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Mechanism of consumer redressal in India

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Consumer protection in India has a rich history with its desirability being felt through ages. Consumer movements in India have evolved over many centuries and were finally institutionalised in 1986 with the enactment of the Consumer Protection Act, 1986. The first and foremost responsibility of the government is to ensure smooth and easy redressal of consumer grievance. If the government is futile in rectifying the atrocities of the consumers it results in consumers moving to courts and forums for their demands. To study the consumer movements in India it is important to look at the mechanism of consumer redressal present in the country which is briefly discussed in the first section of this article.

Consumers are the backbone of the economy of every country and it is the government’s job to keep the producers in check so that the consumers don’t suffer. The consumer protection laws in India are still a little vague and complex that makes them ineffective. To make the laws more effective the consumers should be made aware of their rights and obligations because the major hindrance in effectiveness of consumer protection is consumers’ obliviousness towards their rights.

Consumption has always been an integral part of any society. With the advent of hyper industrialization, there are bound to be some shortcomings that the producers have to address. To effectively make their damage good, people have to mobilize together and speak as a community.

The Consumer Protection Act, 1986 was enacted a benevolent legislation that states the rights of consumers and address the consumer redressal mechanism. It has enabled ordinary consumers to opt for speedy and less expensive redressal of their complaints.[1] Although there has been many legislations protecting consumers before independence like the Sale of Goods Act, 1930, Contract Act, 1872, this is the first time that specific attention has been given to general consumers.

The National Consumer Disputes Redressal Commission (NCDRC) was set up under Consumer Protection Act, 1986. It’s a quasi-judicial body with a President and eleven members. It has 3 types of jurisdiction i.e. Original, Appellate and revisional.[2] Under the Consumer Protection Act, NCDRC is entitled to entertain cases from Central and State governments because they qualify as “complainant” under section 2(b)(iii) of the Act. The complaints are processed under the supervision of Registrar by officers of NCDRC before placing them before the Hon’ble benches for hearing. The president is the head of the body and can distribute judges at each bench according to his discretion. Under section 23 of the Consumer Protection Act the complainant can file a review petition before the Hon’ble Supreme Court of India. The discharge of functions is governed under Consumer Protection Rules, 2017. Dept. Of Consumer Affairs allocates budget to NCDRC and the same is reflected in the Demand for Grants of Dept. Of Consumer Affairs. All the information regarding the cases, commission, statutes and workings of the Courts is available on NCDRC’s website in accordance with the Right to Information Act. All the information regarding National Commission is supplied within 30 days.

The NCDRC has the authority to entertain cases where the claimed compensation is above one crore and any appeal against state commission. It can also pass orders against the cases judged by any state commission where it feels that the proper procedure is not followed or where it feels that the court has exercised a power ultra vires.

Role Of NGOs Towards Consumer Protection

Consumer protection is of superlative importance in India as the population if India is ever increasing. They demand variety of goods and services every day, and there is an ever-increasing demand. Here we can see the number of cases filled by the consumers in the year 2017-18. This drastic improvement in the filing of the cases is because the awareness which is being spread through various forums, like advertisements, booklets, rallies, social media, and various other platforms. Here we take a brief look at what consumer protection entails in India.

NGOs have always been an integral part of the consumer movements in India and all over the world. They have paved the path for generating the awareness towards consumer rights violations as well as instilled the sense of justice in the people for claiming compensation for the same. The role of NGOs or consumer organizations is of paramount importance because, a general consumer is not always aware of his rights and even if they are, they don’t have enough means or understanding of the working of the various procedures laid by the law. The Consumer Protection Act 1986 has made it very opportune for the consumers to file cases and claim damages but this is mostly unknown to the actual consumer population, hence keeping them in the dark. NGOs come into play here. There are various NGO throughout India who work toward consumer protection. Some of the famous NGOs are VOICE, Common Cause, Consumer Awareness, Protection and Education Council of Karnataka, Consumer Guidance Society India.The need for NGO and self-regulatory authorities in the implementation of consumer rights is of supreme standing. They are needed because:

Awareness

One of the main reasons for the lack of awareness regarding consumer protection is the lack of education and vigilance. Education facilitates awareness. Due to the lack of education the consumers suffer silently without claiming for the implementation of their rights. The graph of the survey undertaken by CUTS International, depicts the lack of awareness among the consumer population.[3]

A survey was done by CUTS International to test the awareness of the Indian consumer, followings were the findings:[4]

  • Awareness regarding the various government schemes.
  • 20% were aware about the consumer protection act.
  • More than 50% were not even aware of the “Jago Grahak Jago” campaign.
  • 40% were aware about the food safety act.
  • TARI was recognized by 27% of the people, Electricity Regulatory Commission was recognized by 26%.

Urban dwellers are more aware about their rights, hence NGOs should work at the ground level with the villagers to spread awareness regarding their rights.

