear to me that “the state of Bhutan has a great intelligence importance for the country”.  For Israel, which I have studied well, given that it is located in a dangerous middle area between China and India, and Bhutan’s complete severing of diplomatic relations since the fifties with the State of China, gives it a great additional importance and advantage for the Israeli side, ally of India and Washington, by ensuring (the inability to influence the State of Israel).  Bhutan was identified by China as a large country with influence in the region, and after the withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan, it became clear to me – by referring to the geographical and border maps surrounding Bhutan – the extent (the danger, sensitivity and depth of Bhutan’s borders also with Afghanistan, and its intelligence importance for Israel), and that is considered, according to my analysis of the danger of this small Asian country, it is:

“An Israeli intelligence maneuver to get between all the competing and competing Asian fronts through “a very small country, no one in the Arab world and the Middle East is fully aware of its importance to Israel”

Hence, we understand from this analytical part (the extent of the danger and political sensitivity of Bhutan in relation to Israel), and that Israel did not choose it randomly to sign a peace agreement or political normalization, but when I dig deep and understand what I have reached by studying, research and deep analysis for a long time to try to understand the reasons for Israel’s choice of Bhutan in order to establish a comprehensive peace with it, and even the (Israeli side was not satisfied with the Israeli ambassador in India as a non-resident ambassador also for the small state of Bhutan, and Israel’s request  India’s mediation with its friendly Bhutan to accept political normalization with it).

    Hence, I think that perhaps my research and analytical approach to understanding the importance and danger of this event analytically in the previous way, may have prompted me to think differently about the matter, and then try to transfer it in this new form to the Arab region and Western intellectual and research centers – to adopt the idea and the possibility of studying it together given that it is a new idea to the academic analysis and community that has not been touched upon before – and this may be what may move me to another part of this analysis, to identify the geographical importance, borders and regional sensitivity of the neighboring and surrounding countries of Bhuta in a practical way, especially China, and its proximity to the “Indo-Pacific” region from the ocean side  India, which are the countries of interest in the “new AUKUS defense agreement led by the United States of America with Australia and Britain to counter China’s security and maritime influence in Asia”.

Third: An analysis of (the content of the Israeli Foreign Ministry’s statement to establish a peace agreement with the State of Bhutan) to balance relations between the Indian and Chinese sides in favor of Washington, and its impact on political normalization and Israeli peace agreements in the Arab Gulf States and the Middle East

     The most important thing that caught the attention of the Egyptian researcher about less than a year ago, specifically in December 2020, was what she read from a statement on the “Twitter website” of the Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs, in which it mentioned a text:

“Israel and the Kingdom of Bhutan have signed an agreement to establish full diplomatic relations between them, and this step represents an important development in the course of Israeli-Asian relations”

   Accordingly, the Egyptian researcher tried to trace this important historical event for the Hebrew state, and analyze the content of the statements of Israeli military intelligence men, state officials and Israeli politicians, as follows:

The celebration of the Israeli media, including the website of the “Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper”, emphasized that:

“The Israeli-Bhutanese agreement was signed in the Indian capital, New Delhi, in the presence of the Israeli ambassador to India (Ron Malka) and the Bhutanese ambassador to India (Stop Namgyel)”

The former Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu welcomed this, saying:

“I welcome the establishment of diplomatic relations between Israel and Bhutan, which is another fruit of the peace agreements”

Here, we find that “Netanyahu” intentionally added, in a statement issued by his office, regarding the new relationship with Bhutan, to a sentence that stopped the researcher analytically, namely:

“We are in contact with other countries that want to establish diplomatic relations with us”

Perhaps what stopped the Egyptian researcher in this context is that – the Israeli newspapers tried to approach in a very simplified and brief way – and by the way, it was ambiguous to me, research and academic, to explaining the importance of the state of Bhutan as a small Buddhist kingdom, and that it is located on an area of ​​40 square kilometers at the eastern edge of the Himalayas on (the border with India and the Tibet Autonomous Region in China), its population does not exceed 750,000 people.

Also, when I read analytically the Jerusalem Post’s comment on the new peace agreement between Israel and Bhutan came, the “Hebrew newspaper’s ambiguous statement to me), said that:

“The Israeli agreement with Bhutan has nothing to do with the normalization agreements that were reached during the last four months with American mediation between Israel and four Arab countries, namely: (UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, Morocco)”

The matter increased a research and analytical ambiguity for me, with the assertion of the “Israeli Jerusalem Post” newspaper on:

“The insignificance of the state of Bhutan, and its isolation, and that it pursues a policy of isolation from the world”

Perhaps my interpretation was that it was an Israeli intelligence attempt, which the researcher interpreted as “an Israeli attempt to divert attention away from the importance and danger of the state of Bhutan”, which is what the statement of the Israeli “Jerusalem newspaper” explicitly stated:

“There is no enmity between Bhutan and Israel, but the former pursues an isolationist policy with the countries of the world, in order to avoid external influences”

The important matter remains for the Egyptian researcher, which it has omitted and avoided mentioning all the Israeli statements that (Bhutan cut diplomatic relations with China because of Bhutan’s accusations of China infiltrating the Buddhist-majority province of Tibet near Bhutan).

As the assertion of all the Hebrew newspapers was dull, general and ambiguous to me analytically, with a quick reference, that the state (Bhutan) generally only establishes official diplomatic relations with (only 53 countries) around the world, and this does not include the United States, Britain, France and Russia.

