Connect with us

Economy

Long lockdowns and the status of Indian MSMEs

Published

on

Recently, when the Government of India decided to classify institutions as Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) they were trying to set up an incentive structure to usher a new era of growth. The incentives announced are in the form of attractive cheap loans, fewer compliance standards, tax benefits, and host of other freebies. The intended scheme wanted to keep growing — from Micro to Small and Small to Medium, and the support system and put the nation on a path of self-sufficiency .

Change of classification criteria

In fact, the businesses are  classified as Micro, Small, or Medium depending on the kind of investments they were making in plant and machinery and  if we made investments of up to 5 Crore, then we are as a Small enterprise. But what happens when business is booming and there’s an incentive for us  to invest and expand. Well, without government intervention, we’d have lapped up this opportunity no questions asked. But now, we have to consider the downside. Because, as our transition from being Small to Medium, we’ll forego a few benefits. Benefits that  might not want to cede. Here likes the dilemma because when we  try and deceive the government into thinking we  are a Small enterprise when in fact we are not and we will  have to do is to keep making the investments we  need, but figure out ways to hide the investments on our  accounting books. That means the government will now have to spend additional resources in physically verifying your claims. In effect, the incentives that were designed to help MSMEs grow and become self-sufficient have now turned “perverse”. A move that was meant to promote investment and foster growth is now yielding terrible unintended consequences stifling all progress.

Scheme of the Government

So they began working on a proposal to change the classification criteria. They figured that total revenues would be a good metric since claims regarding revenue can easily be verified with the GST Sales data filed at the Goods and Service Tax portal. More importantly, entrepreneurs won’t have to worry about making new investments since the benefits are no longer tied to this metric. But the industry body representing MSEMs is not happy with this development. They lobbied and urged the government to keep the classification criteria intact but  when the government finally charged ahead and introduced turnover as an additional criterion. They even expanded the investment limit to ensure MSMEs don’t graduate out of benefits too soon. However, MSMEs in the service sector (IT and stuff) will also be classified along the same lines as their manufacturing counterparts. So no step-motherly treatment for the people in the service industry either. Besides the classification, the government also wants to get the big guns interested in the space. They want Venture Capitalists to walk in and buy ownership in promising upstarts. The plan is simple. Put together a mother fund with 10,000 crores from the government. And then disburse the funds from the mother entity to smaller daughter funds in a piecemeal fashion and try and get other investors on-board these smaller funds. If all goes well, the 10,000 crores from the government should attract an additional 40,000 crores from outside investors (PE/VCs) and this should give MSMEs some much-needed funding support. They are calling it the Fund of Funds.

However, in the present status of pandemic banks don’t want to offer another lifeline by extending new loans considering their own precarious situation. And they most certainly cannot contain the problem; since we are likely to see a spike in defaults owing to the fact that most MSMEs have shut shop completely since the lockdown. And if MSMEs can’t restart operations and fail en masse, we will have a systemic problem on our hands. So a government intervention was inevitable. And the finance minister finally announced 3 lakh crore worth of collateral—free loans for businesses, including MSMEs in a bid to plug the funding gap. If we are in a business with a loan burden on your hands, banks will now extend new loans of up to 20% of the total loan outstanding so that we  can restart operations. Now, we’ll have 4 years to repay this loan. Repayment obligations won’t kick in until the end of the first year. The government will stand as our guarantor in case we  default and they will compensate the banks in full interest and principal. So technically, banks should be more willing to lend to these institutions now.

Growing importance of agriculture

 Around 51 lakh people migrated to agriculture last year and this should be seen positively. In fact, we should actively pursue this endeavour and focus on making farming economically viable. Indian Agriculture, on an aggregate level,  has been unprofitable for a good while now. Monsoons are erratic. Irrigation infrastructure still needs work. Warehousing and storage problems still persist. The middlemen skim most of the profit and many farmers work with land parcels so tiny that they can almost never leverage benefits of scale. Meaning we have a small proportion of landowners who run an extremely profitable enterprise while a good chunk of the agrarian population  still live below the poverty line. The point is — there’s been very little incentive for people to continue and work the farmland. And as a consequence, many people migrated from rural hinterlands to urban centres en masse.