Research:

For representation of their grievances efficiently in the consumer court, consumers need to have the sufficient knowledge and skill for conducting the research. Many if the consumer grievances can be resolved with various surveys and studies. Now certain organization is researching the lead content in the children toys. These types of studies can only be conducted with proper research and skill. This is a skill which needs practice to be developed. Hence with the help of NGOs consumers can file and contest cases resourcefully. a consumer cannot always conduct various lab tests or advanced research which needs capital as well as the knowledge, here the NGOs can do this and help pace the implementation the consumer rights. In the graph below, it represents the awareness of the consumers regarding various laws in place. Given that the consumers are not well acquainted with any of them comprehensively, the need for NGOs to help them regarding research is imperative. 

Counselling:

The consumers are not always aware of the laws designed for them; with NGOs the legal aid becomes more accessible to the general public. NGOs can find and appoint people who are well conversant with the laws of the land and can represent and help them file cases. Additional to this, they observe the implementation of laws by the local authorities which were passed by the legislators. They can file public interest litigation cases and work towards representing the common sentiment of the people in the court.

Publication and media:

The consumer movement gained traction due to the various awareness drives organized by the NGOs. They pressurize the government on spreading awareness. We see advertisements like “Jago Grahak Jago” on television and we see numerous booklets, reports etcetera. Through these the consumers can communicate their grievances and raise their voice against the mal practices. In today’s digital and tech savvy world they operate blogs and online portals to keep in touch of the ground level reports and encourage the consumers to use this means to contact them for help. They also conduct various public meeting to advocate for consumerism and conduct open negotiations where the consumer community can meet and discuss their concerns. Some sources state that the consumers are more likely to be educated about their consumer rights through the televisions.[5]

Unanimous representation of the NGOs

There are many NGOs in across India. If all the NGOs will unanimously come under a same banner and take the consumer movement forward, then the movement will be more effective than it is today due to the region-specific approach of the NGOs. Along with addressing the problems of the people at the ground level, they should come together and file PILs which will gain traction and impose pressure on the government to take swift action.

PILs filled by the NGOs’:

The most efficient way to make the voice of the consumer heard is through the means of law. There are many cases filled daily, here we will discuss some of the landmark judgments of the PILs filled by the NGOs.

Afcons Infrastructure Ans Ors.v. Cherian Verkay Construction And Ors.– In this case, the court held that arbitration agreement is mandatory for dispute adjudication. At any point in the suit, the court cannot force the parties to go for necessary adjudication. The consent of both the parties is important for arbitration under section 89 of CPC.

Indian Medical Association vs V.P. Shantha & Ors.– In this case, it was held that doctors will come under the purview of Consumer Protection Act even though they are regulated by Indian Medical Association. So, medical negligence was made inexcusable.

Lucknow development authority v. MK Gupta – In this case, the Supreme Court held that all the functions rendered to consumers come under the definition of Consumer Protection Act. Even if the service is provided by statutory authorities the consumers are entitled to compensation.

Role of the government

The beginning of the consumer movement in India dates back to 1960s and the 1970s when there were rampant practices of unprincipled and unfair trade practices like food shortages, black marketing, hoarding, adulteration of food materials and edible oil. All of it led to a consumer movement being propagated, till then the limited consumer organizations were just involved in writing articles and booklets. There was no legal system in place to hold the seller accountable and the maxim “caveat venditor” has no legal standing. It was always the responsibility of the consumer to be aware of the product or service they are subscribing to. The consumer movement around the world took acceleration and India was behind. Due to the pressure and active pursuing of the NGOs and self-regulating authorities a monumental step was taken by the Indian government and it passed the Consumer Protection Act 1986 in the 1986 Session of the Parliament. This legislation became a milestone in the societal and commercial legislations in the country. In addition to this many laws were legislated to cater to the interests of implementing the consumer rights, some include Standards of Weights and Measures Act, MRTP Act, Essential Commodities Act and Prevention of Food Adulteration Act. But these laws were neither penal nor preemptive in approach and did not make availableprompt trials and disposalof the grievances of the pained consumers.

National consumer chair:

For the first time in history the Ministry of Consumer Affairs of India, Food and Public Distribution, Department of Consumer Affairs Government of India has set up a Consumer chair which is being headed by Prof. Ashok Patil.[6] He will be heading the chair for 3 years. This step, taken by the central government, will be monumental for the prolongation of the Consumer Movement in India. This chair has been set up to provide the consumer an efficient mode to access justice which they are entitled to.

Jago Grahak Jago:

This was an initiative started by the government of India in the year 1983.[7]This was an initiative to spread awareness among the consumers regarding various goods and services they use in their day to day life. Through this portal consumers can register complains. They also showcase numerous advertisements on the television to make the consumers aware of the unfair trade practices. The Jago Grahak Jago campaign was known to 51% of the population, due to its use of media to communicate the various remedies under the Consumer Protection Act.

National consumer helpline

13 years back, on March 2005, as a part of the “JagoGrahakJago” campaign the Department of Consumer Affairs started a consumer helpline to provide assistance to the consumers. This is to make the implementation of COPRA more efficient. The consumers can seek help regarding their grievances by just making a call to the National Consumer Helpline.