Also, according to my in-depth reading about (the possibility of establishing future relations between China and Bhutan), it became clear to me that this is impossible, according to the strict Buddhist traditions of Bhutan, which (rejects any relations that it may have with China), especially with the “increased warning” of Buddhist monks to China, and their accusation of China explicitly that it violated the rights of Buddhists, so the final decision of Bhutan was to close its border with Beijing after accusing them of China’s invasion of Tibet in 1959, and Bhutan’s view that “the Chinese province of Tibet is an inseparable part of the Buddhist state of Bhutan”.

Based on the Egyptian researcher’s presentation of simple excerpts from all these Israeli statements and statements, she fully understood, as I indicated during the previous points, the extent to which “all Israeli statements deliberately indicate or avoid mentioning a lot about the small state of Bhutan, and its importance as an important regional balance area between China and India”.  Rather, all the statements of the Hebrew newspapers intended for an important matter that caught my attention analytically, which is all Israeli statements, including the official statement issued by the Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs itself and published deliberately on the famous “Twitter social networking site” to underestimate the importance of the state of Bhutan, and deliberately emphasize that it is a small country, additionally “it has deliberately concealed all the facts related to its relationship with China, and Bhutan’s close friendship with India, as an ally and closest partner to Israel and the United States of America in confronting China”.

Likewise, the Egyptian researcher noted with great interest the deliberate and omission of all these facts in Bhutan by Israeli statements (to not draw the attention of the world, especially the countries of the Middle East), despite my previous reading of statements related to prominent Israeli officials publicly published, in which they confirmed that “Israel deliberately establishes formal diplomatic relations and peace with countries that it deems of great importance to the interests of the Hebrew state”.

This confirms my previous analytical idea of ​​the danger, location and importance of Bhutan for Israel, and the reasons why “the Israeli side is not satisfied with the Israeli ambassador in India, as a non-resident representative of the State of Israel in Bhutan, who is present as a full ambassador performing his duties in India”.

I also analytically stopped, as a last matter, in a way that should not be neglected, about: “Israeli statements and newspapers deliberately refer to Israel’s explicit request for mediation by India to help it make a peace agreement with the state of Bhutan”, and the Israelis deliberately mentioned the reasons for this, despite “the presence of more impimportant and influential neighbors to India from Bhutan itself”.

   Finally, and based on my in-depth analysis of the content of Israeli speeches, statements and statements about the state of Bhutan, in my opinion and according to my understanding of the general scene according to Israel and its security and strategic relationship with India as an ally of Washington as well, that there is a link between what happened with regard to the location and importance of the state of Bhutan for China, as well as the great importance of Bhutan  , given that it has not had any relations with China for many years.  These are all matters (which were omitted by all the previously mentioned Israeli statements and statements), in a deliberate attempt that the Egyptian researcher read, according to her understanding, that (the state of Bhutan, perhaps is the main winning card for Israel in Asia, given that it is any Bhutan country also is the only country that has a relationship with a state the only one in the Middle East, which is Israel, for the time being).

Fourth: An analysis of the geographical, regional maps and border areas surrounding the state of Bhutan in practice, and an analysis of the danger of its location for Israel to play a role on (the borders facing Afghanistan) to monitor the movements of the Taliban movement, and in (the dividing line between India and China) to reveal the most important movements of China on its borders in China’s Tibet Province for the United States of America

   Perhaps the Egyptian researcher has been preoccupied for a very long time, following the signing of the “peace agreement or political normalization between Israel and the State of Bhutan” in December 2020, with a thorough and objective reading of the danger and importance of the very small “Bhutan” state through “reading and analyzing the maps and the surrounding geographical and regional area, and the most important human and natural resources in Bhutan”, the researcher was very surprised given the remoteness of the entire Arab and Islamic world and its lack of awareness of the danger of this very small country, whose population does not exceed only 750,000 people, but its borders on that (the line directly between India and China and the presence of heights in it to reveal both  From China and Afghanistan together), perhaps the most plausible reason for the Egyptian researcher, especially when (I brought political, geographical and natural maps to study the nature and analysis of the importance of the state of Bhutan, and gradually began a long time ago to study its importance and danger).

                                                                                                         By studying the maps of the Bhutanese state, the Egyptian researcher realized that it was definitely not a coincidence, but rather to establish certain political and institutional arrangements, and most importantly security, which she deeply analyzed that “Israel’s request for mediation by India to help it make an agreement for political, strategic and economic rapprochement with the state of Bhutan was not a normal request with linking the official Israeli-Bhutanese peace statement to the term “political normalization” in the Israeli Foreign Ministry’s statement on the same pattern as the recent normalization or peace agreements with the Arab and Gulf sides, especially the UAE).

    What caught my eye, as I analytically mentioned, and intellectually and researchly occupied me, is the adoption of the “UAE” as the first country in the whole region to set an indicator to measure and increase the awareness, proportions and equipment of well-being and happiness of the Emirati people (as is the case in the state of Bhutan), by designating the (Emirates Minister of Happiness) for the first time in its history and the whole region, and then Israel signed in December 2020 a statement of “political normalization” with Bhutan, mediated by India and an official Israeli request, despite its very small size and small population, as well as its different lifestyle, depending heavily on (indicators and measurements of Happiness and raising the level and awareness of happiness among the Bhutanese people, and primarily caring for the human being, his well-being, his rights, nature, water and the environment), and other such natural and environmental elements.

