Economy
CPEC Phase II: Potential of Rashakai Special Economic Zone in Creating Business Opportunities
China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a flagship project of Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) launched by Chinese President Xi Jinping in his visit to Pakistan in 2015. In beginning, it was $46 billion project but now its worth has been increased to $62 billion. The project provided Pakistan a breathing space in 2015 as it was inflicted with multiple challenges like terrorism, internal destabilization, energy crisis and infrastructure lacking. The issues were stumbling block in its triumph, so, Pakistan took Chinese help to resolve all those through CPEC in different phases. In the initial phase, capacity building of Pakistan was pivotal aspiration of China under CPEC through infrastructure and energy projects. After thriving completion of the first phase, CPEC has now entered into its second phase where industrialization, agriculture, science, improving livelihood of people and technology transfer to Pakistan are the key goals.
In this phase, China takes along collection of imaginative new windows of opportunities in every province of Pakistan especially in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KPK) which remained behindhand in the past due to number of reasons. As the main focus of the CPEC phase two is socio-economic development, trade promotion, employment and economic growth, so, the cause can only be fully served through special economic zones (SEZs). Pakistan has established SEZs to follow successful experience of China as these brought sharp increases in its GDP which helps eradicating poverty. According to International Labor Organization (ILO), tremendous increase in SEZs is observed in world since last few years. According to ILO, in 1986, there were 176 SEZs in 47 countries which rose to 3500 in 130 countries in 2006. According to World Investment Report of 2019, there were 5400 SEZs in 147 countries.
Pakistan adopted the same model, therefore, in 2016; Pakistan and China in sixth Joint Cooperation Committee (JCC) decided to establish SEZs in Pakistan. Initially over hundred SEZs were planned which later reduced to 46 but now Pakistani authorities especially Ministry of Planning Division and Board of Investment proposed the construction of nine SEZs including Rashakai Special Economic Zone (RSEZ) in different parts of Pakistan.
RSEZ in KPK is top precedence and is a flagship project of Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa Economic Zones Development & Management Company (KPEZDMC) which will implement it with collaboration of the China Road and Bridge Corporation (CRBC). The zone is spread over almost 1,000 acres and located near M-1 Nowshera. It will have international standards infrastructure and will be developed in three phases with almost $128 million. The ground breaking of the zone is planned in near future.
On 8 December, 2020, CPEC authority chairman Lt. Gen (r) Asim Saleem Bajwa said that earth breaking ceremony of RSEZ would be held soon under CPEC. He claimed that after completion, RSEZ will transform transportation services of the province along with business and trade.
Chief Minister KPK Mahmood Khan in his address to a forum said that ground breaking in RSEZ is temporarily deferred due to COVID-19 and matters will be addressed soon. After being operational, it will become hub of economic activity for the province. According to him, RSEZ will produce 200,000 jobs in engineering industries and food processing along with boosting business activities in the province.
Prime Minister of Pakistan Imran Khan said in his speech that KPK was underdeveloped and it had to look towards Karachi and the Middle East for jobs due to lack of opportunities but RSEZ is bringing a lot of industrialization in the province which will solve the issue. The RSEZ will become a life line of the province and people will be able to find employment without having to leave their homes in pursuit of livelihood.
Atif R.Bokhari, Chairman of Board of Investment said, in the second phase of CPEC, role of government has changed and our main goal is to provide conducive and comfortable environment to business community, private sector and industrialists of the province to invest. It remained a dream in the past due to repercussions of Soviet War and Global War on Terror in Afghanistan. In context of improved security situation after different operations by security agencies in Pakistan, investment of business community and entrepreneurship will diminish poverty and will raise the livelihood of the locals. China practiced the same model to eradicate poverty and world admires their efforts.
Courtesy to law and order situation of the province, investors from Pakistan and China are rushing to buy commercial plots in RSEZ. According to available data, more than 1,700 applications have been submitted for commercial plots in RSEZ. According to Chief Minister KPK, two Chinese companies already have completed required their agreements with government of Pakistan and one has been allotted 40 acres plot for steel production. In the zone, investor will bring high tech industry which will help Pakistan to increase exports, decrease imports and create jobs opportunities for locals. In the second phase, Pakistan is providing tax exemptions to investors on technology transfer in the country, skill development, relocate Chinese industry in the province and increase the labor productivity. Materialization of the plan will improve literacy rate and research and development in the province which will create substantial job and business opportunities for the people of KPK. This is first the zone and being developed on public-private partnership, therefore, if this experiment works then it can open door for many more in the country.