Even after much efforts by the self-regulatory authorities and the government intervention the responses received is just 21%. Hence, in India we need more efforts to spread vigilance regarding the consumer rights and their violation and the mode which need to be taken to address the concerns of the consumers. 

This is the breakdown of the areas of various consumer grievances.[8] Most complains registered by the NCH was for the E-commerce sector, 19%. Let’s look at it in detail.

Working Towards Reducing Delays And Improving Consumer Satisfaction:

Among the many items on the agenda of the government, it should also give substantial importance in reducing delays in the Consumer Court. Due to the delays the willingness of the consumers to file complains is deteriorating.

Working towards improving consumer satisfaction

The below graphs depicts the level of consumer satisfaction with the griveance redressal mechanisms, and reflects on their experience in the Consumer forum.[9] A huge proportionate of people are not completely satisfied with the mechanism at place, which gives the government sufficient reason to improve it.

E-commerce grievances

Now a days the grievances regarding the online consumer market is on a high. This is because the 21st century is pacing towards the digital age. The below graph specifies the increase in the consumer complains in the year 2015-16 and 2016-17.[10] The government can set up another helpline which will deal with these cases unambiguously.

We have a case which was filled by the Telecom Watchdog against the online giants Amazon and Flipkart. The approved that these e-commerce giants were violating the Foreign Direct Investment norms. They circumvented the FDI norms by steering popular goods at much discounted rates through proxy ‘controlled sellers’ and this cause the pushing out of the small businesses off the market. The New Delhi High Court has recently issued a notice to the two companies.

Cross National Comparison Of Consumer Attitudes

Different countries have different mechanisms in place to deal with consumer movements. While the more developed economies have an established institution regarding consumer protection, developing countries like India are still in the nascent stages to develop their consumer forums. In this section, we’ll study this same distinction and how it came into being.

The paramount step in ensuring that the rights of the consumers are protected is for the consumers to know what their rights are and how they can be enforced. In this regard, the dept. Of Education, Pennsylvania, U.S. had published a handbook titled ‘Consumer Education Organisation and Implementation’. In the context of the said Consumer Awareness, a very little literature is provided in India.[11] This difference is awareness is of prime importance in regards to improving the consumer culture in India.

Another aspect of difference between U.S. and India is the enforcement of the statutes regarding Consumer Protection. Where in the U.S. the Federal Trade Commission’s sub-unit, Bureau of Consumer Protection, is using latest technology to easily facilitate consumer protection India is still left behind in addressing the complaints. The West has developed a highly developed Artificial Intelligence systems like Robocalls and automated answering protocols that help the consumer file a complaint easily and effectively. This again ties back to the issue of the awareness of citizens about consumer rights.

Disposition of cases is another factor that plays an important role in consumer protection. Speedy disposal of cases is a must in cases of consumer protection so that the consumer doesn’t suffer. While in the United States a lot of stress is placed upon the speedy disposal of cases, in India unfortunately the process is delayed by numerous complexities such as lab tests, unavailability of dates, etc. While the specified period of disposal is three to five months in the statutes, the dates of two subsequent hearings is this much apart in India.

Consumer protection in US focuses on economics of information.  Under right information, competition would force sellers to produce high quality products which meet the safety standards in all the aspects. In India, because the right information about the safety standards is still vague and complex, most of the times there is a conflict between different laws.[12] An instance of dissemination of information is regarding an automobile’s mileage. The manufactures have to disclose the actual mileage that an automobile can give and not the mileage that the automobile would grant in the ideal condition.

Right to choice is another matter of concern for Indian consumer market. Right of choice means the availability of products at the competitive and fair price at all the places. The competitive culture of the west has developed over the centuries while in India it is still in its nascent stages. By 1969 comparative analysis of magazines had become the norm in the west. Consumer reports held a lot of stake in right to choice with led the way in the sales of magazines. In India this revolution is being brought by online platforms where the prices are constantly scrutinized and kept in check.

To maintain the pressure on the government it is important to have some consumer organisations. While there are more than 100000 registered consumer organisations in the US[13], there are about 8000 consumer organisations in India. This shows that India is far behind U.S. in terms of consumer redressal. Because of the gap between the consumer and the redressal system, most of the consumer protection doesn’t get filed. While the consumer organisations in US are making sure that all the aggrieved get justice, for the limited number of organisations in India it is difficult to get all the consumers under the spectrum of consumer protection.