   Therefore, the Egyptian researcher realized the importance and danger of the “State of Bhutan”, for Israel, and perhaps for its ally Washington, and of course, the state of “India”, an ally of Israel, in facilitating the process of political normalization with the Bhutanese side, due to the friendship between them, given the location of “Bhutan” on the highest mountainous region in the world, and it can  both (China and Afghanistan) were revealed through its chain of heights very easily, and from here we can (by reading and analyzing Bhutanese maps, realize how dangerous the location of that very small country is in monitoring the movements of the Taliban in Afghanistan, and revealing the highest regions of China with ease), according to my reading to the indications of the sensitive areas surrounding the state of “Bhutan” by referring to the geographical and regional maps and the surrounding border area, as follows:

The state of “Bhutan” is the highest country in height above sea level, where the average height of the land in “Bhutan” is more than three kilometers above sea level, making it (the highest in the world), followed by the country of “Nepal“, in which the summit is located Mount Everest.

The sensitive location of Bhutan, as it is bordered by China from two directions for (north and east), and India is bordered by (south and west).

Here, we find that the highlands of the state of “Bhutan” can detect China very easily, given that the heights of “Bhutan” directly face the heights of the “Tibet Plateau as the highest region in China”, with an altitude of more than 1500 meters above sea level, and the summit of Everest is located on  its heights, knowing that the reason for the dispute between the “state of Bhutan and China” and the reason for the severing of relations between them since 1959 is the dispute over “the borders of the Chinese territory of Tibet and its intertwining with the state of Bhutan”, as well as, of course, the most important thing, which is “the ethnic and national intersection of the Buddhist minority in Chinese Tibet”, and the Buddhist majority in Bhutan,” which caused a sharp dispute between the Chinese and Bhutan sides.

We note here the occurrence of the state of “Bhutan” in the face of the heights and mountains surrounding Afghanistan, which constitute about 75% of the area of ​​Afghanistan, and the average height of the lands in Afghanistan is about 49% of the country, in addition to the high level of Afghanistan in the face of the heights of “Bhutan” with a height of up to  to about 2026 meters above sea level.

Here, we find that (the Hindu Kush highlands are the highest mountainous group in Afghanistan) and is an extension of the Himalayas, directly facing the small state of “Bhutan”, knowing that the “state of Bhutan” is sometimes called in some ancient sources and references that the researcher referred to as “the kingdom of the isolated Himalayas”, which is thus in the same extensions and borders of the sensitive geographical areas surrounding Afghanistan.

It is very close to “Afghanistan and the state of Bhutan, which is sometimes called the small kingdom in South Asia”, with an area estimated at 46,500 square kilometers directly between (China and India), and its location on (directly the southern slopes of the Himalayas) made it higher level of the mountains range region in the whole world, and the most dangerous for me analytically, research and academically is “the seriousness of Bhutan’s position in the US-Chinese conflict and polarization in the Indo-Pacific region”, given (the location of the state of Bhutan is only hundreds of miles from the shore of the Indian Ocean).

 Perhaps what caught my attention in research is what I have seen on Indian websites, with the announcement by the (Indian Army) in the month of April 2020, about (the Indian army has sent separate military medical teams to deploy in the countries of India’s regional neighbors), which are mainly (Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Afghanistan) countries, with the aim of helping these countries enhance their capabilities to deal with the increasing cases of the Corona virus.  And the danger of this matter for me, analytically, is (India deliberately deploying teams from the medical army, not the civilian, and pushing them into the heart of the two states of Bhutan and Afghanistan together), which refers to (an Indian move to Afghanistan through Bhutan).

    Through the previous detailed analysis, of the importance of the state of “Bhutan” directly on the border between India and China, as well as its location in the highest region of a chain of heights in the whole world (it confirms indirect confrontation with the state of Afghanistan across its neighboring regional and geographical borders), we will immediately realize the importance of choosing the State of Bhutan “as an ideal country for the agreement of (political normalization between Israel and Bhutan and linking it to the Emirates and the Minister of Happiness on both the Bhutan and Emirati sides).  Its head (China, India, Afghanistan, the Indian Ocean region).

Fifth: Analyzing the dangerous relationship between Israel’s signing of the peace agreement and political normalization with the small Buddhist state of “Bhutan” directly adjacent to the Chinese territory of Tibet in December 2020, and (Washington’s appointment only two months prior to the US special coordinator for human rights in the Chinese Buddhist region of Tibet in October 2020)

      What most stopped the Egyptian researcher was the (link between the appointment of the United States of America to an American official on the human rights file in the Chinese Buddhist region of Tibet in October 2020, and Israel’s signing, just two months later, of the peace agreement and politicalization with Bhutan, normal China in December 2020), which is the Chinese territory directly adjacent to the state of “Bhutan”.