Socio-economic development is the top priority of CPEC phase two, for this; both countries have established a Joint Working Group. Under the group, both countries have agreed to work on 27 projects in Pakistan for which China gave grant of $ 1 billion.
As RSEZ is strategically located in proximity of Afghanistan and Central Asia, therefore, it has potential to become export base to Afghanistan and to the world through Gwadar Port. It can prove to be hub of regional connectivity if properly managed and with improved security situation in Pakistan as well as in Afghanistan. The zone will provide trade, business and employment opportunities to the people of the province in particular and whole country in general. It will also provide multiple benefits to Pakistan like, increase in people to people contact and foreign direct investment in the coming years. The zone will attract foreign investors which will increase economic activities in Pakistan and this will spread its soft image to the world.
Economy
The Future of Work and Skills in 21st Century Economy
In today’s fast-paced and competitive economy, being specialized in one skill may not be enough to achieve success in your career or personal life. Having specific expertise is essential but it is also crucial to develop a broader set of skills to adapt to changing circumstances, to communicate with diverse people, and to avail new opportunities. The 21st-century economy is evolving swiftly, and along with it, the nature of work and the skills required to succeed are changing. The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated these changes, ushering in an increased focus on remote work and gig economy. The pandemic has also highlighted the importance of adaptability and agility in the face of disruption. As we navigate this post-pandemic landscape, it is critical to understand the skills that will be in demand in the future and how the current generation can prepare themselves for the challenges ahead.
One of the most significant shifts in the 21st-century economy is the rise of artificial intelligence. We live in a world of self-driving cars, chatbot assistants, and robot servers and cleaners. This transformation is already underway, and it is expected to accelerate in the coming years. The introduction of ChatGPT and Bard has revolutionized everything from education to business to daily life. Since machines are becoming increasingly capable of predictable tasks, human workers will need to focus on skills that machines cannot replicate, such as creativity, critical thinking, and emotional intelligence. According to a report by McKinsey Global Institute, around 375 million workers worldwide may need to switch occupations or learn new skills by 2030 due to workforce disruptions caused by automation and AI.
Another important trend is the growth of the gig economy and remote work. The pandemic has shown that many jobs can be done from any place, and this trend is likely to continue. The COVID-19 pandemic has increased the trend toward remote work and the gig economy. According to Future Workforce Pulse Report by Upwork, 41.8% of the American workforce was working remotely as of January 2021, up from 30% pre-pandemic. The report anticipated this to rise to 65% in the next 3 years. Due to the lockdown, an increasing amount of people turned to these platforms to continue earning. In its 2020 report, Forbes wrote that the value of a Fiverr share has increased by 356% in 2020 and Upwork recorded a 40% increase in its revenue in the third quarter of 2020. The post-pandemic popularity of platforms like Fiverr & Upwork shows that workers who can adapt to a flexible, remote work environment and have the skills to manage their own time and workload will be in high demand. Meanwhile, the gig economy is anticipated to grow by 17% over the next decade, according to a report by Intuit in 2020.
In addition to these broad trends, there are also specific skills that will be essential to excel in the 21st-century economy. One of the main ones is Digital literacy. As technology continues to play an increasingly central role in the workplace, workers must be comfortable with digital tools and platforms. A person must have sufficient mastery of basic apps and software like Microsoft Office, Canva, Adobe Illustrator, Teams, Zoom, etc. This includes not only technical skills like coding but also the ability to use digital tools to collaborate, communicate, and analyze data. The demand for digital skills is on the rise. A report by Burning Glass Technologies found that in 2020, 71% of middle-skill jobs required digital skills, up from 59% in 2014. McKinsey found out in their 2018 survey that “sixty-two percent of executives believe they will need to retrain or replace more than a quarter of their workforce between now and 2023 due to advancing automation and digitization”. This is evident in recent plans of big-tech firms. Google launched a program called “Grow with Google” to help Americans acquire the digital skills needed for the 21st-century workplace. In 2019, Amazon announced plans to spend $700 million to retrain 100,000 of its employees in skills for the digital age.