Consumer forums have not been successful in tackling the increasing consumer disputes. More than 4.5 lakh cases are pending in courts that suggests the miserable condition of consumer redressal in India. To tackle this issue, the govt. have to take immediate steps such as keeping vigil on availability of judges, contribute to R&D so that lab tests doesn’t waste time of the courts, establishing more benches in each part of state throughout the country. There have been many landmark cases under the Consumer Protection Act some of which are:

  • Chief Administrator, H.U.D.A. & Anr. v. Shakuntla Devi : In this case the Supreme Court held that for entitlement to compensation it’s necessary to prove damage.
  • Charan Singh v. Healing Touch Hospital and Others: The supreme court held that damages depend on facts of each case. No rigid rule can be set for universal application.
  • Om Prakash v. Reliance General Insurance : The supreme court held that insurance company cannot reject liability on technical grounds.
  • Manjeet Singh v. National Insurance Company Ltd. & Anr.: It was held that insurance company is liable to accept liability for hijacked vehicle.
  • Shri Rajendra Agarwal v. Shoppers Stop Limited: The CCI held that individual consumer grievances cannot be treated as competition concern.
  • New India Assurance Co. Ltd. v. Hilli Multipurpose Cold Storage Pvt. Ltd.: It was held that the respondent party have to reply within 15 days.
  • Dr. M. Kochar vs Ispita Seal: NCDRC said that No cure is not medical negligence.
  • M/S Emaar MGF Land Limited & Anr. v. Aftab Singh: Supreme court held that arbitration clause does not restrict consumer from filing a complaint with consumer forum.
  • Karnataka Power Transmission Corporation v. Ashok Iron Works Private Limited: Supreme Court held that supply of electricity is not considered ‘sale’ under the Act.
  • State of U.P. and Ors. v. All U.P. Consumer Protection Bar Association: Supreme court directed all the states to draft rules and regulations for better implementation of the Consumer Protection Act.

Consumer Movements in different areas

Telecom

Usually, consumer protection in Telecom sector is imposed by licensing arrangements or telecom act. The main provisions of the act aim at improving choices for consumers, to reduce prices, achieve better quality and avoid exploitation. In JK Mittal v Union of India the Delhi high court held that the respondent is not a telegraph authority under the telegraph act, 1885. The Supreme Court had given a broad interpretation in which it said that the consumer protection act is in addition and not in derogation to any law for the time being in force. The high court of Delhi held the suit maintainable in consumer forums. Through this case it was established that the suits against private telecom companies are maintainable in consumer forums.[14]

Health Care

Health care is one of the most controversial sectors where consumer rights have to be protected. In the Consumer Protection Act, 2019 the government of India has removed the word ‘healthcare’ which was added in the draft bill. There was a huge consumer movement about the removal of word healthcare because medical negligence is an integral part of consumerism in India and by removing the word it was being interpreted that the liability of doctors is diminished, but as was expounded in the Indian Medical Association vs V.P. Shantha & Ors case, the word includes medical negligence in the new definition of services as well.[15]

Food Industry

Food industry is the 5th largest industry in India. The Food Safety and Standards Authority of India has started the Food Smart campaign to raise awareness among consumers about food safety. The landmark case of Nestle Noodles, Maggie, was a testament to right to knowledge and the right to healthy food. In the case it was reported that the noodles were not harmful to health and the lead content was well within limits.[16] This case serves as an instance where consumer movements are most effective and provide the society a perspective of the justice for consumers.

Conclusion

Through the course of this article we have seen how Consumer Movements have evolved from being just conceptualized to being institutionalized. Consumer Protection is a necessity in a consumer dominated country like India. Consumer Movements go a long way in tacking the problem of consumer protection. When the people of a country stand up against a lazy government only then can the voice of consumers be strengthened.

This article focused on the mechanism of consumer redressal in our country. Different agencies have different roles to play and the government has the duty to duly resolve all the disputes. Studying the consumer redressal mechanism in other countries we saw where we lag behind. Although our government has taken various measures to resolve Consumer Disputes, there is still a long way to go in case of consumer protection.

The role of NGOs in eradicating a social evil is of eminent importance and this is the case with consumer protection also. A lot of NGOs are striving towards providing justice to consumers. To make the work of NGOs more impactful the government has the duty to provide them with necessary funds to do so.

While the government is doing its bit, it is equally necessary for the consumers to be aware of their rights and act on them. The government can’t do anything if the consumers do not take active steps to control the problem of Consumer exploitation. Hence, it is the moral duty of both the government and the consumer to act towards Consumer Protection.


[1] National Consumer Disputes Redressal Commission, ‘History’ (NCDRC) <http://ncdrc.nic.in/history.html> accessed 29 November 2019.

[2] National Consumer Disputes Redressal Commission, ‘Details Under Right To Information Act-2005’ (NCDRC) <http://ncdrc.nic.in/rti.html> accessed 29 November 2019.

[3]CUTS International, ‘Report: State of Consumer Affairs India’(CUTS International, 2012) <http://lms.nls.ac.in/pluginfile.php/1146/mod_page/content/8/Report_State_of_the_Indian_Consumer-2012.pdf>accessed 28 November 2019.

[4]CUTS International, ‘Report: State of Consumer Affairs India’(CUTS International, 2012) <http://lms.nls.ac.in/pluginfile.php/1146/mod_page/content/8/Report_State_of_the_Indian_Consumer-2012.pdf>accessed 28 November 2019.

[5] CUTS International, ‘Report: State of Consumer Affairs India’(CUTS International, 2012) <http://lms.nls.ac.in/pluginfile.php/1146/mod_page/content/8/Report_State_of_the_Indian_Consumer-2012.pdf>accessed 28 November 2019.