      It came as a surprise when the United States of America appointed “Robert Destroc”, the American official, as responsible for (the human rights file in the Chinese Buddhist region of Tibet), in October 2020, who previously held the position of (US Assistant Secretary  of State for Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor) during the era of former President Trump’s administration, and the United States of America announced that “Robert Destro” would take the additional position that had been vacant since the beginning of the presidency of former President “Trump” in 2017. Hence, the Egyptian researcher began to analyze this American step and its relationship to the agreement of political normalization and peace between Israel and the State of Bhutan, as follows:

The researcher personally considered that the step of appointing the United States of America to a prominent official for (the human rights file in the Chinese region of Tibet, which is directly adjacent to Bhutan) is a deliberate American provocation to China, and one of the latest stages and levels of escalation and tension between the Chinese and American sides, a move that has of course provoked anger  And criticism of China and its Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

However, the Egyptian researcher stopped at Washington’s move to appoint a senior human rights official as the US special coordinator for issues related to (Human Rights in Tibet in October 2020), but what made me look at the matter from a different analytical angle is “Israel’s speeding up after that American step directly with less than less than two months to sign the peace and normalization agreement with “Bhutan”. It seemed to me research and analysis, as if it were:

  “Deliberate security, political, and intelligence agreement and coordination between Israel and the United States of America regarding their joint cooperation in the Chinese regions of Tibet and the Buddhist state of Bhutan directly adjacent to Tibet”

This was accompanied by what the former US Secretary of State (Mike Pompeo) announced during the administration of former President “Trump”, that “Robert Destro”, who was holding the position of (US Assistant Secretary of State for Democracy, Human Rights and Labor), during the era of the former president’s administration Trump will take the additional position, which has been vacant since the beginning of the Trump presidency, in 2017. With “Pompeo” confirming in a statement that “Destro” will work to achieve:

“Leading U.S. efforts to promote dialogue between China and the Dalai Lama or his Buddhist representatives, protect the unique Buddhist religious, cultural, and linguistic identity of Tibetans, and press for respect for their human rights”

We find that (China has refused, until this moment to deal continuously with that American coordinator for Tibet affairs), considering Washington’s behavior as a blatant interference in its internal affairs.

China was not satisfied with this, but at the same time lodged a protest with the United States, following a meeting held between the Special Coordinator for Tibet Issues (Robert Destro) and the leader of the Tibetan government-in-exile “Lobsang Sangai”. Beijing called on Washington to refrain from supporting the anti-separatists for China.  Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman “Zhao Lijian” said, in an explicit threat and response to Washington, stressing that:

   “The affairs of Tibet are limited to China’s internal affairs, interference from outside is unacceptable, and the appointment of the so-called Special Coordinator for Tibet in the United States constitutes a political move to interfere in the internal affairs of the People’s Republic of China and undermine the development and stability of Tibet”

The official spokesperson for the Chinese Foreign Ministry “Zhao Lijian” also indicated that:

  “China firmly opposes and never recognizes this, and we have made solemn representations to the United States”

Here, “Zhao Lijian”, as the official spokesperson for the Chinese Foreign Ministry, made a very clear criticism of the American administration, in which he verbatim said:

   “The so-called Tibetan government-in-exile is a political separatist organization that pursues unrealistic dreams of Tibetan independence, and this organization violates China’s constitution and legislation, and has not been recognized by any country in the world”

Also, China issued another statement through its Ministry of Foreign Affairs, in which it toughened its tone against Washington, in which it said in text:

    “We also oppose any contact with the so-called leader of the Tibetan government-in-exile “Lopsang Sangai” by officials of other countries, as Destro, after meeting with this man, violated the obligations and strategic position of the American side that the United States neither supported the independence of Tibet nor recognizes the “Tibetan government-in-exile”, hence we call on the United States to stop interfering in China’s internal affairs, undermining the development and stability of Tibet, and refrain from providing any support to separatist forces”

All official Chinese statements came through the official government newspapers and media, stressing that “China will take all necessary measures to preserve its own interests”.

And mainly because of these American provocations, relations between the United States and China have fallen to their lowest level in decades, due to a group of issues primarily related to “the blatant American interference in China’s affairs”.

     Based on my previous connection and analysis of the (relationship between Israel and the United States of America in Bhutan and the Chinese Buddhist region of Tibet), my academic research and analysis of those successive events between America and Israel came in a completely different way, that:

  It seems as if the matter came out of the context of being just a blatant American interference in China’s affairs, especially with my complete focus on the history of the American provocation to China in the Tibetan region, despite the existence of that Tibetan problem or crisis with China for decades, but “Washington suddenly remembered to appoint its own envoy to manage the human rights file in the Tibet region, and then Israel signed a peace agreement two months later with the Buddhist state of Bhutan, which is directly adjacent to Tibet”, which has completely severed its relations with China since 1959, suggests that there is something secret and mysterious behind the scenes that is not understood between the American and Israeli sides.

Associate Professor of Political Science, Faculty of Politics and Economics / Beni Suef University- Egypt. An Expert in Chinese Politics, Sino-Israeli relationships, and Asian affairs- Visiting Senior Researcher at the Centre for Middle Eastern Studies (CMES)/ Lund University, Sweden- Director of the South and East Asia Studies Unit

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ISIS-K, Talc, Lithium and the narrative of ongoing jihadi terrorism in Afghanistan

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Terrorism

Chinese and Russian efforts are underway to strengthen the Taliban government economically and militarily, along with legitimacy and international recognition. In return, Pakistan is trying to disrupt the Taliban government’s relations with Iran and Tajikistan, as well as with China and Russia. Subsequent to the fall of the previous republican government, following Russia and China, Iran is a major supporter of the Taliban.

Iran plays a significant role in a new intelligence surge launched by major regional players in Afghanistan, which includes ISIS-K campaign against the Taliban government in country. Although Taliban have been able to crush, ISIS-K in several provinces of Afghanistan, but the group was able to mobilize a bunch of other terrorist organizations such as Turkistan Islamic Party, Khetabat Iman Ul Bekhari, Khetabat ultauhied Waljihad, Islamic Jihad Union, Jamaat Ansarullah and East Turkistan Islamic Movement, and The Army of Justice. According to sources on the ground, the group has also established contacts with the resistance front led by Ahmad Massoud to fight Taliban.