But now in the pandemic and long lockdown the  migration patterns have reversed.  There’s now more incentive for India’s labour population to return to agriculture. It’s become prosperous again. First, it is likely that employment did not actually increase in agriculture, but the sector merely absorbed the excess labour as it had no other place to go to. Farmers did not actually call out for more labour. But, family labour landed up in farms when they had no other place to go to. The real estate and construction sector, which is usually a provider of employment to low-skilled farm labourers who try to move out of the labour surplus farmlands, shed 4.6 million jobs between January-April 2018 and January-April 2019. This failure of the construction industry to absorb farm surplus labour is, possibly, the biggest reason why there is an increase in employment under agriculture. A family farm always has scope to absorb some unpaid labour although such additions may not increase any production or profit. There is always an extra patch of the farms to tend to or the need to take the cattle to graze a little farther. Farm work can be spread thinly over available labour and keep everyone “employed” when there is no alternate work available to them.And right now, with the lockdown in place, we are seeing it happen again. People are moving back to agriculture en masse because they have nowhere else to go. The only difference—it’s happening at a scale that almost seems unreal. This migration also has some very real policy implications.

Professor and Head University Department of Political Science B.N. Mandal University, Madhepura

Continue Reading
Comments

Economy

Coronavirus Impact On The World Of Work Traverses National Borders

Dr. Arshad M. Khan

Published

on

With the coronavirus lockdown, one aspect of our lives has been revolutionized … the world of work.  Computers have facilitated the transition and the coronavirus forced a real-life test.  For jobs where it is possible, we are working from home and many of us like it that way.

There are countries that have been doing it long before the coronavirus — at least in numbers far in excess of other industrialized countries.  In the Netherlands 14.1 percent of workers say they usually work away from the office compared to 4.7 percent in the UK and only 3.6 percent in the US.  Only Finland is comparable.  

Finland also allows flexible hours.  Indeed such flexibility has a basis in law ever since the 1996 Work Hours Act giving most workers the right to adjust workplace time.  Thus 92 percent of companies allow flexible hours there (a notable example being an employee who works remotely from Malaga, Spain!) compared to about three-quarters in the US and UK, a half in Russia and only 18 percent in Japan.   Employees can start or finish their workday up to three hours earlier or later.  A new Working Hours Act came into effect on Jan. 1, 2020 through prior legislation, fortuitously given Covid-19.  This now permits workers to schedule up to half their working hours away from the workplace.

Both Finland and the Netherlands also benefit from a culture of trust and equality; also practicality, a quality that small countries nurture to compete with the giants beside them.  Think Russia in one case and Germany for the other.

Flextime has other benefits.  Studies report higher output and efficiency.  When workers are allowed to pick their hours, they drift towards when they want to work.  In Finland, they still have to average 40 hours per week over each four-month period.  Nevertheless, working at a time most suitable for their individual circumstances implies they are working at their best, which also translates to most productive.

HSBC, the large UK bank, looked at what is driving UK productivity growth in a 2018 study.  Eighty-nine percent of respondents cited the importance of flexible working hours and work-life balance rating them higher than financial incentives.  One-in-five also cited poor work-life balance as the main reason for leaving a prior job, ranking it higher than limited opportunities or salary increases.

Meanwhile in the Netherlands, where 98 percent of homes have high-speed internet access, there is also a culture of trust, plus a combination of technology, attitude and expectation to make remote working a success.  King Willem-Alexander issued a photo of himself working from home to encourage others to do the same during the pandemic.

But then, the Netherlands is different.  ING, an Amsterdam-based bank, is now trying out a policy of unlimited vacation time for pilot groups of workers.  They can take as much time off as they want provided their work and set tasks do not suffer.

There must be something in all this for Dutch men averaging 163 cm (6 feet) are the tallest people on earth.  At 179.6 cm, the Finns are not far behind. 

Perhaps employers over here in the US will be enlightened by the statistics.  If there is a silver lining in this dark coronavirus cloud then, it could be in the world of work.

Continue Reading

Economy

Covid-19 and its impact on Belt and road initiative and CPEC

Published

on

Nowadays, Covid-19 is increasing rapidly in Pakistan. As of June 30 the amount of confirmed cases had risen to 208359 along with 4254 deaths. Tremendously a very bad situation of Pakistan economy as well as global economy due to this pandemic era. Coronavirus effects many business and major Flagship project in Pakistan like CPEC development due to shortage of local labour. The China-Pakistan Economic (CPEC) is a part of ambitious Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) which runs through South-East Asia, South Asia, Central Asia, Russia and Europe by land as well as 21st century Maritime Silk Road, a sea route flanked by China’s coastal regions with South-East and South Asia, the South Pacific, the Middle East and Eastern Africa, all the way to Europe.

The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor badly effect and now most of the people concerned about CPEC development and its impact of covid-19 on development projects. Specifically the CPEC development were also stopped because of the absence of local labour who were forced to stay at home due to lockdown and  to avoid further spread of Covid-19. In addition, the government of Pakistan and china also announced the travel restrictions which delayed the availability of workforce. All business areas and business centers in the port of Gwadar are completely closed, and the impact of all these problems on CPEC and its branches. But there is encouraging news that the port of Gwadar is still operating under strict policies.