[6]Apurva Singh,‘Prof. Ashok R Patil, Professor of Law, NLSIU nominated as a member of the Central Consumer Protection Council’ (SSC Online, 19 November 2018)

<https://www.scconline.com/blog/post/2018/11/19/prof-ashok-r-patil-professor-of-law-nlsiu-nominated-as-a-member-of-the-central-consumer-protection-council/>accessed 27 November 2019

[7]Government of India, ‘Jago Grahak Jago complains portal’

<http://www.jagograhakjago.com/register-complaint/>accessed 27 November 2019

[8]Government of India, ‘Consumer helpline’<https://consumerhelpline.gov.in/nch.php>accessed 29 November 2019

[9]CUTS International, ‘Report: State of Consumer Affairs India’(CUTS International, 2012) <http://lms.nls.ac.in/pluginfile.php/1146/mod_page/content/8/Report_State_of_the_Indian_Consumer-2012.pdf>accessed 28 November 2019.

[10]Government of India, ‘Consumer helpline’<https://consumerhelpline.gov.in/nch.php>accessed 29 November 2019

[11] Sanjay Kaptan, ‘Consumer Movement in India: Issues and Problems’ (Sarup & Sons, 1st edn, 2013) accessed 30 November 2019.

[12]Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics, ‘Regulation: Analysis and Experience in West Germany and the U.S.A.: A Symposium’ (October 1983), pp. 527-544 accessed 26 November 2019.

[13] Yakoob C., ‘A study on the impact of the consumer protection act 1986 on consumer movement, with special reference to northern districts of Kerala’ (Department of Commerce and Management Studies , University of Calicut, 1998) accessed 25 November 2019.

[14] Ashok R. Patil, ‘Consumer Protection Law’ (Annual Survey of Indian Law, The Indian Law Institute, 2016) pp. 319-346 accessed 24 November 2019.

[15]Dipak Dash, ‘Consumer bill draft removes healthcare from Services’ (Times of India, 2 June 2019) <https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/consumer-bill-draft-removes-healthcare-from-services/articleshow/69935129.cms> accessed 29 November 2019.

[16] Samanwaya Rautray, ‘Maggi Controversy: SC revives govt’s case against Nestle India in NCDRC’ (Economic Times, 4 January 2019) <https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/cons-products/food/supreme-court-revives-governments-case-in-ncdrc-against-nestle-india/articleshow/67363564.cms> accessed 24 November 2019.

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COVID-19, major shifts and the relevance of Kondratief 6th Wave

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Covid-19 has changed the global strategic equations, it has impacted each part of human life so has it let us to ponder upon the Kondratieff cycles, as with Covid-19 there has started a new debate about sixth wave, which is about the importance of health sector, especially the biotechnology which is crucial for progress of society in future.

Henceforth, the countries that are working on these sectors know that the most important engine for our economic and social development will be health in the 21st century. For example we have USA that focused on these and now has created around 2/3rd of its jobs in health sectors along with that has invested about $3,500 billion on health sector back in 2017. Also a 2008 report said about 4,700 companies all across worked in  field of biotechnology whereby 42% were in North America, and 35% in Europe, which depicts these states long-term understanding of the emerging scenario as seen from the emergence of Coronavirus. But then the on the other side if we look into the health structure of underdeveloped states, we can easily conclude that these states will suffer the most if a global health issue emerges, and in the contemporary world it has emerged in the form of COVID-19.

COVID-19 has brought changes in the political and economic arrangement. It has not limited itself to the China from where it has been started but has impacted the whole world. The virus that is itself unseen has shaken the structure, with severe consequences for all states. No matter if it’s the USA that is the super power or any small states, the pandemic has divulged the capability and integrity of all in their response to the Covid-19. With some having the capabilities to deal with it, but most lacking in these sectors which resulted in huge loss not only of human life but also of resources. Time has come when the world is criticizing globalization at one hand because globalization is the reason for the spread of COVID-19. This has marked the end of one era with the emergence of a new one.

Mention below are some of the major shifts which Covid-19 has resulted in economic sectors in both the developed and the underdeveloped states, along with the major political shift that has led many to debate about the new structure of world after the crisis would be over.

The Covid-19 that was first reported in China, in November has changed the world completely and resulted in a lot of economic and political changes all across. For example the global economy due to Covid-19 crisis have a setback of $590 trillion. Apart from this many people lost their jobs, the household incomes have reduce, moreover World Bank report say nearly 49 million people will move into extreme poverty because of pandemic. Then World largest real estates are having economic problems, the Tourism industry has declined. An estimate showed the loss of about $1.2 to $3.3 trillion in this area of tourism all over world. Also report of International Air Transport Association predicted a loss of $63-$113billion. Moreover the oil sector also faced problem as it was for the first time that its price has gone negative. Henceforth, it can be predicted that once the pandemic is over the world will have a lot to calculate.