Seemingly, the group joined forces with the Resistance Front in northern part of the country to downfall the Taliban particularly in northern Afghanistan.  In addition to defeating the Taliban in the central and southern provinces of Afghanistan, the group has started a sectarian war between the Sunnis and Shiites, which has partly soured relations between the Afghan Taliban and Iran. The group had the support of Pakistan as well as other regional countries and beyond.  Furthermore, Lashkar-e-Taiba fighters entered Afghanistan with the help of the Pakistani army, joining the fight between Sunni and Shia in Afghanistan.  Efforts are underway to start a civil war in the country.  According to the information, ISIS militants have been mostly funded and financed by the Saudi government, as well as other Salafi Gulf States to minimize and even eradicate Shiites in the region.

In accordance with some sources, additional costs are being borne by the United States and Great Britain.  Beside all such financial support, Islamic State (ISIS-K) militants also obtain some funding and thrive through mining and establishing business firms throughout the region.

Let us say, Islamic State militants relatively control the oil reserves in Iraq and they illegally extract it, meantime they have hands on talc and other precious stones in Afghanistan to cover their propaganda campaign expenses. ISIS-K uses the same tactics applied by Taliban during the US occupation; Taliban began illegal mining in Afghanistan to finance their activities in order to wage the war against the US aggression.   During the Taliban’s resistance, Taliban fighters had also a strong financial support from Pakistan, and the Pakistani government accordingly received that financial sustenance from other countries namely western and the Arab world.  However, the Taliban forcibly mined Afghanistan’s lapis lazuli and smuggled it to Pakistan. Under the auspices of the Pakistani government, the gems were shipped to the United States and the European countries.  In return, the Taliban were paid in cash.  Likewise, the Taliban, ISIS chose the same path, and made the most of money via mining in Afghanistan.

Subsequently, the ISIS group has chosen Nangarhar province as its stronghold in Afghanistan, since it has mineral deposits of talc, chromite, marble and other precious and rare earth minerals in addition, the group is also trying to control smuggling routes, to launch cross border terrorism.

 Consequently, ISIS-K endeavors to bring Ghazni province under its control, since a huge Lithium, mine exists in the province. The group is well aware of its preciousness in the world market because the element is mainly used by automotive industries to produce batteries for electric cars.

The anti-corruption network of the former Afghan government reported that the Taliban and the Islamic State together received about 46 million in 2016 thru illegal mining from a single district of Nangarhar province. That is why ISIS has spent millions of dollars in Afghanistan because of holding its campaign and propaganda, allegedly, most of which came from mining.

Furthermore, district governors have been appointed by ISIS for Afghanistan’s 387 major districts, with a monthly salary of up to 80,000 Afghanis.  This is a huge financial burden for the Islamic State, but the Islamic State group’s representatives say that they stick to their words, so that everyone will be paid on time. The ISIS group needs a large amount of financial support to achieve its major goals, but the group is not overstrained financially, because it receives a chockfull financial support.

Conversely, Iran is trying to increase the number of Shiite orientated proxies in the world and especially in Afghanistan to eliminate ISIS-K in return; the Saudi and other Gulf Sates want to prevent it. Therefore, they use ISIS and other associates of the group to counter Iran’s ambitious trans-national agenda; ISIS-K takes advantage of having been provided with huge financial support by anti-Iran camp.

Iran has repeatedly tried to spread Shia religion around the world, most notably at Mustafa International School in Bamko, the capital of Mali in Africa.  There have been several attempts by the Iranian government to convert the students to Shi’ism, an issue that has become the topic of international debate supported by Saudi Arabia.  Finally, all of these events are currently having a direct and indirect impact on Afghanistan and the country’s ongoing security crisis, which will affect the entire region at the end.

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The means to manage cyberspace and the duty of security

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Over and above the ethical concepts regarding the near future, it is also good to focus on the present. Governments are required to protect their national resources and infrastructure against foreign and domestic threats, to safeguard the stability and centrality of human beings and political systems and to ensure modern services for civilians. Suffice it to recall the chaos that arose some time ago in the Lazio region for the well-known health issues.

Governments must play a key role in developing and leading the local ecosystems, but this national effort must involve many other stakeholders: local businesses, entrepreneurs, multinational companies, local and foreign investors, State agencies, Ministries and academics, people in education, professional institutions and the public at large.

Furthermore, cybersecurity is a national opportunity for developing the local economy and for positioning any country in the international arena as a safe place to establish and develop economic relations between States and companies. It is also important as a regional cyber hub.

Cyber strategy therefore consists in prioritising operational cyber activities with a view to optimising and monitoring the overdevelopment of cyber intelligence that could one day take such turns as to be ungovernable.

This is the reason why investment in technology, local capacity building and resource allocation and concentration are required. This means providing strategic advisory services to government agencies that are seeking to advance cyber security at a strategic and operational level.

It is therefore necessary to work with governments to develop their strategic and operational capabilities in cybersecurity, either at the national or sectoral level, as well as providing comprehensive cyber projects that combine cyber defence and the development of a local cyber ecosystem, based on the models tried and tested by various countries around the world, such as the People’s Republic of China, Israel, the United States of America, etc.