Another important skill not to be ignored is communication and collaboration. In a world where remote work and cross-functional teams are the new normal, effective communication and collaboration skills are critical. Workers must be able to communicate clearly and concisely, listen actively, and work effectively with colleagues from diverse backgrounds and cultures. Effective communication and collaboration skills are critical in today’s workplace. The list published by LinkedIn for the most in-demand skills of 2023, ranked communication at number 2 of most demanded skill by companies and hiring managers.
In a rapidly changing economy, workers must be prepared to continually upskill and reskill throughout their careers. This requires a growth mindset and a willingness to embrace new technologies and ways of working. Lifelong learning is becoming increasingly vital to thrive in a professional career. According to a report by the World Economic Forum, 50% of all employees will need reskilling by 2025, and the average employee will need to devote 101 days to reskilling by 2022. It also listed the top skills of 2025, all of them belonging to one of the following four categories: Problem-solving, Self-Management, Working with People, and Technology Use. Many companies are investing in employee training and development programs to meet this need, such as PwC’s “Digital Fitness” program.
The ability to pivot quickly in response to changing circumstances will be essential in the 21st-century economy. This has been reinforced by the pandemic and volatile global situation. Workers must be able to adapt to new roles, industries, and technologies as needed, and be comfortable with uncertainty and ambiguity. The speed of change in the current era is potentially faster. The major challenge confronting every economy, particularly advanced economies, will be to retrain and dispatch millions of mid-career, middle-aged workers which seems like a daunting task.
Preparing for the future of work will require a joint effort from the people, educators, and employers. People must take responsibility for their own learning and development, seek out opportunities to acquire new skills, and stay up-to-date with industry trends. Educators must adapt their curriculum to prepare students for the changing demands of the workplace, emphasizing digital literacy, communication, and critical thinking skills. Employers must create a culture of learning and development, providing employees with the tools and resources they need to succeed in a rapidly evolving economy.
The future of work is uncertain, but one thing is clear: the skills required to succeed in the 21st-century economy will be different from those that have been valued in the past. Gone are the days when mastering one field guaranteed your professional success. By embracing lifelong learning, cultivating adaptability and agility, and developing the digital literacy and communication skills needed to thrive in a remote, technology-driven workplace, people can prepare themselves for success in the years to come.
Economy
The rise of electrical vehicles and its impact on green economy
The world is going through a critical change in transportation as the reception of electric vehicles (EVs) speeds up. The ascent of electric vehicles isn’t just reshaping the manner in which we drive yet in addition affecting the worldwide economy and the climate. With the earnest need to moderate environmental change and decrease ozone harming substance discharges, electric vehicles have arisen as a promising answer for progress towards a greener economy.
Electric vehicles offer various advantages over customary gas powered motor (ICE) vehicles. By supplanting non-renewable energy source fueled motors with electric engines and batteries, EVs fundamentally diminish hurtful discharges, including carbon dioxide and air toxins. This decrease in discharges further develops air quality, relieve environmental change, and limit the unfavorable wellbeing impacts related with contamination.
The effect of electric vehicles reaches out past the natural circle. The fast development of the EV market is reshaping different businesses, including car fabricating, energy creation, and framework advancement. Accordingly, this shift is animating monetary development, setting out new position open doors, and filling advancement in clean energy advancements.
In this article, we will dive into the ascent of electric vehicles and investigate their effect on the green economy. We will inspect the advantages that electric vehicles bring, like diminished discharges and further developed air quality. Moreover, we will examine how the auto business is adjusting to this change, including the development of new players and the speculations made in charging foundation. Moreover, we will examine the effect of electric vehicles on the energy area, especially concerning environmentally friendly power reconciliation and the improvement of shrewd network advancements.
While the ascent of electric vehicles presents promising open doors, it additionally presents difficulties. We will look at the hindrances upsetting their inescapable reception, for example, the underlying significant expense of EVs, range uneasiness concerns, and the requirement for an extended charging organization. By understanding both the likely advantages and hindrances, we can foster a thorough comprehension of the electric vehicle insurgency and its effect on the green economy.
All in all, the ascent of electric vehicles addresses a groundbreaking movement towards a more supportable and harmless to the ecosystem transportation framework. The development of this industry adds to moderating environmental change as well as presents monetary open doors and encourages mechanical advancement. By investigating the different parts of this change, we can all the more likely understand the significant effect of electric vehicles on the green economy and prepare for a cleaner and greener future
1. The advantages of electric vehicles:
– Decreased emanations: Electric vehicles produce lower or zero tailpipe discharges contrasted with regular vehicles. They assist with decreasing ozone harming substance outflows and battle environmental change.