The impact of this crisis is seen in both core and periphery states. In core states like the US and china COVID-19 has brought huge economic impact but along with this also a question of who will act as the world saviour. As Chinese economy is expected to decline by 13% in February also the Belt and toad initiative is at halt, but still apart from the economic problem this pandemic has helped a core state like china to use the situation and move towards the status of Global power. Thus this struggle of Global saviour resulted in US and China at odds with each other. Indeed, COVID-19 has brought political repercussions along with economic consequences. When it comes to Europe the industrial production decline by 17%. Likewise USA is also effected by COVID-19 as by this pandemic about 39 million American have lost their jobs, also US economy seen to decline by 20% so US health sector has been in the eye of analyst for its failure to curtail the coronavirus. Then covid-19 has more devastating impact on peripheral states as there health care facility is not well developed. For example the GDP of Bangladesh fell by 1.1%, then many African states that look for tourism as a source of economy faced a loss of about $50 billion. Also 29 million in Latin America fell into poverty. Though they have been exploited in past but the need of the hour is that the world must help them.

Global dynamics are showing transformation amid coronavirus. The pandemic has shown how China is using its trump cards to transform the contemporary situation in its favour while bolstering its image as the “global saviour”. China’s emergence from the sick man of Asian to the positing of global saviour has opened the prospect of a tilt in the global status of Hegemon from US towards China. The question is that will the Chinese strategy amid COVID-19 will hinder the prestige of US who instead of acting as the global leader has shown a deterioration in its role in global governance.

The future of China’s pre-eminence in the global spectrum has been widened by the pandemic. All of this has been further bolstered by the broad rejection of Trump to engage in Europe and elsewhere. COVID-19 not only emerged as an impetus to shift the global dynamic but has helped China to strengthen its position. In response to the confident play by China, US hasn’t come up with any convincing tactics to prevent the increasing role of China in achieving its interest. Recently, a move by Trump administration to withhold US funds of around $400million will surely leave a gap, moreover will be an opportunity for china to bolster its position in WHO. Taking backseat in its global role amid pandemic, then the withdrawal from global treaties, and withholding of funds from WHO shows a pattern which will further create a vacuum for China to take advantage of the prevailing situation. 

The current international order set by US will be subject to testation as the changing shifts in the geopolitics have to be catalyzed by the COVID-19. For it is now the right time for us all to ponder the relevance of Kondratieff 6th wave in current scenario of Covid-19. As now the focus has diverted towards the health care system and biotechnology since the world has in current situation saw a blame game between states with few called corona virus as naturally occurring but some regarded it as ‘Chinese virus’. This has led to the realization that that warfare scenario has entered into discussion over biotechnology. So after the Covid-19 pandemic, the policy makers of both periphery and core state will work on new technological area which has the Medical technologies, Nanotechnologies, Biotechnologies etc. for the improvement in health sector will be crucial for the progress in future.

Conclusively, the current COVID-19 as a bioweapon has resulted in a clear impetus and will definitely bring a shift in the states attitude towards medical research and the multiple fields of technology in future, this is so because COVID-19 has created a ground for relevance of Kondratieff 6th wave.

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How U.S.’s Response to Covid-19 Could Precipitate 2nd Great Depression

Eric Zuesse

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On March 10th of this year, there were 290 daily new U.S. cases of Covid-19 (coronavirus-19).

On March 13th, U.S. President Donald Trump declared a pandemic national emergency, because the number of daily new cases was now suddenly doubling within only three days. However, no lockdown was imposed. The policy-response was instead left to each individual. This is in accord with America’s libertarian idelogy. Trump even announced that “he was allowing his health secretary to bypass certain regulations to provide more flexibility to doctors and hospitals responding to the outbreak” — outright reducing, insead of increasing, federal regulations, this being his way to address the matter. That’s the libertarian response.

Covid-19 (coronavirus-19) cases started soaring in the U.S., from 600 daily new cases on March 13th, to 25,665 on March 31st. Americans were scared to death, and facemask-usage soared, and independent small businesses started laying people off en-masse. (Restaurants, hair salons, travel agencies, inns, dental offices, etc., were hard-hit.)

Immediately, the alarming rise in new cases halted on April 4th (at 34,480), and the daily new cases remained approximately flat, but slightly downward, from March 31 to June 9th (when it reached bottom at 19,166), but then soared yet again, to 78,615, on July 24th.

But, then, it again declined, so that, on September 8th, it was at only 28,561. This was already returning to around what the new-cases rate had been back on March 31st. So: despite peaking again on July 24th, the rate of daily new cases was little changed between March 31st and September 8th. And, all during that 5-month period, people were coming back to work.

The key immediate and direct economic variable affected by Covid-19 is the unemployment rate. Here, that economic effect is clearly shown:

U.S. unemployment: March 4.4%, April 14.7%, May 13.3%, June 11.1%, July 10.2%, August 8.4%

Though the daily-new-cases rate went down after March 31st and after July 24th, the unemployment rate progressed far more gradually downward after March 31st: the small businesses that had been panicked by the explosion of new cases during March were now gradually re-opening — but they remained very nervous; and, so, unemployment still was almost twice what it had been during March.