There is a need to specialise in setting up Cyber Units and Cyber Centres (SOC & Fusion Centres) and in developing Cyber Eco-Systems and Cyber Strategies. This means providing various cyber solutions, services and know-how to companies in various sectors, such as financial, industrial, energy, health, technology and many other sectors.

Stable OT (operational technology) security services and strategic advice to companies in the fields of energy, manufacturing, security, medicine, transport, critical infrastructure and many others create the prerequisites for defending cyberspace. As well as helping OT-based organisations integrate cybersecurity into their processes and products. Design, develop and deliver advanced technologies and solutions to protect critical assets in OT environments, such as ICS, SCADA, IIoT, PLC, etc.

In this regard there is a basic need for creating professional IT schools around the world that teach the meaning of cyberspace, and not just how to use Word and other simple Office programs.

The expansion and creation of universities and institutes of cyber knowledge is a starting point from which partnerships are launched with organisations seeking to create their own cyber schools or with academic or educational organisations offering cyber training to their students.

Providing comprehensive solutions for IT schools, enables the training of IT professionals and new recruits in all IT roles, so that hackers do not remain the sole repository of digital truth. Advanced training is a solid starting point for organisations seeking to train their IT professionals. Professionals who can manage and master schemes such as Cyber Defender, Cyber Warrior, Cyber Manager, SOC Analyst, Digital Forensics, Basic Training and many others, including through the use of simulation.

Leading the creation and development of the high-level cybersecurity ecosystem is a duty of States towards the citizens who elect their leaders. The same holds true for seeking and employing highly experienced experts in the various security subject matters, including strategic cyber defence, cyber warfare, cyber intelligence, cyber research and development and cyber strategy, as well as defining training policies for these branches of operation.

Having examined the prerequisites for protecting cyberspace, it is worth addressing the structure of some of the risks faced by institutional network systems.

One of the most typical operations made by hackers relates to the use of client/server technology to combine several computers as a platform to launch DDoS (Distributed Denial of Service) attacks against one or more targets, thus exponentially increasing damage.

A malicious user normally uses a stolen account to install the DDoS master programme on a computer. The master programme will communicate with a large number of agents at any given time and the agent programmes have been installed on many computers in the network. The agent launches an attack when it receives an instruction. Using client/server technology, the master control programme can activate hundreds of agent programmes in a matter of seconds.

A DDoS uses a group of controlled machines to launch an attack on a computer, be it server or client. It is so fast and hard to prevent that is therefore more destructive. If we consider that in the past network administrators could adopt the method of filtering IP addresses against DDoS, it becomes more difficult to prevent such actions today. How can measures be taken to respond effectively?

If the user is under attack, defence will be very limited. If there is a catastrophic attack with a large amount of traffic pouring onto the unprepared user, it will very likely that the network will be paralysed before the user can recover. Users, however, can still take the opportunity to seek defence.

Hackers usually launch attacks through many fake IP addresses. At that juncture, if users can distinguish which IPs are real and which are fake – and hence understand from which network segments these IPs come – they can ask the network administrator to change them. Firstly, the PCs should be turned off to try to eliminate the attack. If it is found that these IP addresses are coming from outside rather than from the company’s internal IP, a temporary investigation method can be used to filter these IP addresses on the server or router.

The solution would be to discover the route through which the attackers pass and block them. If hackers launch attacks from certain ports, users can block these ports to prevent intrusion. After the exit port is closed, all computers cannot access the Internet.

A more complex method consists in filtering the Internet Control Message Protocol (ICMP), a service protocol for packet networks transmitting information regarding malfunctioning, monitoring and control information or messages between the various components of a computer network. Although it cannot completely eliminate the intrusion during the attack, filtering the ICMP can effectively prevent the escalation of the aggression and can also reduce the level of constant damage to a certain extent.

The DDoS attack is the most common attack method used by hackers. Some conventional methods of dealing with it are listed below.

1. Filter all RFC1918 IP addresses. The RFC1918 IP address is the address of the internal network, such as 10.0.0.0, 192.168.0.0, 172.16.0.0, etc. These are not fixed IP addresses of a particular network segment, but confidential local IP addresses within the Internet, which should be filtered out. This method serves to filter out a large number of fake internal IPs during an attack, and can also mitigate DDoS attacks.

2. Use many PCs to resist hacker attacks. This is an ideal response phase, if the user has sufficient ability and resources to enable a defence against hackers who attack and continue to access and take over resources. Before the user is fatally attacked, the hacker has little means to control many PCs. This method requires considerable investment and most of the equipment is usually idle, which does not correspond to the actual functioning of the current network of small and medium-sized enterprises.

3. Make full use of network equipment to protect resources. The so-called network equipment refers to load balancing hardware and software such as routers and firewalls, which can effectively protect the network. When the network is attacked, the router is the first to fail, but the other devices have not yet collapsed. The failed router will return to normalcy after being restarted and will restart quickly without any loss. If other servers collapse, their data will be lost and restarting them is a lengthy process. In particular, a company uses load balancing equipment so that when a router is attacked and crashes, the other will work immediately. This minimizes DDoS attacks.  

4. Configure the firewall. The firewall itself can resist DDoS and other attacks. When an attack is discovered, it may be directed to certain sacrificial hosts, which are able to protect the actual host from the attack. The sacrificial hosts may obviously choose to redirect to unimportant hosts or to those having systems with fewer vulnerabilities than some operating systems and with excellent protection against attacks.