– Further developed air quality: The reception of electric vehicles adds to cleaner air, as they produce no poisons, for example, nitrogen oxides and particulate matter that add to respiratory and medical problems.
– Diminished dependence on non-renewable energy sources: Electric vehicles decrease reliance on petroleum derivatives, which are limited assets and add to international contentions. They offer the potential for a more economical and energy-different future.
2. The effect on the vehicle business:
– New players: The ascent of electric vehicles has drawn in new participants to the auto business, including tech organizations and new companies, testing the strength of conventional automakers.
– Interest in foundation: Electric vehicle reception requires the improvement of charging framework, including public charging stations and home charging arrangements. This speculation animates work creation and business open doors.
– Fabricating changes: Electric vehicles have various parts and assembling prerequisites contrasted with customary vehicles. This shift requires changes in assembling cycles and supply chains, possibly prompting new position jobs and expertise necessities.
3. The effect on the energy area:
– Environmentally friendly power combination: Electric vehicles give a potential chance to coordinate sustainable power sources, for example, sunlight based and wind, into the lattice. They can act as versatile energy stockpiling gadgets, taking into account better use of irregular sustainable power.
– Framework modernization: The far and wide reception of electric vehicles requires an updated and keen matrix foundation to help expanded charging requests and oversee load adjusting successfully.
– Request reaction and vehicle-to-network (V2G) innovation: Electric vehicles outfitted with V2G abilities can go about as energy stockpiling units, considering bidirectional energy stream between the vehicle and the framework. This innovation offers valuable open doors for request reaction and framework adjustment.
4. The effect on the economy:
– Work creation: The development of the electric vehicle industry sets out new position open doors in assembling, innovative work, charging framework establishment and upkeep, and related administrations.
– Diminished reliance on unfamiliar oil: Electric vehicles decline dependence on imported petroleum products, improving energy security and decreasing import/export imbalances related with oil imports.
– Worked on general wellbeing: Electric vehicles’ lower discharges add to further developed general wellbeing results, diminishing medical services costs related with air contamination related ailments.
5. Difficulties and boundaries:
– Cost: The underlying price tag of electric vehicles can be higher than that of ordinary vehicles, despite the fact that declining battery costs are making EVs more reasonable.
– Range uneasiness: Worries about restricted driving reach and the accessibility of charging framework can hinder potential EV purchasers. Be that as it may, headways in battery innovation and the development of charging networks are reducing these worries.
– Charging foundation: The improvement of a strong and open charging framework network is vital for boundless EV reception. Guaranteeing satisfactory charging choices in metropolitan and rustic regions is fundamental.
Economy
Why Countries are Accelerating ‘De-Dollarization’?
Trading with local currencies is now a common practice in the world economy. Local Currency Trade (LCT) has gained so much traction that bilateral LCT agreements between countries are now widespread. Particularly in the wake of the pandemic and the crisis in Ukraine, several middle and small nations are now participating in LCT. Russia and Bangladesh recently announced intentions to repay payments in Yuan in order to get over challenges imposed by US sanctions against Russia. Prior to that, Bangladesh and India had inked an LCT agreement to conduct rupee-based trade. LCT is now preferred in many Eastern nations, not just Bangladesh, India, and Russia. Additionally, there are proposals about creating a new currency to replace dollar trading. In regard to this, it is important to look into the underlying reasons for the de-dollarization. And why the majority of countries in the global south wish to abandon the dollar—the dominant international currency.
De-Dollarization
The term “de-dollarization” refers to the process of shifting away from the use of the dollar in international trade. In order to lower risk and vulnerability in transactions, the dollar has traditionally been used for international trade. In addition, it is a result of US supremacy in terms of soft power and the world economy. De-dollarization is a strategy once used by nations to challenge the US. However, in the Post-Covid period, fluctuating foreign exchange reserves (forex) and the global dollar crisis are some of the main causes driving the current de-dollarization process. Geopolitical rivalry and dwindling confidence in the dollar, however, are also contributing factors at the moment to this process.
De-Dollarization Efforts
Local Currency Trade, or LCT, is a popular de-dollarization approach. LCT refers to cross-border local currency trade. Here, currencies are converted directly based on their exchange rates. The rupee-based trade agreement between Bangladesh and India is an example of LCT.