Covid-19 has already had a significant impact on the global economy, influencing production, supply chains and the movement of people and goods. Since the outbreak and increasing the cases of corona virus, many people concerned about the impact of covid-19 on CPEC development projects. Most of the people says it has no impact but some people says it has huge impact on development of CPEC. As per my opinion it has a huge Impact on CPEC development. According to the challenging situation Chinese government decided to work again on BRI projects. Chinese government believe that once the pandemic crisis is over BRI projects will lead the world economy recovery and sustainable development.

As our honorable PM Imran Khan said multiple time that corona virus is not going anywhere, we have to live with this epidemic situation following SOP otherwise survival in Pakistan is much difficult as compared to developing and developed countries. If all Factories, industries, and development teams closed for certain time, Pakistan economy will goes down for sure and people will die due to hunger and unemployment. Consequently, the Pakistan Government is in full consultation with the government of China as well as Chinese companies working on the CPEC projects. In this regard, Pakistan government is taking preventive measures and providing full protection to Chinese workforce on CPEC. In addition, the Chinese workers who are returning to Pakistan have to endure double quarantine system for their safety as well as the safety of other workers too.

Contemporaneous, we must be aware of the fact that there is a force in the world that does not want to see CPEC’s success, so they indiscriminately amplify the impact of the pandemic on CPEC development. The Chinese and Pakistan government both nations agreed to continue this project and overcome difficulties caused by Covid-19 and support CPEC construction. Both governments have upheld close communication and coordination on particular issues of CPEC projects. Chinese companies have implemented closed management, and all CPEC projects have maintain prevention and control plans and implemented them very strictly, therefore effectively preventing the invasion of the novel coronavirus. As far as I know, there is no Covid-19 spread at the construction or development sites.

In addition, the Chinese companies contributing in the construction of CPEC projects are also actively making assistances to the prevention and control of the pandemic in several locations in Pakistan, donating material to local government’s offices, schools, and hospitals. When the world suffering from corona virus, china was there for supplying material and help to various nations in the form of medical equipment, protection accessories and medical supplies. It’s a bit challenging circumstances in China in pandemic situation but china prove his kindness in front of other nations that increased the trust of countries in China.

It is still unclear situation when local and global economic activities become stable, which also creates uncertainty about the feasibility of these projects. In the same way, other cross-border corridors and the Silk Road Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) are also facing delays and cancellations. Despite difficult circumstances, the Chinese are promoting BRI, gradually resuming development work and building the health Silk Road. Beijing China is much confident that BRI will lead the global economic recovery after resolving the crisis.

The most common broader issue nowadays is whether the planned BRI projects can be delay in the current economic environment. For instance, it was recently stated that nearly seven to eight years after the creation of CPEC, less than one-third of the development projects had been completed. Since sustainability of financing for BRI projects is already a challenge, and Chinese capital projected to be organized to meet the basic and domestic needs, the pandemic and the resulting slowdown in economic growth will be even more delayed and could even be a death sentence for Some Belt and road Initiative projects as well as CPEC.

Continue Reading

Economy

Pandemic Recovery: Empowerment of Women Entrepreneurship

Naseem Javed

Published

on

Jocelyn Hobbie

A new world unfolding by the day, new economic thinking emerging by the hour, late comers to digital-age panicking by the minutes; new value systems measured and women’s role on grassroots prosperity re-defined as fastest trajectory. The largest untapped and hidden potential of any nation today by all counts the underexposed entrepreneurialism of women. Pandemic recovery has no room for such ignorance, truth must get unmasked and large-scale actions on role of women entrepreneurialism on national economic recovery immediately deployed.

Nations missing 50% of their working citizenry’s talent are blindly pushing national economy as a one-wheel cart. What are the immediate key requirements to mobilize the empowerment of women entrepreneurship?  Here are the unstoppable cyclones

For the first time ever in the history, there are far too many women in colleges and universities, in science, technology, engineering and mathematics subjects, plus as individual business owners, entrepreneurs or executives in small, medium or large organizations, including top government officials and as national leaders. So what just happened?

For the first time ever in the history, educated parents across the world supported down streaming of organized quality education on their children, rain of almost free technologies brought information and knowledge at doorsteps. Businesses around the world started globalization opening new cities and towns and now the zoomerang effect of remote working via video-conferencing created a new easy access universe of women. So what is next?