5. Filter unnecessary services and ports. Many tools can be used to filter out unnecessary services and ports, i.e. filter out fake IPs on the router. For example, Cisco’s CEF (Cisco Express Forwarding) can compare and filter out Source IP and Routing Table packets. Opening only service ports has become a common practice for many servers. For example, WWW servers open only 80 ports and close all the others or use a blocking strategy on the firewall.

6. Limit SYN/ICMP traffic. The user must configure the maximum SYN/ICMP traffic on the router to limit the maximum bandwidth that SYN/ICMP packets can occupy. Therefore, when there is a large amount of SYN/ICMP traffic exceeding the limit, this means it is not normal network access, but hacking. In the beginning, limiting SYN/ICMP traffic was the best way to prevent DDoS. Although the effect of this method on DDoS is currently not widely used, it can still play a certain role.

7. Scan regularly. Existing network master nodes should be scanned regularly, checked for security vulnerabilities and new vulnerabilities cleaned up promptly. Computers on backbone nodes are the best locations for hackers to use because they have higher bandwidth. It is therefore very important to strengthen the security of these hosts. Furthermore, all computers connected to the major nodes of the network are server-level computers. Hence regular scanning for vulnerabilities becomes even more important.

8. Check the source of the visitor. Use suitable software to check whether the visitor’s IP address is true. This should be done by reverse-searching the router: if it is fake, it will be blocked. As said above, many hacker attacks often use fake IP addresses to confuse users and it is hard to find out from where they come. Therefore, for example, the use of Unicast Reverse Path Forwarding can reduce the occurrence of fake IP addresses and help improve network security.

As seen above, we need experts who know more than hackers, and this is the duty that States and governments have towards their institutions, but primarily towards their citizens.

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The visit of the head of Israeli Mossad intelligence to Bahrain

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The visit of the UAE Foreign Minister, Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed to Damascus on Tuesday, November 9, 2021 and the meeting with Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad, sparked a great controversy that began from the moment it was announced, which was highlighted by Western analyzes mainly from outside the region, that it comes for a (comprehensive Arab reassessment of the reality of the relationship with Syria and its importance in combating terrorism in the region, and the importance of the current Syrian reality in the calculations of Arab and Gulf national security, primarily towards Iran, and breaking the American “Caesar Law” towards imposing an economic blockade on Syria), and various analyzes and speculations about the future of these have increased. The Emirati step, its implications and dimensions in the Arab and Gulf relations towards the Syrian regime, and whether it represents one of the indicators of the transition to another new phase of political action towards opening up to Damascus, and the return of Syria to its regional and international role. Especially with the clarification of the “Emirati-Syrian coordination” some time before that visit to arrange the rapprochement between the two sides, which became clear by the announcement of the contact between the Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi (Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed and President Bashar Al-Assad), as well as an official invitation to Syria to participate in the “International Expo Exhibition In Dubai” and then my meeting with the Syrian and Emirates oil ministers in Moscow.

    But what stopped me in that Emirates visit, was perhaps other events that were not addressed during those analyzes, which caught my attention analytically and academically, and the most different of them was (I was alerted by a foreign researcher during my commentary on the same analysis, that the Emirates move is mainly in the interest of Tehran the Iranian regime, not to stifle and besiege Iran in its areas of influence and its known role in Syria).  Despite the strangeness of this analysis, I occupied my mind with another matter to respond to it, regarding: (the significance of the visit of the head of the Israeli Mossad to Bahrain, and the visit of Emirates officials to Tel Aviv, and what is even clearer to the public is the organization of joint naval exercises in the Red Sea with the joint Israeli naval forces with Bahrain and the UAE), at the same time as the aforementioned visit.

    Accordingly, my analysis mainly focuses on whether that visit took place through (arranging and coordinating with Tel Aviv to curb Iran in Syria and the region, by attracting Syria to the Arab League and collective Arab action again), and the Gulf rejectionist and Arab reservations towards the step of rapprochement.  The Syrian-Iranian, or did I aim for a clearer Gulf rapprochement with Iran through rapprochement with Syria, as I went to a number of mainly Western analyzes, which I received.  From here, the Egyptian researcher will analyze all the following elements:

Analyzing the implications of the visit of the UAE Foreign Minister (Bin Zayed) to Syria on November 9, 2021.

And its relationship to the “joint naval maneuvers” between (Israel, the UAE and Bahrain) in the Red Sea on November 10, 2021 on the Iranian existence at Syria

The visit of (the head of the Israeli Mossad intelligence service to Bahrain) at the time of the naval joint maneuvers with Israel in the Red Sea, with (the visit of the UAE Air Force commander to Israel).

Then, finally, analyzing the impacts of the Israeli Mossad intelligence moves in the Red Sea on its rapprochement with the USA in the face of (China, Russia and Iran).

   To answer those questions, it is necessary to verify and respond to number of inquires and some other different analyses, such as:

The UAE’s motives for taking such a step of rapprochement with Syria, through the visit of the UAE Foreign Minister “Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed” to Damascus on Tuesday, November 9, 2021, and the meeting with Syrian President “Bashar Al-Assad”.

Rather, will this Emirates step (encourage the rest of the Arab countries to follow the Emirates footsteps)  and open up to the Syrian regime?

What is the fate of the “Syrian opposition to the Emirati-Syrian rapprochement”, and is this Emirates move aimed at weakening the Syrian opposition track, especially the Syrians opposing the regime of President “Bashar Al-Assad” abroad?