Here, that experience will be compared with two Scandinavian countries, starting with Denmark, which declared a pandemic national emergency on March 13th, just when Trump also did. “Starting on 13 March 2020, all people working in non-essential functions in the public sector were ordered to stay home for two weeks.” The daily new cases fell from the high of 252 on March 11th, down to the low of 28 on March 15th, but then soared to 390 on April 7th, and gradually declined to 16 (only 16 new cases) on July 9th. Then it peaked back up again, at 373, on August 10th, plunged down to 57 on August 26th, and then soared yet again back up to 243 on September 8th. The new-cases rates were thus irregular, but generally flat. By contrast against the experience in U.S., Denmark’s unemployment-rate remained remarkably stable, throughout this entire period:

Denmark: March 4.1, April 5.4, May 5.6, June 5.5, July 5.2

Sweden’s Government pursued a far more laissez-faire policy-response (“The government has tried to focus efforts on encouraging the right behaviour and creating social norms rather than mandatory restrictions.”), and had vastly worse Covid-19 infection-rates than did the far more socialistic Denmark, and also vastly worse death-rates, both producing results in Sweden more like that of the U.S. policy-response than like that of the Danish policy-response, but far less bad than occurred on the unemployment-rate; and, thus, Sweden showed unemployment-increases which were fairly minor, more like those shown in Denmark:

Sweden: March 7.1, April 8.2, May 9.0, June 9.8, July 8.9

That was nothing like the extreme gyration in:

U.S.: March 4.4%, April 14.7%, May 13.3%, June 11.1%, July 10.2%, August 8.4%

Why was this? 

Even though Sweden’s policy-effectiveness was more like America’s than like Denmark’s at keeping down the percentages of the population who became infected, and who died from Covid-19 (i.e., it was not effective), Sweden’s policy-effectiveness at keeping down the percentage of the population who became unemployed was more like Denmark’s (i.e., it was effective, at that). Unlike America, which has less of a social safety-net than any other industrialized nation does, Sweden had, until recently, one of the most extensive ones, and hasn’t yet reduced it down to American levels (which are exceptionally libertarian). Therefore, whereas Swedes know that the Government will be there for them if they become infected, Americans don’t; and, so, Americans know that, for them, it will instead be “sink or swim.” Make do, or drop dead if you can’t — that is the American way. This is why Swedish unemployment wasn’t much affected by Covid-19. When a Swede experienced what might be symptoms, that person would want to stay home and wouldn’t be so desperate as to continue working even if doing that might infect others. Thus, whereas Sweden’s unemployment-rate rose 27% from March to May, America’s rose 202% during that same period. Americans were desperate for income, because so many of them were poor, and so many of them had either bad health insurance or none at all. (All other industrialized countries have universal health insurance: 100% of the population insured. Only in America is healthcare a privilege that’s available only to people who have the ability to pay for it, instead of a right that is provided to everyone.)

On September 9th, Joe Neel headlined at NPR, “NPR Poll: Financial Pain From Coronavirus Pandemic ‘Much, Much Worse’ Than Expected”, and he reported comprehensively not only from a new NPR poll, but from a new Harvard study, all of which are consistent with what I have predicted (first, here, and then here, and, finally, here), and which seems to me to come down to the following ultimate outcomes, toward which the U.S. is now heading (so, I close my fourth article on this topic, with these likelihoods): 

America’s lack of the democratic socialism (social safety-net) that’s present in countries such as Denmark (and residual vestiges of which haven’t yet been dismantled in Sweden and some other countries) will have caused, in the United States, massive laying-off of the workers in small businesses, as a result of which, overwhelmingly more families will be destroyed that are at the bottom of the economic order, largely Black and/or Hispanic families, than that are White and not in poverty. Also as a consequence, overwhelmingly in the United States, poor people will be suffering far more of the infections, and of the deaths, and of the laying-off, and of the soon-to-be-soaring personal bankruptcies and homelessness; and, soon thereafter, soaring small-business bankruptcies, and ultimately then big-business bankruptcies, and then likely megabank direct federal bailouts such as in 2009, which will be followed, in the final phase, by a hyperinflation that might be comparable to what had occurred in Weimar Germany. The ceaselessly increasing suffering at the bottom will ultimately generate a collapse at the top. Presumably, therefore, today’s seemingly coronavirus-immune U.S. stock markets, such as the S&P 500, are now basically just mega-investors who are selling to small investors, so as to become enabled, after what will be the biggest economic crash in history, to buy “at pennies on the dollar,” the best of what’s left, so as to then go forward into the next stage of the capitalist economic cycle, as owning an even higher percentage of the nation’s wealth than now is the case. Of course, if that does happen, then America will be even more of a dictatorship than it now is. Post-crash 2021 America will be more like Hitler’s Germany, than like FDR’s America was.

The Democratic Party’s Presidential nominee, Joe Biden, is just as corrupt, and just as racist, as is the Republican nominee, Donald Trump. And just as neoconservative (but targeting Russia, instead of China). Therefore, the upcoming November 3rd elections in the U.S. are almost irrelevant, since both of the candidates are about equally disgusting. America’s problems are deeper than just the two stooges that America’s aristocracy hires to front for it at the ballot-boxes.