For the first time ever in the history, the women of the world ever assembled in big or small circles all connected on global digital platforms and connectivity making the largest combined group. They now know well, how to take next steps and are well equipped to venture out onto micro to mega projects. The global mindshare amongst educated smart STEM women have just become a call of time to national economic advancements.  So how will this unfold?

For the first time in the history, the long awaited time for all women entrepreneurial groups in five continents to come together on similar page, common language and similar platforms.  Is it possible now, business-women associations and women chambers of commerce and special groups to all rise up and join forces under larger umbrellas of digital platforms where they multiply their local, national, global reach and also use upskilling and reskilling as way to quadruple innovative excellence and exportability and shine? In addition, why not and what is stopping this?

What is missing depending of nations, open and bold dialogues to bring business and STEM women under large economic development umbrellas? Is it about time that woman entrepreneurs finally join hands, become a humongous national global force and powerful voice on world stage, and not left behind as 1000 small splintered groups lost amongst 200 nations?

Three Major Trends:
Understanding collaborative synthesizim:
our broken and fragmented economies splintered amongst 200 nations and 10,000 cites need the glue of collaborative synthesizim.

Understanding real “value creation” over “value manipulations”: our economies of small and medium businesses are required to measure real value creation as direct productivity and exportability to boost grassroots prosperity.

Understanding “soft-power-asset-management”: our prime occupation with “hard-asset-mentality” must blend with imagination, creativity to multiply growth and global-age speed of operations

Three Major Challenges:
How difficult
is it for women organizations to leave local and internal politics aside, seriously evaluate all current offering, and seek beyond on larger national/global platforms.

How challenging is tit for the leadership of women organization to boldly enlarge vision befitting global stage and spin out from local agenda events to major global advancements issues.

How complex is for the entire membership of any large or small women group to face the truth on national and global image and identity confusions and make creating professionally managed Intellectual Property digital assets as name brands, protectable trademarks, and domain name websites to skate around the world.

Three options; study deeply

How do you re-calibrate into an international organization, with little or no extra cost. This calls for fresh new thinking to scale up organizational structure paralleled with digital platforms to reach higher level of connectivity.

How to build global teams via collaborative alliances, attracting big and small groups and umbrella thinking on global goals advancements and creating highly smooth events and operational systems.

How do you achieve mastery by offering real value to all members, as this the most difficult challenge and calls for detail analysis of the principal objectives and offerings and a real match of leadership capabilities to drive the agenda forward.

The futurism is workless:
This is a new ocean now in need of trained swimmers and skilled scuba divers.

Top key questions: are women business sectors ready for national mobilization of entrepreneurialism on digital platforms?  Is there a national agenda to quadruple innovative performance of women and drive exportability? 

Top key solutions: How simultaneous synchronization of upskilling of 10,000 to 100,000 results in growth on a fast track basis? How roundtable discussions live streamed to top 1000 to 10,000 stakeholders instantly create a national umbrella? How identification of few VIP candidates on nationwide collaborations on global digital platforms will start action? Why high power round-table events zoomed live across 1000-10,000 selected viewers instantly makes the topic a national agenda. Study Pentiana Project on how 100,000 SME on digital platform of upskilling shine and grow.

To become the second missing wheel to fix the national economic cart is now new art and science

The rest is easy

Continue Reading

Publications

Latest

Human Rights1 hour ago

Impacts of COVID-19 disproportionately affect poor and vulnerable

Addressing poverty eradication on Tuesday in front of the General Assembly, UN chief António Guterres warned that the impacts of...

Newsdesk3 hours ago

Iran nuclear deal still best way to ensure peace

The UN regrets that the future of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) is in doubt, but notwithstanding current...

Africa5 hours ago

The Creative Journey into Africa’s Future

The African Union (AU), in partnership with Afrochampions, the pan-African business leadership network focused on regional integration and economic emancipation,...

Newsdesk7 hours ago

Israel’s illegal annexation plans for Palestine, ‘disastrous’ for wider Middle East

“Annexation is illegal. Period. Any annexation. Whether it is 30 per cent of the West Bank, or five per cent”,...

EU Politics8 hours ago

Youth Employment Support: a bridge to jobs for the next generation

European Commission is taking action to give young people all possible opportunities to develop their full potential to shape the...

Newsdesk9 hours ago

Water cooperation between States ‘key’ to Blue Nile dam project

Under-Secretary-General Rosemary DiCarlo underscored via videoconference that “transboundary water cooperation is a key element in the implementation of the Sustainable...

Tech News11 hours ago

Safeguarding Your Mailbox from Spam, Hack & Phishing

An email goes a long way before getting to the addressee. After all, malicious software may be introduced in this...

Trending