Then, it will remain to analyze (the Syrian opposition’s options if more Arab countries open up to the Al-Assad’s regime).

Will there be a (Syrian-Emirati consensus) towards the step of solving the (return of Syrian refugees from abroad and the settlement of their situation with the current Syrian regime)?

Finally, the question arises, regarding: (the impact of the intensity of American and international criticism of the UAE’s step of rapprochement with the Syrian regime and President “Bashar Al-Assad” on the completion of the remaining Arab steps seeking to integrate and return Syria once more to its membership in the League of Arab States)?

In fact, the most dangerous and important analysis for me remains completely analytical, namely: (What was raised about the fact that the UAE obtained the green light from the United States of America itself and from the Israeli side before the visit of the UAE Foreign Minister “Bin Zayed” to the Emirates, in pursuit of forming (Gulf-UAE-Israeli alliance against Iran), and seeking to neutralize the Syrian regime in the face of these Iranian moves as a closely related ally of the Iranians?) Accordingly, we can analyze that, as follows:

Perhaps what reinforces and supports my recent view regarding the “Israeli Gulf mobilization with the help of the UAE and Washington’s support to confront Iran through Syria” is (the joint security coordination between Israel and the Emirati and Bahraini naval forces to conduct joint naval maneuvers in the Red Sea, which lasted for five full days), which began on Wednesday, November 10, 2021, which comes at the same time as the UAE rapprochement with Syria, meaning:

 (There are joint security arrangements between Israel, the UAE and Bahrain in the face of Iran through the move of rapprochement with Syria as an ally of Iran)

As I mentioned, the joint naval maneuvers between Israel and the UAE at the same time as the UAE visit confirms (the continuation of joint security coordination between Israel and the UAE), especially to curb and limit Iranian influence.  Knowing that the step of joint security coordination between the Emirates and Israel began three years ago, when the naval forces of the Gulf states, mainly the “UAE and Bahrain”, began conducting joint naval maneuvers with the Israeli side, which were the first for them ever with their Israeli counterpart, in cooperation with the forces of the United States of America’s Navy.

We find that the current joint naval maneuvers in the Red Sea with the participation of the UAE and Israel, with the participation of (warships from the Emirates, Bahrain and Israel), in addition to the United States of America, is a “joint Israeli-Gulf assertion” to send a message to the Iranian side, that these naval maneuvers with  Israel, aims to:

 “Securing the maritime traffic in the face of Iran, and seeking to secure the movement of the straits and maritime navigation in the Red Sea with the help of Israeli security, especially that these joint maritime training operations included training on encirclement and raid tactics”

This was confirmed by the US Naval Forces Central Command, in an official statement, to confirm that:

“The Israeli, Emirates, and Bahraini training aims to enhance the ability to work collectively among the forces participating in the maneuvers”

From here, we understand that the step of joint Israeli-Emirati security coordination, and the consequent step of the joint naval maneuvers, came after the signing of the “Abraham Accords” in September 2020, and the normalization of their relations with Israel by the UAE and Bahrain. Since then, it has strengthened the (diplomatic, military, and intelligence relations between Israel, the UAE and Bahrain, as the two most important Gulf countries that share Tel Aviv’s concerns about Iran’s activities in the Red Sea and the region).

The most prominent here, is (the visit of the head of the Israeli intelligence service Mossad in a public visit to Bahrain at the time of the joint naval maneuvers with Israel in the Red Sea, with the commander of the UAE Air Force heading at the same time also on a first-of-its-kind visit to Israel in October  2021).

In general, the (re-opening of the Emirati and Bahraini embassies in Damascus) in December 2018, was considered at that time as (a major change in the Gulf policy towards Syria, and it was among the first indications of a more comprehensive normalization). There is no doubt that these steps came after consulting Saudi Arabia.  However, it seems that Saudi Arabia, as usual, is taking a cautious and secretive attitude towards the move of rapprochement with Syria due to its fear of the “Al-Assad regime’s relations with Tehran”.

At the time, the UAE and Bahrain talked about (the geopolitical benefits of rehabilitating the regime of President Bashar Al-Assad). The State of Bahrain confirmed that “the step of integrating Bashar Al-Assad aims to strengthen the Arab role and prevent regional interference in Syrian affairs”.

The most important analytical question for me is whether Abu Dhabi has completely severed its relations with Damascus at all, given (the continued presence of prominent Syrian figures loyal to Damascus living and working in the Emirates).

In general, this (continuous stream of signals emanating from Damascus and other Arab capitals, led by the Emirates for rapprochement with Syria), indicates that the former opponents of the Syrian government have come close to reaching mutually beneficial arrangements with the Syrian government, some of which pledged a few years ago to drop it.

The most important gains for the Syrian regime from that rapprochement with the UAE and the rest of the Arab countries will be (reconstruction contracts for Syria and energy deals), in addition to the markets that will be opened to it if they reconcile with the Arab countries, which may later pave the way for “inclusion of Damascus again and  returning its membership in the League of Arab States”, which is of course the most important strategic step for the UAE and the Gulf states, to help Syria to return back to the “Arab House”, and consequently put pressure on it not to rapprochement with Iran, as it is a rival opponent for the UAE and the Gulf states.

    In this context, the Syrian capital, Damascus is now hoping for (influential Arab voices to exert international pressure in order to lift the severe sanctions imposed on the Syrian regime), which aims to (punish Syrian officials and Syrian organizations for their alleged involvement in human rights violations).

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