Aside from LCT, trade-in third currency is currently another aspect of the de-dollarization process. One instance is the repayment between Bangladesh and Russia in the Chinese Yuan. Bangladesh and Russia have decided to use Yuan to settle loans in order to evade US sanctions on Russia’s usage of the global gateway- Swift.
60 countries today are engaged in trading in their respective currencies. It is also being practiced by several of the US’s longtime allies in the global south, like India. India presently has LCT agreements with 19 countries. Saudi Arabia has begun to accept Yuan in the trade of oil. Other Gulf States are thinking about allowing yuan in the oil trade as well. Previously, oil was only sold by Gulf nations in US dollars. However, it appears that they are now thinking about taking additional currencies. Brazil and China have lately announced plans to trade in Yuan.
The idea of creating a new currency is another noteworthy initiative in the ongoing de-dollarization process. To facilitate trade among its members, BRICS has been working to launch a new currency. BRICS presently accounts for 41% of the global population and 31.5% of the global GDP. To decrease its reliance on the dollar, Indonesia is adopting the BRICS model.
Additionally, a new single currency known as the “sur” has been preliminarily adopted in Latin America. Brazil and Argentina, two Latin American giants, want to begin using the currency in their bilateral trade to reduce their dependency on the dollar.
Why Countries are Moving Away from Dollar?
The existing process didn’t happen over the course of a day or a year. Instead, it was a long-term process that lasted the past 20 years. The percentage of global reserves held in dollars is gradually decreasing. According to Bloomberg, the percentage of dollars held in foreign exchange reserves has decreased from 73% in 2001 to 58% by 2023. According to a further breakdown, the representation has decreased by 11% since 2016. And of this, 11%, 8% took place only in one year- 2022.
While the dollar’s portion in global reserves is declining, the Yuan’s stake is gradually increasing and presently ranks fifth in the world with a share of 3%. Yuan has overtaken the Euro as Brazil’s second-largest foreign currency in its forex reserve, which is one of the main drivers behind their LCT deal. China’s portion of the global FX reserve is growing along with its international commerce and investment. Additionally, a lot of nations are beginning to believe in the Yuan as a reliable and trustworthy currency. As a result, many countries are picking the Yuan over the dollar because using the Yuan in international trade also helps the nation keep a balance in its foreign exchange reserves.
In addition, the US has been leveraging its financial system to subjugate its geopolitical adversaries, particularly in the conflicts with China and Russia. This ‘weaponization’ of the currency is eroding international trust. The geopolitical usage of the dollar, which is seen as a universal good, is making the Chinese and Russians nervous. Russia is already prohibited from using Swift, making it difficult for it to conduct business with other countries.
The US administration’s unilateral actions and choices regarding the dollar further exacerbate the current dollar crisis on the global market. The US increased its interest rate eight times in the past year, which led to high exchange rates that affect people who use the dollar around the world. Political Scientist Fareed Zakaria also believes that the US itself is responsible for such a decline in dollar use because of its geopolitical use and weaponization.
However, in addition to geopolitical and trust issues, the de-dollarization process is also driven by high exchange rates and decreasing foreign exchange reserves in developing nations. Economy are already struggling in the post-Covid era and in the context of the crisis in Ukraine. They are turning to LCT to preserve their hard-earned dollars in order to prevent future distress. Additionally, these nations have grown to depend on both Russia and China in a complex manner. Therefore, they cannot simply disregard their commercial relations with these US competitors. They are using either LCT or yuan to keep these trade links going. For instance, Bangladesh pursues a foreign policy that is neutral and balanced toward the major nations. It must pay for a $12 billion nuclear project it has with Russia. So, Bangladesh and Russia are resorting to yuan to avoid sanctions-related complications. Same goes for Brazil, as it intends to utilize its reserve of yuan.
Even though the dollar’s share in global forex is declining, the ideas of launching new currencies are coming forward, trade in yuan is gradually increasing, and LCT are also increasing, Dollar still remains the single largest share holder in the market with 58%, with no eminent competitor. It’s closest competitor, Euro only has 20% share. Therefore, the current process can be termed as an ‘inception’. It is still to early to tell whether the process would end Bretton Wood system or not. Yet, there is no denying that Zakaria believes also, the US itself is to blame for the de-dollarization as it is failing to maintain trust, and has weaponized a public good.
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