Author’s note: first posted at Strategic Culture

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Economy

Democracy in the doldrums

Samudrala VK

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It is clear that during the COVID-19 pandemic  times, Democracy has gone pear shaped throughout the world. Power and Political activity are considered as alpha and omega of the modern day democracy.
The Modern state(political authority),which is based on legitimacy and a tool to deliver political, economical and social justice, has been rendering yeoman service to
corporates, both domestic and foreign. The ruling dispensations all around the globe have resorted to authoritarianism under the guise of health emergency. In addition, the topsy turvy of Democracy, through excessive centralisation and the iron curtain imposed on political activities during this pandemic, has left minimal space to raise the concerns of the urban poor. The pandemic, a bolt from the blue, has caught our health systems off guard. In India, the labour class has caught between the devil and the deep sea, thanks to the recent twin moves of the central government, privatization and the helter-skelter lockdown. The pernicious effects of the lockdown are yet to hit the masses. Seemingly, the rudderless policies of central government have created enough space to further pauperization of masses, mostly have-nots.
Now, the federal governments of third world countries have to walk on razor edge by meeting the fiscal deficit targets on one hand and by connecting the welfare dots on the other.It is not surprising to say that the big corporates are making good fortunes with the relaxation of tax rates and new labour codes. As unemployment is hanging like the sword of domacles over the working class, the corporate class would expect this surplus labour to be at their beck and call.The early warnings of intelligentsia on the consequences of disastrous lockdown  were remained as the voices crying in the wilderness. The ruling elite has been trying to enshroud the general despondency among the civic force by shifting the propaganda machinery to sensitive elements like religion, hyper nationalism and sloganeering-not to mention self aggrandizement.

Neo-liberalism and corporatisation

The diktats of the world bank and the IMF(International monetary fund) on the third world nations like pruning the subsidies, roll back of welfare measures and the abatement of labour laws as an essential sina qua non for any sort of relief package during the crisis of BOP(Balance of payments) have left labour class of the thrid world nations in quandary. The US with the support of the WTO( World Trade Organization)had exhorted all these countries to provide untrammeled access its products. Apparently, the aims and paths of federal governments of these nations ,the WTO and the IMF are congruent with regard to free trade and the globalization of capital. The lawful protections for the working class under the labour laws have proved disastrous for the interests of the capitalist class and being viewed as shackles for the exploitation. The decades-long struggle to retain these labour rights in independent nation states has been ending in smoke due to weakened trade unions and the decline of social capital. The time has come to fight tenaciously and move heaven and earth to restore their rights which are otherwise go to the dogs. When the market space is being dominated by Monopoly or Duopoly or Tripoly, the free and fair competition which the unhindered market guarantee is an absolute sham. Extolling the virtues of Neo-liberalism, the modern nation states have centred their development agenda in and around urban centres. Economically, in the post-liberal era of India, the upward mobility is largely confined to a few sections of the urban middle class.

Welfare economics

It is wrong to mention that welfare economics is based on “Rob Peter to pay paul principle” when Peter has direct access to resources(natural, political, economical and social) vis-a-vis Paul. It is not the Peter but the Paul who is running from the pillar to post in search of opportunities. The notion of political equality of liberal ideological stream revolves around freedom and liberty of an individual and overlooks the core elements of equality like social and economical justice. The central governments all over the world have successfully repudiated the pro-poor agenda and this volte face from welfare state to pro-capitalist state has pushed the labour class out of the frying pan into the fire.

Nexus between political class and biggies

The unholy nexus between the political class  and corporates has been riding roughshod over the interests of poor. This alliance behooves the political class to safeguard the vested interests of corporate bigwigs. It is apposite to mention that representative democracy has been metamorphosing into a turncoat democracy. Back in the day, Politicians were known for their erudition, statesmanship and uncompromising ideological commitment. On the contrary, present day representatives are turning into snollygosters for their personal gains. There are several voluminous reports from different corners on rising economical disparities in the post-liberal era on which no political party is keen to act upon. As Michael Jackson, king of pop, penned in one of his famous tracks “All I want to say is that they don’t really care about us”-the lyrics are still relevant in this pandemic times.

Globalization and dependency

The South Asian nations have started their LPG (Liberalisation, privatization and Globalization) path at the same time, with the exception of Sri Lanka which had opened its economy by fits and starts.They had adjusted their economical apparatus with a new global integration process at a time when the global economical architecture was dominated by unipolar power, the US.
The lopsided globalization process has been converting many third world countries as dependents and in some cases almost to a level of aid recipients upon the erstwhile colonial powers or the US. Under the banner of global integration, all these nations were dragged into this complex whole, in most of the cases through persuasion. In the name of free trade, the Western powers have been  bleeding these nations white of their resources. The asymmetrical globalization has also challenged the sovereignty of these nations while the same has remained intact in case of developed nations. The US has been playing a rigged game of globalization under the auspices of the WTO, the world bank and other agencies. The time has come for these players to bury their hatchet and rise as a one voice to have a just order at the international sphere.

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